Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Tuesday

NBA Play-In Tournament Betting Preview: Heat vs Hornets

No. 10 Miami Heat take on No. 9 Charlotte Hornets in the NBA Play-In Tournament, with the winner advancing to face either the Magic or the 76ers, while the loser is eliminated.

The Over stands out with the total set at 228.5. With both teams playing at a solid pace and capable of scoring efficiently, we’re expecting a higher-scoring game, making odds of -108 appealing.

The Miami Heat (43-39, 17-24 Away) rolled past the Atlanta Hawks 143-117 at Kaseya Center last time out for their second straight win. Jaime Jaquez Jr. dropped 26 points, with Norman Powell and Bam Adebayo adding 25 apiece.

The Charlotte Hornets (44-38, 21-20 Home) picked up a 110-96 road win over the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden last time out, with Coby White, LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller all finishing with 19 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Hornets came out on top the last time these teams met, recording a 136-106 win at the Spectrum Center. However, the Heat have won eight of the last 10 meetings between the teams.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hornets	1	0	1	110	103	7	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Heat	0	1	0	106	131	-25	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L

View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell.

Charlotte Hornets lineup: Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Moussa Diabate, Brandon Miller.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a same game parlay tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re confident that Over 228.5 is the value play at -108. We’re expecting these NBA teams to rack up the points, so a total bet could be the way forward.

The NBA experts at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any basketball predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.

Key Heat vs Hornets stats:

• The 228.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Heat games on the road.
• The 228.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Heat games.
• The 228.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Heat games.
• The 228.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Hornets games at home.
• The 228.5 line has been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Over 228.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of delivering a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you want to go Over on the Totals at a bigger price, then you can combine this pick with other selections in a same game parlay until you’re happy with the potential return.

Boost your betting strategy with exclusive offers, free bets, and welcome bonuses—all in our straightforward guide.

Our Game Prediction

Over 228.5 Points @ -108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 14, 00:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bam Adebayo Under 20.5 Points -115

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has an average of 16 points in the past 5 games on the road. This gives us confidence that he might not cover the line and you can wager on Player Points at betting odds of -115.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 21.5

-115

Under 21.5

-118

Assists

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-143

Rebounds

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-139

---

LaMelo Ball Over 23.5 Points -112

LaMelo Ball (Hornets) has totaled an average of 27 points in the past 5 games. This statistic guides us towards Player Points where we’re able to back him at odds of -112 to cover the line.

Latest LaMelo Ball Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 23.5

-105

Under 23.5

-128

Assists

Over 7.5

-132

Under 7.5

-104

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-164

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat 113 - 121 Hornets

We’re going with a 121-113 Hornets win, with this correct score offering huge odds and the potential for a strong return from a small stake.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 70% chance of securing victory, the Charlotte Hornets are favorites for this NBA Play-In Tournament game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -238. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +198 about the Miami Heat.

The current spread is 6 and the total points line is 228.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you want to wager Over 228.5, there are odds of -110.

There are hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this popular basketball league and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Heat

+198

Hornets

-238

Point Spread

Heat +6

-112

Hornets -6

-108

Total Points

Under 228.5

-110

Over 228.5

-110

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite LaMelo Ball is available at -105 to rack up Over 23.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -128 is available.

LaMelo Ball (Hornets)

Over 23.5

-105

Under 23.5

-128

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 21.5

-115

Under 21.5

-118

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 20.5

-123

Under 20.5

-109

Brandon Miller (Hornets)

Over 20.5

-105

Under 20.5

-130

Kon Knueppel (Hornets)

Over 19.5

-106

Under 19.5

-128

Norman Powell (Heat)

Over 15.5

-115

Under 15.5

-118

Miles Bridges (Hornets)

Over 15.5

-109

Under 15.5

-125

Coby White (Hornets)

Over 13.5

-122

Under 13.5

-112

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 13.5

-104

Under 13.5

-132

Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)

Over 11.5

-106

Under 11.5

-128

Pelle Larsson (Heat)

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-105

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-127

Moussa Diabate (Hornets)

Over 7.5

-128

Under 7.5

-106

Grant Williams (Hornets)

Over 5.5

-118

Under 5.5

-115

Ryan Kalkbrenner (Hornets)

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-109

LaMelo Ball (Hornets)

Over 7.5

-132

Under 7.5

-104

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+110

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 4.5

+107

Under 4.5

-143

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-143

Brandon Miller (Hornets)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-149

Kon Knueppel (Hornets)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-179

Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+105

Norman Powell (Heat)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-179

Miles Bridges (Hornets)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

+104

Coby White (Hornets)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

-100

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-133

Pelle Larsson (Heat)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-103

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-139

Moussa Diabate (Hornets)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-120

LaMelo Ball (Hornets)

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-164

Brandon Miller (Hornets)

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-147

Kon Knueppel (Hornets)

Over 5.5

+114

Under 5.5

-156

Miles Bridges (Hornets)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-122

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-105

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-123

Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+106

Pelle Larsson (Heat)

Over 3.5

-104

Under 3.5

-132

Grant Williams (Hornets)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-118

Ryan Kalkbrenner (Hornets)

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-147

Norman Powell (Heat)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-120

Coby White (Hornets)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-130

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-125

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

The Hornets have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 home games, putting up 120.70 points per contest and giving up 107.60.

