Oklahoma City Thunder
Basketball
San Antonio Spurs
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Playoffs Betting Preview: Thunder vs Spurs

The No. 1 seed Oklahoma City Thunder (64-18, 30-10 away) face the No. 2 San Antonio Spurs (62-20, 32-8 at home) in Game 6 of the Western Conference Finals. OKC leads the series 3-2.

Spurs ATS Look the Value Wager

The last two games in this series have produced dominant home wins and we expect that pattern to continue here. An aggressive Victor Wembanyama can help force a Game 7 and we’re backing the Spurs at -3.5 against the spread at odds of -110. This looks like a strong value play.

Thunder Regained Series Lead

The Thunder moved ahead 3-2 in the series after beating the Spurs 127-114 in Game 5 at Paycom Center on Tuesday night.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 32 points in Game 5, while Alex Caruso added 22 and Jared McCain finished with 20. For the Spurs, Stephon Castle scored 24 points, with Julian Champagnie and Victor Wembanyama contributing 22 and 20 respectively.

Head-to-Head Statistics

San Antonio hold a 6-4 edge across the previous 10 meetings with Oklahoma City.

NBA Reg. Season W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder logo Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs logo Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein.

San Antonio Spurs lineup: Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs betting tips: a trusted game prediction, likely correct score outcome, key player prop picks and an expert-crafted same game parlay.

Game Prediction

The Spurs look well placed to cover the -3.5 spread in this Western Conference Finals matchup. We’re backing San Antonio to get the job done at home, with -110 available for the selection.

It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming NBA action along with the current form of each franchise. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our basketball picks.

Key Thunder vs Spurs stats:

  • The -3.5 line has been covered by Spurs in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
  • The -3.5 line has been covered by Spurs in 6 of their last 10 games.

Spurs -3.5 Probability

Based on the latest betting odds from the best NBA sportsbooks, our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

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Our Game Prediction
Spurs -3.5 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 28, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 01:02, 28 May 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jared McCain Under 13.5 Points -106 BetMGM logo

Jared McCain (Thunder) has totaled an average of 8.8 points in the past 5 road games. It’s anticipated that he might once again fall short of the mark and this Player Points wager is available at -106.

Latest Jared McCain Player Prop Odds


Chet Holmgren Over 7.5 Rebounds -141 BetMGM logo

Chet Holmgren (Thunder) has totaled Over 7.5 rebounds in 8 of the past 10 games. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the line, with odds of -141 currently available.

Latest Chet Holmgren Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Spurs -3.5
Totals Over 218.5
Player Points Jared McCain Under 13.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Spurs -3.5, Over 218.5 and Jared McCain (Thunder) to score Under 13.5 points.

The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same basketball game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored wager on the contest which interests them most.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Thunder Thunder logo 109 - 117 Spurs logo Spurs

A 117-109 victory for the Spurs is our correct score prediction, with the potential for a sizeable return if the game plays out as expected.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Latest Moneyline Odds Suggest Spurs Victory

The San Antonio Spurs are -161 favorites with the sportsbooks to win Game 6, which implies a 62% chance of victory. The Thunder are the underdogs at +136 and Oklahoma City is regarded as least likely to win.

The spread currently stands at 3.5 and the total points line is 218.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you’re wanting to back Over 218.5, the odds are -115.

Basketball fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every event on the coupon. Head to the top betting sites and find the best value picks.

Betting Lines & Odds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is favorite when it comes to landing the most baskets. You can get -112 that he goes Over 29.5 points and -122 when it comes to Under.

Player Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 29.5
-112
Under 29.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)
Over 27.5
-120
Under 27.5
-114
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Stephon Castle (Spurs)
Over 17.5
-114
Under 17.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 7.5
-149
Under 7.5
+110
BetMGM Logo
Stephon Castle (Spurs)
Over 7.5
+118
Under 7.5
-159
BetMGM Logo
De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)
Over 5.5
-132
Under 5.5
-103
BetMGM Logo
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)
Over 3.5
+112
Under 3.5
-154
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)
Over 12.5
-132
Under 12.5
-104
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Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)
Over 8.5
+107
Under 8.5
-147
BetMGM Logo
Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 7.5
-143
Under 7.5
+105
BetMGM Logo
Stephon Castle (Spurs)
Over 5.5
+112
Under 5.5
-154
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Spurs Record Shows Six Wins in Last Ten at Home

The Spurs have gone 6-4 across their last 10 home games, averaging 115.70 points on offense and surrendering 104.80 on defense.

The Thunder own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 117.00 points scored and 110.30 points allowed.

In their most recent matchup at Frost Bank Center, the Spurs got the better of the Thunder 103-82. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings at Frost Bank Center, both teams have notched five wins.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O219.5 U219.5
San Antonio Spurs logo San Antonio Spurs Home Stats 6-4 220.50 115.70 104.80 5 5
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Away Stats 7-3 227.30 117.00 110.30 8 2
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O219.5 = Games Over 219.5 Points
  • U219.5 = Games Under 219.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Stats
San Antonio Spurs logo San Antonio Spurs Stats
Moneyline
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 13 36.38 364 106 28.0 8.2 1.2 3.0 0.9 1.2
Chet Holmgren 13 30.92 210 16 16.2 1.2 1.2 8.3 1.4 1.0
Ajay Mitchell 11 28.79 166 47 15.1 4.3 1.2 3.7 0.1 1.5

San Antonio Spurs Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Devin Vassell 16 34.36 211 43 13.2 2.7 2.3 5.1 0.8 1.4
De'Aaron Fox 13 33.53 243 83 18.7 6.4 1.5 4.5 0.5 1.3
Stephon Castle 16 33.41 312 105 19.5 6.6 1.8 4.9 0.4 1.0

Injuries & Suspensions

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

San Antonio Spurs Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

San Antonio Spurs logo San Antonio Spurs Confirmed Lineup
1 Victor Wembanyama
4 De'Aaron Fox
5 Stephon Castle
24 Devin Vassell
30 Julian Champagnie
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup
2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
3 Jared McCain
5 Luguentz Dort
7 Chet Holmgren
55 Isaiah Hartenstein

Previous Oklahoma City Thunder Lineups

26 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 114-127 Thunder
24 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 82-103 Spurs
22 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 123-108 Spurs
20 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 113-122 Thunder
18 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 122-115 Thunder
11 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 115-110 Lakers
09 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 131-108 Lakers
07 May NBA Playoffs
Lakers 107-125 Thunder
05 May NBA Playoffs
Lakers 90-108 Thunder
27 Apr NBA Playoffs
Thunder 131-122 Suns

Previous San Antonio Spurs Lineups

26 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 114-127 Thunder
24 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 82-103 Spurs
22 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 123-108 Spurs
20 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 113-122 Thunder
18 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 122-115 Thunder
15 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 139-109 Timberwolves
12 May NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 97-126 Spurs
10 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 109-114 Timberwolves
08 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 115-108 Timberwolves
06 May NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 95-133 Spurs

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak

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