Fresno State vs San Jose State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Sep 2026
College Football Betting Preview: Fresno State vs San Jose State
Fresno State battle San Jose State at CEFCU Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 23:00 on Saturday, September 19.
Fresno State should be taken against the spread at -6.5 with our prediction being for them to achieve a comfortable margin of victory when clashing with San Jose State. Back the favorites at the -110 that's available.
Fresno State Bulldogs won their previous game which was at home. It was a 49-3 triumph at Bulldog Stadium against Sacramento State.
San Jose State Spartans last game was a 30-20 home win. This victory over Cal Poly Mustangs at CEFCU Stadium made it back-to-back victories.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Fresno State have claimed victories in the last two matchups against San Jose State. At Bulldog Stadium, the scoreline was 33-10 and then we saw 41-14 at CEFCU Stadium. Fresno State have triumphed in four of the previous 6 clashes between these teams.
Quarterbacks
Jayden Mandal
Luke Weaver
Fresno State vs San Jose State Prediction & Picks
We dive into the best Fresno State vs San Jose State betting angles, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast, top player prop bets and a value-focused bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’re excited to see the favorites at -6.5 on the spread in this college football matchup. We think it’s a really good number for Fresno State to cover at odds of -110.
We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our college football handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.
Key Fresno State vs San Jose State stats:
Fresno State -6.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
There’s the opportunity to sell points and that means moving the line until you’re happy with the bet. It means a riskier wager but a bigger return on the odds available.
Before you back your picks, see how far a bonus can take you — our guide highlights the top betting offers live now.
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Luke Weaver (San Jose State) to finish with fewer than 223.5 passing yards are -114. He is likely to fall short of the line, making this QB Passing Yards bet an appealing option.
Bryson Donelson (Fresno State) is available at -114 to finish with fewer than 74.5 rushing yards. Considering all factors, we’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Rushing Yards line.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Fresno State -6.5 on the spread, combined with Under 50.5 and Luke Weaver (San Jose State) to go Under 223.5 passing yards.
A football same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
28
-
14
San Jose State
You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a massive return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Dogs to achieve a 28-14 win and hopefully this goes close.
Fresno State vs San Jose State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Fresno State are -233 favorites and that means a 70% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. San Jose State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +190.
The spread is calculated to be 6.5, while total points comes in at 50.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Under 50.5, this outcome can be backed at -118.
College football fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the top betting sites and find the best value picks.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
San Jose State Have Picked Up Five Wins in Past Ten at Home
San Jose State have a 5-5 record in their last 10 home games, averaging 25.60 points scored and 29.70 points allowed.
Fresno State own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 road games, putting up 22.30 points on average and giving up 26.50.
Fresno State beat San Jose State 41-14 when the teams last met at CEFCU Stadium. In the previous 4 head-to-head meetings at CEFCU Stadium, both teams have come away with two wins.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O50.5 | U50.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 San Jose State Home Stats |
5-5 | 55.30 | 25.60 | 29.70 | 6 | 4 | |
 Fresno State Away Stats |
5-5 | 48.80 | 22.30 | 26.50 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O50.5 = Games Over 50.5 Points
- U50.5 = Games Under 50.5 Points
- NCAAF: 30/11 2025 Fresno State 41 San Jose State 14
- NCAAF: 27/10 2024 San Jose State 10 Fresno State 33
- NCAAF: 12/11 2023 Fresno State 18 San Jose State 42
- NCAAF: 16/10 2022 San Jose State 10 Fresno State 17
- NCAAF: 25/11 2021 Fresno State 40 San Jose State 9
- NCAAF: 01/12 2019 Fresno State 16 San Jose State 17
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Fresno State Bulldogs Stats
San Jose State Spartans Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 40.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 50.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.00 pts and allowed 18.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.30 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 55.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 57.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 50.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.40 pts and allowed 33.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.40 pts and allowed 29.60 pts in the last 10 home games
| Mountain West | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNLV
|
1 | 2 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1L |
North Dakota State
|
3 | 0 | 109 | 39 | 70 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 3W |
New Mexico
|
2 | 0 | 108 | 14 | 94 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
|
San Jose State
|
2 | 1 | 83 | 83 | 0 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 2W |
Nevada
|
1 | 1 | 56 | 34 | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
UTEP
|
1 | 1 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Wyoming
|
1 | 1 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Northern Illinois
|
0 | 2 | 24 | 68 | -44 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
Air Force
|
1 | 1 | 66 | 38 | 28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
Hawaii
|
1 | 2 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1W |
| Pacific-12 | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colorado State
|
2 | 0 | 93 | 37 | 56 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
Boise State
|
1 | 1 | 65 | 54 | 11 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
|
Fresno State
|
1 | 1 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
San Diego State
|
1 | 1 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Oregon State
|
0 | 2 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
Utah State
|
0 | 2 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
Washington State
|
0 | 2 | 17 | 58 | -41 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2L |
Texas State
|
0 | 2 | 33 | 90 | -57 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
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