Boise State vs Fresno State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Oct 2026
Boise State vs Fresno State Predictions
We wouldn’t be surprised to see Fresno State triumph and it makes sense to take +6.5 on the spread at -100 when they go up against Boise.
Our expert Boise vs Fresno State picks deliver our Best Bet alongside Player Props, a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Dig into the analysis behind the card in the sections below.
Boise State vs Fresno State Preview
Boise go up against Fresno State at Bulldog Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 22:30 on Saturday, October 10.
Boise State Broncos have won their previous four games. The latest was a 37-18 home triumph at Albertsons Stadium against Utah State Aggies.
Fresno State Bulldogs have triumphed in their last four games. The latest of these was on the road where Washington State Cougars were beaten 26-6 at Martin Stadium.
H2H: Fresno State 30-7 Winners in Last H2H Battle
These two teams last met at Albertsons Stadium, with Fresno State claiming the win. Beating Boise by a 30-7 scoreline. The past 5 H2H games have seen Fresno State land three wins.
Quarterbacks
Maddux Madsen
Jayden Mandal
Best Bet
There’s a good opportunity to back Fresno State against the spread considering the underdogs should perform well in this college football matchup. Snap up the -100 when it comes to them covering the +6.5.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert CFB predictions. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate picks possible.
Fresno State +6.5 Probability
According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 50% chance of delivering a return. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.
If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling points. Choose how many points to sell until you are happy with the juice available.
Fuel your next bet with the hottest betting offers, welcome promos, and free bets featured in our straightforward bonus guide.
Player Prop Picks
You can place a bet on Maddux Madsen (Boise) at -114 to record fewer than 226.5 passing yards. There’s a strong case for choosing him to fall short of the required line in the QB Passing Yards market.
Dylan Riley (Fresno State) can be backed at -114 to end with fewer than 82.5 rushing yards. He is likely to fall short of the line, making this Player Rushing Yards bet an appealing option.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Fresno State +6.5. We’ve also gone for Under 48.5 points and Maddux Madsen (Boise) to go Under 226.5 passing yards.
Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.
Correct Score Prediction
20
-
23
Fresno State
There’s every chance that this is going to be a close matchup and we’ll have a play on the Dogs achieving a 23-20 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.
Boise State vs Fresno State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 72% chance of securing victory, Boise State are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -263. Fresno State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +215.
There is a spread of 6.5 and total points has a line of 48.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those that want to back Under 48.5 can find odds of -112 available.
If you’re betting on college football, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Fresno State With Seven Wins in Previous Ten Home Games
Fresno State have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 29.40 points on offense and surrendering 16.90 on defense.
Boise are 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 20.50 points per contest and giving up 23.50.
The last time the teams met at Bulldog Stadium, Fresno State defeated Boise 37-30.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O48.5 | U48.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fresno State Home Stats |
7-3 | 46.30 | 29.40 | 16.90 | 5 | 5 | |
 Boise State Away Stats |
5-5 | 44.00 | 20.50 | 23.50 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
- U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Boise State Broncos Stats
Fresno State Bulldogs Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 52.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 48.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.10 pts and allowed 22.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.50 pts and allowed 23.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 40.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 43.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 48.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.90 pts and allowed 13.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.40 pts and allowed 15.00 pts in the last 10 home games
| Pacific-12 | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Boise State
|
4 | 1 | 172 | 103 | 69 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 4W |
|
Fresno State
|
4 | 1 | 139 | 82 | 57 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 4W |
Oregon State
|
3 | 2 | 185 | 118 | 67 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 3W |
San Diego State
|
2 | 3 | 123 | 144 | -21 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 1W |
Colorado State
|
2 | 3 | 187 | 193 | -6 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3L |
Utah State
|
1 | 4 | 70 | 125 | -55 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 1L |
Washington State
|
1 | 4 | 95 | 125 | -30 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2L |
Texas State
|
2 | 3 | 174 | 166 | 8 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 1L |
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