Miami Heat
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Charlotte Hornets
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Play-In Tournament Betting Preview: Heat vs Hornets

No. 10 Miami Heat take on No. 9 Charlotte Hornets in the NBA Play-In Tournament, with the winner advancing to face either the Magic or the 76ers, while the loser is eliminated.

Going Over the Total Points Makes Sense

The Overs is sticking out like a sore thumb considering the line for the Heat and the Hornets is set at 228.5. We’re expecting a bigger total and -108 is available.

Both Teams Coming Off Wins

The Miami Heat (43-39 , 17-24 Away) rolled past the Atlanta Hawks 143-117 at Kaseya Center last time out for their second straight win. Jaime Jaquez Jr. dropped 26 points, with Norman Powell and Bam Adebayo adding 25 apiece.

The Charlotte Hornets (44-38 , 21-20 Home) picked up a 110-96 road win over the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden last time out, with Coby White, LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller all finishing with 19 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Hornets came out on top the last time these teams met, recording a 136-106 win at the Spectrum Center. However, the Heat have won eight of the last 10 meetings between the teams.

NBA Reg. Season W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hornets logo Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat logo Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 125.8 points, 43.3 rebounds, 31.0 assists, 6.1 steals and 4.0 blocks while shooting 50.0% from the field and 78.8% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 126.2 points and 43.1 rebounds per contest.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 18.8 points and 11.4 rebounds, Davion Mitchell 5.1 assists and Andrew Wiggins 2.4 (51.1%) 3-pointers.

Charlotte Hornets – Last 10 Games

The Hornets have won 6 and lost 4 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 113.4 points, 44.8 rebounds, 24.9 assists, 6.3 steals and 4.1 blocks per game while shooting 45.6% from the field and 82.5% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 107.1 points and 38.2 rebounds.

LaMelo Ball is averaging 22.5 points, 7.4 assists and 4.6 (35.9%) 3-pointers made, while Moussa Diabate has an average of 7.3 rebounds.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re confident that Over 228.5 is the value play at -108. We’re expecting these NBA teams to rack up the points, so a total bet could be the way forward.

The NBA experts at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any basketball predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.

Key Heat vs Hornets stats:

  • The 228.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Heat games on the road.
  • The 228.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Heat games.
  • The 228.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Heat games.
  • The 228.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Hornets games at home.
  • The 228.5 line has been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Over 228.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of delivering a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you want to go Over on the Totals at a bigger price, then you can combine this pick with other selections in a Bet Builder until you’re happy with the potential return.

Boost your betting strategy with exclusive offers, free bets, and welcome bonuses—all in our straightforward guide.

Our Game Prediction
Over 228.5 Points @ -108 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 14, 00:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:02, 14 April 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: LaMelo Ball Over 22.5 Points -118 BetMGM logo

LaMelo Ball (Hornets) has scored an average of 27 points in the past 5 games. We are therefore going to choose a Player Points prop bet at odds of -118 which will hopefully see this him cover the line.

Latest LaMelo Ball Player Prop Odds


Kon Knueppel Under 17.5 Points -112 BetMGM logo

Kon Knueppel (Hornets) has scored an average of 13.6 points in the past 5 games. There could once again be a failure on his part to cover the line and the Player Points bet can be backed at -112.

Latest Kon Knueppel Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Over 228.5
Spread Hornets -5.5
Player Points LaMelo Ball Over 22.5

Our same game parlay pick is Over 228.5, Hornets -5.5 on the spread and LaMelo Ball (Hornets) to score Over 22.5 points.

The betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual game. It means that you can create a personalised basketball wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of selections.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 113 - 121 Hornets logo Hornets

We’re going for the Hornets to achieve a 121-113 win and the good news is that there are massive odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Hornets Have the Shortest Odds to Win

With a 68% chance of securing victory, Charlotte Hornets are favorites for this NBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -213. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +180 about Miami Heat.

The current spread is 5.5 and the total points line is 228.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you want to wager Over 228.5, there are odds of -108.

There are hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this popular basketball league and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Betting Lines & Odds
LaMelo Ball Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite LaMelo Ball is available at -118 to rack up Over 22.5 points. If you want to go Under, then the same odds are available.

Player Points
Player Assists
LaMelo Ball (Hornets)
Over 8.5
+110
Under 8.5
-149
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 5.5
-137
Under 5.5
-100
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Moussa Diabate (Hornets)
Over 10.5
-114
Under 10.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
LaMelo Ball (Hornets)
Over 5.5
+120
Under 5.5
-161
BetMGM Logo
Brandon Miller (Hornets)
Over 5.5
+105
Under 5.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Hornets Sitting on Seven Wins in Past Ten at Home

The Hornets have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 home games, putting up 120.70 points per contest and giving up 107.60.

The Heat are 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 118.80 points per contest and giving up 125.60.

The last time the teams met at Spectrum Center, the Hornets defeated the Heat 136-106. In the last 10 head-to-head matchups at Spectrum Center, the Heat have notched six victories, while the Hornets have recorded four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O228.5 U228.5
Charlotte Hornets logo Charlotte Hornets Home Stats 7-3 228.30 120.70 107.60 5 5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 3-7 244.40 118.80 125.60 8 2
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O228.5 = Games Over 228.5 Points
  • U228.5 = Games Under 228.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Charlotte Hornets logo Charlotte Hornets Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Charlotte Hornets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

12 Apr NBA
Hawks 117-143 Heat
10 Apr NBA
Heat 140-117 Wizards
09 Apr NBA
Heat 114-128 Raptors
07 Apr NBA
Heat 95-121 Raptors
04 Apr NBA
Wizards 136-152 Heat
01 Apr NBA
Celtics 147-129 Heat
30 Mar NBA
76ers 109-119 Heat
29 Mar NBA
Heat 118-135 Pacers
27 Mar NBA
Heat 128-149 Cavaliers
25 Mar NBA
Heat 120-103 Cavaliers

Previous Charlotte Hornets Lineups

12 Apr NBA
Hornets 110-96 Knicks
10 Apr NBA
Pistons 118-100 Hornets
07 Apr NBA
Hornets 102-113 Celtics
05 Apr NBA
Hornets 122-108 Timberwolves
03 Apr NBA
Pacers 108-129 Hornets
02 Apr NBA
Suns 107-127 Hornets
31 Mar NBA
Hornets 117-86 Nets
29 Mar NBA
Celtics 114-99 Hornets
28 Mar NBA
76ers 118-114 Hornets
26 Mar NBA
Knicks 103-114 Hornets

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak