UCLA vs Cal Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Sep 2026

College Football Betting Preview: UCLA vs Cal

UCLA battle Cal at California Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 22:30 on Saturday, September 5.

We’re keeping our prediction simple and backing Cal to win. They should be able to gain the upper hand over UCLA and the Moneyline offers a tempting +104.

UCLA Bruins suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 29-10 scoreline occurred on the road at Solider Field against USC Trojans.

California Golden Bears were defeated in their last game. They suffered a 35-31 reverse against Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Cal beat UCLA in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 33-7 scoreline at Rose Bowl. The past 5 clashes between these teams have seen three UCLA wins.

Quarterbacks

Nico Iamaleava

206.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele

263.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

UCLA vs Cal Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top UCLA vs Cal betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We think that Cal should prove too strong in this college football battle. Therefore, we’re confidently wagering them to win and there’s juice in the +104 available.

Our CFB predictions are always well-researched, starting with a combination of the latest team news and current form. Once we’ve got a solid read on the matchup, we layer in the key data to back it up.

Key UCLA vs Cal stats:

• California have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• California have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• UCLA have lost their last 5 games.
• UCLA have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
• UCLA have lost 13 of their last 20 games.

Cal Moneyline Probability

If you go by the top betting apps, there’s a 49% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

As a betting option, you could consider the spread where you can back Cal to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.

Give your betting journey a head start. Explore the latest welcome offers and free bets in our easy-to-follow guide.

Our Game Prediction

Cal Moneyline @ +104 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 4, 05:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Over 263.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Cal) to go over 263.5 passing yards are -114. We’re happy to take him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can place this wager with confidence.

Latest Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 263.5

-114

Under 263.5

-114

---

Landon Ellis Over 34.5 Receiving Yards -114

The odds for Landon Ellis (UCLA) to exceed 34.5 receiving yards stand at -114. We can back him in the Player Receiving Yards market and hope the Over hits.

Latest Landon Ellis Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

UCLA 27 - 31 Cal

A close battle could be on the cards. We’ll bet on the Golden Bears to claim a 31-27 victory at huge odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

UCLA vs Cal Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The betting odds about California winning is +104, with UCLA priced up at -122 to achieve victory. The hosts have a 49% chance of victory in the eyes of the most popular sportsbooks.

The current spread is 1.5 and total points is 53.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular football wagers. If you’re going for Under 53.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

The top sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

UCLA

-122

Cal

+104

Point Spread

UCLA -1.5

-115

Cal +1.5

-105

Total Points

Under 53.5

-110

Over 53.5

-110

Receiving Yards

Ian Strong (Cal)

Over 66.5

-118

Under 66.5

-112

Chase Hendricks (Cal)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Leland Smith (UCLA)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Landon Ellis (UCLA)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Wayne Knight (UCLA)

Over 61.5

-114

Under 61.5

-114

Adam Mohammed (Cal)

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Nico Iamaleava (UCLA)

Over 39.5

-118

Under 39.5

-112

Mikey Matthews (UCLA)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Passing Yards

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Cal)

Over 263.5

-114

Under 263.5

-114

Nico Iamaleava (UCLA)

Over 206.5

-114

Under 206.5

-114

Cal Count Six Wins in Previous Ten at Home

Cal have gone 6-4 across their last 10 home games, putting up 27.90 points on average and giving up 23.10.

UCLA have taken three consecutive losses away from home. They are 3-7 in their last 10 road games, averaging 19.30 points scored and 30.30 points allowed.

UCLA defeated Cal 35-28 the last time they played at California Memorial Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O53.5	U53.5
Cal Home Stats		6-4	51.00	27.90	23.10	3	7
UCLA Away Stats		3-7	49.60	19.30	30.30	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O53.5 = Games Over 53.5 Points
• U53.5 = Games Under 53.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UCLA Bruins Stats

Cal Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 51.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 53.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 53.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 18.50 pts and allowed 32.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.30 pts and allowed 30.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 55.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 53.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 53.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.30 pts and allowed 32.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.90 pts and allowed 23.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Where to Bet on American Football Games

Top American Football Pages