The Heat are 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 118.80 points per contest and giving up 125.60.

The last time the teams met at Spectrum Center, the Hornets defeated the Heat 136-106. In the last 10 head-to-head matchups at Spectrum Center, the Heat have notched six victories, while the Hornets have recorded four.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O228.5	U228.5
Charlotte Hornets Home Stats		7-3	228.30	120.70	107.60	5	5
Miami Heat Away Stats		3-7	244.40	118.80	125.60	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O228.5 = Games Over 228.5 Points
• U228.5 = Games Under 228.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat Stats

Charlotte Hornets Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 252.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 244.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 228.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 228.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 125.80 pts and allowed 126.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 118.80 pts and allowed 125.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 220.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 228.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 228.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 228.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 113.40 pts and allowed 107.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 120.70 pts and allowed 107.60 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.60 (59%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.90 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.90 (78.75%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.3, Offensive 10.20, Defensive 33.10
• Assists: 31.00
• Blocks: 4.00
• Steals: 6.10
• Turnovers : 11.80
• Personal Fouls: 17.70

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.40 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.00 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.00 (79.83%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.8, Offensive 9.50, Defensive 32.30
• Assists: 29.60
• Blocks: 2.90
• Steals: 5.80
• Turnovers : 12.20
• Personal Fouls: 18.50

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 23.80 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 16.60 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.00 (82.47%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.8, Offensive 13.50, Defensive 31.30
• Assists: 24.90
• Blocks: 4.10
• Steals: 6.30
• Turnovers : 12.60
• Personal Fouls: 18.30

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 24.40 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 18.30 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.00 (80.19%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.4, Offensive 12.50, Defensive 33.90
• Assists: 25.60
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 7.00
• Turnovers : 13.60
• Personal Fouls: 19.40

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Charlotte Hornets Confirmed Lineup

0 Miles Bridges

1 LaMelo Ball

7 Kon Knueppel

14 Moussa Diabate

24 Brandon Miller

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

7 Kel'el Ware

13 Bam Adebayo

14 Tyler Herro

22 Andrew Wiggins

45 Davion Mitchell

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	135	92	43	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	103	110	-7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	1	0	1	123	120	3	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Bucks	0	1	0	116	128	-12	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bulls	0	1	0	92	135	-43	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	1	0	1	132	125	7	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Wizards	1	0	1	128	116	12	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	110	103	7	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Magic	0	1	0	125	132	-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	106	131	-25	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Trail Blazers	1	0	1	124	83	41	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	131	106	25	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Jazz	0	1	0	103	123	-20	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Clippers	1	0	1	121	96	25	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Lakers	1	0	1	127	105	22	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Warriors	0	1	0	105	127	-22	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	96	121	-25	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Suns	0	1	0	83	124	-41	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	1	0	1	128	110	18	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	123	103	20	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	110	128	-18	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	120	123	-3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hawks	1	0	1	132	125	7	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	135	92	43	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Wizards	1	0	1	128	116	12	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	110	103	7	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	1	0	1	123	120	3	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	103	110	-7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Magic	0	1	0	125	132	-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bucks	0	1	0	116	128	-12	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bulls	0	1	0	92	135	-43	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	106	131	-25	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Trail Blazers	1	0	1	124	83	41	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Clippers	1	0	1	121	96	25	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Rockets	1	0	1	128	110	18	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Lakers	1	0	1	127	105	22	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	123	103	20	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	131	106	25	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	110	128	-18	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Jazz	0	1	0	103	123	-20	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Warriors	0	1	0	105	127	-22	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	96	121	-25	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Suns	0	1	0	83	124	-41	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	120	123	-3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	1	0	1	132	125	7	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	110	103	7	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Rockets	1	0	1	128	110	18	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	1	0	1	123	120	3	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Clippers	1	0	1	121	96	25	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Lakers	1	0	1	127	105	22	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	123	103	20	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	131	106	25	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Trail Blazers	1	0	1	124	83	41	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	135	92	43	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Wizards	1	0	1	128	116	12	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	103	110	-7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bulls	0	1	0	92	135	-43	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	1	0	110	128	-18	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	1	0	105	127	-22	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	106	131	-25	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Bucks	0	1	0	116	128	-12	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	120	123	-3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Magic	0	1	0	125	132	-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Suns	0	1	0	83	124	-41	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	96	121	-25	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Jazz	0	1	0	103	123	-20	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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