LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Saturday

NBA Betting Preview: Lakers vs Warriors

The LA Lakers tip off against the Golden State Warriors in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We’re excited to see the Lakers at -3.5 on the spread and think it’s a great number for them to cover against the Warriors at odds of -108.

LA Lakers have suffered a defeat in their previous three games including a recent 113-110 loss. This occurred on the road at Mortgage Matchup Center against Phoenix Suns. Luka Doncic dropped 41 points, as LeBron James finished with 15 and Austin Reaves 14.

Golden State Warriors won their last game 133-112. This was a road victory at FedExForum against Memphis Grizzlies. Will Richard scored 21 points, with Gary Payton II adding 19 and Brandin Podziemski 19.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Crypto.com Arena, with the Lakers claiming the win. Beating the Warriors by a 105-99 scoreline. The H2H over the past 10 games have seen five wins for both teams.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	1	0	1	127	105	22	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Warriors	0	1	0	105	127	-22	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L

View Full Standings

5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. The Lakers are averaging 112.4 points, 38.8 rebounds, 25.7 assists, 8.0 steals and 4.0 blocks while shooting 50.4% from the field and 76.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 113.8 points and 41.1 rebounds per matchup.

LeBron James is averaging 18.1 points and 7.4 assists, while DeAndre Ayton averages 5.5 rebounds and Luka Doncic 2.4 (42.1%) 3-pointers made.

The Warriors have won 4 and lost 6 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 112.5 points, 42.8 rebounds, 30.9 assists, 10.2 steals and 3.7 blocks per game while shooting 46.7% from the field and 75.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 114.8 points and 45.3 rebounds.

Moses Moody is averaging 15.8 points and 3.2 (41.6%) 3-pointers made. Brandin Podziemski has an average of 7.3 rebounds and Patrick Spencer 5.3 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

LA Lakers lineup: DeAndre Ayton, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic.

Golden State Warriors lineup: Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Draymond Green.

LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

Get the full betting picture for LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Game Prediction

Our best pick is that Lakers are going to cover the -3.5 on the spread. You can get -108 that there’s a bigger margin of victory in this NBA contest.

We track all injuries that could impact each franchise before making our basketball predictions. The form guide and latest stats also help the Sportsgambler.com team crunch the numbers ahead of the NBA action.

Key Lakers vs Warriors stats:

• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Warriors in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Warriors in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lakers -3.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 51.8% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Want bigger odds when it comes to your wager? Never fear, you are able to head to the sportsbooks and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

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Our Game Prediction

Lakers -3.5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 28, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: De'Anthony Melton Over 16.5 Points -114

De'Anthony Melton (Warriors) has racked up Over 16.5 points in 4 straight games. This statistic guides us towards Player Points where we’re able to back him at odds of -114 to cover the line.

Latest De'Anthony Melton Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-106

Under 16.5

-128

Assists

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-122

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-164

---

Moses Moody Over 2.5 Assists +158

Moses Moody (Warriors) has had Over 2.5 assists in 3 of the past 5 games. He therefore looks capable of covering the line when it comes our Player Assists bet, with odds of +158 available.

Latest Moses Moody Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-127

Under 13.5

-108

Assists

Over 2.5

+158

Under 2.5

-208

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-120

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lakers 120 - 112 Warriors

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Lakers to record a 120-112 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The LA Lakers odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -167 betting favorites to land victory in this NBA game which means a 63% chance of winning. Golden State Warriors are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +140.

The spread currently stands at 4 and the total points line is 225.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you want to back Over 225.5, it’s -108.

Consider every angle when placing your bets. The best basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Lakers

-167

Warriors

+140

Point Spread

Lakers -4

-105

Warriors +4

-115

Total Points

Under 225.5

-112

Over 225.5

-108

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Luka Doncic is available at -120 to rack up Over 31.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -114 is available.

Luka Doncic (Lakers)

Over 31.5

-120

Under 31.5

-114

Austin Reaves (Lakers)

Over 20.5

-106

Under 20.5

-128

LeBron James (Lakers)

Over 19.5

-120

Under 19.5

-114

De'Anthony Melton (Warriors)

Over 16.5

-106

Under 16.5

-128

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 16.5

-104

Under 16.5

-132

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 13.5

-127

Under 13.5

-108

Gui Santos (Warriors)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-120

Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors)

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-115

Deandre Ayton (Lakers)

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-130

Al Horford (Warriors)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-114

Pat Spencer (Warriors)

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-105

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-125

Marcus Smart (Lakers)

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-114

Luke Kennard (Lakers)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-120

Jaxson Hayes (Lakers)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-114

Luka Doncic (Lakers)

Over 8.5

-106

Under 8.5

-128

LeBron James (Lakers)

Over 6.5

-106

Under 6.5

-128

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-104

Pat Spencer (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-119

Under 4.5

-109

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+104

Austin Reaves (Lakers)

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-123

Gui Santos (Warriors)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-145

Al Horford (Warriors)

Over 3.5

+138

Under 3.5

-189

De'Anthony Melton (Warriors)

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-122

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 2.5

+158

Under 2.5

-208

Marcus Smart (Lakers)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-164

Deandre Ayton (Lakers)

Over 8.5

+107

Under 8.5

-143

Luka Doncic (Lakers)

Over 7.5

-143

Under 7.5

+107

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 6.5

-105

Under 6.5

-130

LeBron James (Lakers)

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-108

Gui Santos (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-123

Al Horford (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-103

Under 5.5

-133

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-137

Austin Reaves (Lakers)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-118

De'Anthony Melton (Warriors)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-164

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-120

Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors)

Over 3.5

+124

Under 3.5

-161

Jaxson Hayes (Lakers)

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

+104

Pat Spencer (Warriors)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-114

Marcus Smart (Lakers)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-159

Luke Kennard (Lakers)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-154

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The Warriors own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 120.70 points on offense and surrendering 120.70 on defense.

The Lakers have gone 5-5 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 115.60 points on offense and surrendering 115.30 on defense.

The Warriors earned a 111-103 win against the Lakers in the teams’ last meeting at Chase Center. Across 10 head-to-head meetings at Chase Center, the Warriors have come away with six wins, while the Lakers have four.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O225.5	U225.5
Golden State Warriors Home Stats		3-7	233.20	113.30	119.90	7	3
LA Lakers Away Stats		6-4	235.10	117.60	117.50	7	3

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O225.5 = Games Over 225.5 Points
• U225.5 = Games Under 225.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

LA Lakers Stats

Golden State Warriors Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 234.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 235.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 225.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 225.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 116.00 pts and allowed 118.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 117.60 pts and allowed 117.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 231.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 233.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 225.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 225.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 113.10 pts and allowed 118.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 113.30 pts and allowed 119.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.60 (59%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 9.40 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 24.60 (74.55%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.6, Offensive 9.30, Defensive 33.30
• Assists: 25.40
• Blocks: 4.80
• Steals: 8.60
• Turnovers : 13.30
• Personal Fouls: 17.50

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.80 (60%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.90 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.30 (75.27%)
• Rebounds: Total 40, Offensive 9.50, Defensive 30.50
• Assists: 26.10
• Blocks: 4.10
• Steals: 9.30
• Turnovers : 12.10
• Personal Fouls: 18.30

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.10 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.30 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.00 (79.3%)
• Rebounds: Total 39.8, Offensive 9.90, Defensive 29.90
• Assists: 28.20
• Blocks: 3.60
• Steals: 9.00
• Turnovers : 17.30
• Personal Fouls: 19.70

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.30 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.90 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.00 (82.57%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.8, Offensive 10.50, Defensive 30.30
• Assists: 27.90
• Blocks: 4.10
• Steals: 8.00
• Turnovers : 13.20
• Personal Fouls: 19.00

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup

2 Brandin Podziemski

4 Moses Moody

8 De'Anthony Melton

15 Gui Santos

23 Draymond Green

LA Lakers Confirmed Lineup

5 DeAndre Ayton

15 Austin Reaves

23 LeBron James

36 Marcus Smart

77 Luka Doncic

NBA Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	135	92	43	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	103	110	-7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	1	0	1	123	120	3	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Bucks	0	1	0	116	128	-12	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bulls	0	1	0	92	135	-43	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	1	0	1	132	125	7	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Wizards	1	0	1	128	116	12	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	110	103	7	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Magic	0	1	0	125	132	-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	106	131	-25	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Trail Blazers	1	0	1	124	83	41	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	131	106	25	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Jazz	0	1	0	103	123	-20	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Clippers	1	0	1	121	96	25	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Lakers	1	0	1	127	105	22	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Warriors	0	1	0	105	127	-22	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	96	121	-25	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Suns	0	1	0	83	124	-41	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	1	0	1	128	110	18	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	123	103	20	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	110	128	-18	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	120	123	-3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hawks	1	0	1	132	125	7	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	135	92	43	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Wizards	1	0	1	128	116	12	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	110	103	7	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	1	0	1	123	120	3	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	103	110	-7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Magic	0	1	0	125	132	-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bucks	0	1	0	116	128	-12	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bulls	0	1	0	92	135	-43	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	106	131	-25	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Trail Blazers	1	0	1	124	83	41	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Clippers	1	0	1	121	96	25	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Rockets	1	0	1	128	110	18	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Lakers	1	0	1	127	105	22	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	123	103	20	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	131	106	25	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	110	128	-18	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Jazz	0	1	0	103	123	-20	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Warriors	0	1	0	105	127	-22	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	96	121	-25	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Suns	0	1	0	83	124	-41	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	120	123	-3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	1	0	1	132	125	7	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	110	103	7	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Rockets	1	0	1	128	110	18	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	1	0	1	123	120	3	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Clippers	1	0	1	121	96	25	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Lakers	1	0	1	127	105	22	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	123	103	20	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	131	106	25	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Trail Blazers	1	0	1	124	83	41	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	135	92	43	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Wizards	1	0	1	128	116	12	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	103	110	-7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bulls	0	1	0	92	135	-43	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	1	0	110	128	-18	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	1	0	105	127	-22	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	106	131	-25	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Bucks	0	1	0	116	128	-12	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	120	123	-3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Magic	0	1	0	125	132	-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Suns	0	1	0	83	124	-41	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	96	121	-25	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Jazz	0	1	0	103	123	-20	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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