Fresno State vs Texas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Nov 2026

Fresno State vs Texas State Predictions

Best Bet

Texas State -9.5 @ -120

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There’s a strong case for backing Texas State on the spread when they play Fresno State. The line looks really appealing considering you can get -120 when it comes to the favorites at -9.5.

Our Fresno State vs Texas State predictions feature our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Pick. Head further down the page to find the detailed evaluation of each play.

Fresno State vs Texas State Preview

Fresno State go up against Texas State at UFCU Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday, November 14.

Fresno State Bulldogs have now lost back-to-back road games. In their previous game, Utah State Aggies won 17-10 at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium.

Texas State Bobcats have triumphed in their last four home games. Most recently, they won on the road when beating Oregon State Beavers 42-21 at Reser Stadium.

Best Bet

We’re very excited to see Texas State at -9.5 on the spread in this college football battle. We think it’s a great number for the betting favorites to cover at -120.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The -9.5 line has been covered by Texas State in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -9.5 line has been covered by Texas State in 3 of their last 5 games at home this season.

We only publish our CFB predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.

Texas State -9.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college wager.

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Texas State -9.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Fresno State 20 - 31 Texas State

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a massive return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for Texas State to achieve a 31-20 win and hopefully this goes close.

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Fresno State vs Texas State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Texas State have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 78% probability due to their -357 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Fresno State are trading at +280.

The current spread is 9.5 and total points is 59.5. Football fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you want to bet Under 59.5, there are odds of -110.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game on college football, the best sportsbooks let you feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.

Moneyline

Fresno State

+280

Texas State

-357

Point Spread

Fresno State +9.5

-100

Texas State -9.5

-120

Total Points

Under 59.5

-110

Over 59.5

-110

Texas State Riding Momentum at Home

Texas State have recorded four consecutive victories at UFCU Stadium. They own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, posting 40.00 points per contest while yielding 26.30.

Fresno State own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 games on the road, putting up 23.60 points per contest and giving up 21.60.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O59.5	U59.5
Texas State Home Stats		7-3	66.30	40.00	26.30	6	4
Fresno State Away Stats		6-4	45.20	23.60	21.60	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O59.5 = Games Over 59.5 Points
• U59.5 = Games Under 59.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Fresno State Bulldogs Stats

Texas State Bobcats Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 45.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 59.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 59.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.90 pts and allowed 18.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.60 pts and allowed 21.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 67.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 67.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 59.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 59.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 38.80 pts and allowed 28.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 40.60 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 home games

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