Sacramento State vs Bowling Green Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Oct 2026

Sacramento State vs Bowling Green Predictions

Best Bet

Bowling Green -8.5 @ -110

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Our best prediction is that Bowling Green will gain the upper hand when playing Sacramento State. This leads us to back the favorites against the spread at -110, with the -8.5 line offering plenty of appeal.

Our expert Sacramento State vs Bowling Green predictions include our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Pick. Head further down the page for detailed analysis and the reasoning behind the plays.

Sacramento State vs Bowling Green Preview

Sacramento State go up against Bowling Green at Doyt L. Perry Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, October 10.

Sacramento State have suffered three straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by UMass Minutemen 35-6 at Fred Anderson Field at Hornet Stadium.

Bowling Green Falcons have suffered back-to-back home defeats. In their last game, they beat Miami-Ohio Redhawks 24-20 on the road at Fred Yager Stadium.

Best Bet

We’re confident of backing the favorites to cover the -8.5 spread in this college football matchup. This is a generous betting line and Bowling Green look a value bet at odds of -110.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sacramento State in 4 of their last 5 games this season.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sacramento State in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sacramento State in 3 consecutive games.

Our expert CFB handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our analysis.

Bowling Green -8.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

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Bowling Green -8.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sacramento State 17 - 30 Bowling Green

There’s a massive payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with Bowling Green to enjoy a 30-17 victory which will hopefully go close.

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Sacramento State vs Bowling Green Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 77% chance of securing victory, Bowling Green are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -333. The market suggests that Sacramento State are least likely to win at +260.

The spread is 8.5 and the total points line is currently 44.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular football wagers. If you’re going for Under 44.5, this outcome can be backed at -118.

The good news is that you can access a huge selection of team props and game lines for most college football matchups. The top sportsbooks have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Sacramento State

+260

BGSU

-333

Point Spread

Sacramento State +8.5

-110

BGSU -8.5

-110

Total Points

Under 44.5

-118

Over 44.5

-104

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the quarterback and player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The gambling sites will provide lots of options.

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, then college football micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on what will happen on the next snap by staking your money on the Next Play Result.

Bowling Green Run Includes Five Consecutive Home Losses

Bowling Green have stumbled to five straight defeats at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. They are 4-6 in their last 10 home games, putting up 16.40 points on average and giving up 19.20.

Sacramento State have stumbled to five consecutive losses away from home. They have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 games away from home, posting 21.90 points per contest while yielding 31.30.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O44.5	U44.5
Bowling Green Home Stats		4-6	35.60	16.40	19.20	1	9
Sacramento State Away Stats		2-8	53.20	21.90	31.30	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
• U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Sacramento State Stats

Bowling Green Falcons Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 51.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 53.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.00 pts and allowed 28.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.90 pts and allowed 31.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 38.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 16.30 pts and allowed 27.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 16.40 pts and allowed 21.70 pts in the last 10 home games

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