Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Jul 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks
The Phoenix Mercury go up against the Los Angeles Sparks at Crypto.com Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 15:00 on Wednesday, July 22.
If you’re looking for a value wager, then -133 that the Sparks beat the Mercury certainly stands out. We’re expecting them to triumph on the Moneyline and there are nice odds available.
Phoenix Mercury won their previous game, beating Connecticut Sun at home. It was a 72-63 win.
Los Angeles Sparks were beaten last game and this was on the road at College Park Center. Dallas Wings claimed a 90-82 win.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 111-102 (OT) win for the Sparks at Mortgage Matchup Center when they last played the Mercury. It’s been three straight wins for the Sparks when playing the Mercury. However, they have lost 7 of the previous 10 matchups between the pair.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9
Sparks
|
16 | 26 | 3676 | 3853 | -177 | 8-13 | 8-13 | 1W |
10
Mercury
|
16 | 27 | 3630 | 3754 | -124 | 7-14 | 9-13 | 1W |
Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction & Picks
We bring you the complete Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
The best bet could be taking Sparks to simply claim a victory in this WNBA showdown. Our pick can be backed at -133 on the Moneyline which yields a potentially nice return.
Our basketball picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each WNBA franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.
Key Mercury vs Sparks stats:
Sparks Moneyline Probability
The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 57.1% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this WNBA bet.
If you’re wanting bigger odds about the Sparks, then there are a number of alternatives including against the Spread, Double Result and the Result & Both Teams to Score.
Take full advantage of our betting promo codes. Browse our up-to-date guide featuring top bonuses and exclusive offers.
Player Prop Picks
Rae Burrell (Sparks) can be wagered to finish with Under 2.5 assists at +119. We’re happy to take her to fall short of the Player Assists total and go for the Unders option.
Latest Rae Burrell Player Prop Odds
Kahleah Copper (Mercury) is available at -208 to record Under 2.5 assists. She might fall short when it comes to covering the Player Assists line and we’re confident when it comes to this prop bet.
Latest Kahleah Copper Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Sparks on the moneyline, along with Over 178.5 and Rae Burrell (Sparks) to get Under 2.5 assists.
A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular basketball game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
90
-
95
Sparks
There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Sparks on the correct score lines. For example, a 95-90 win in their favor is available at massive odds.
Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Los Angeles Sparks have been given Moneyline odds of -120 against Phoenix Mercury who are -102. This means the leading WNBA sportsbooks give the visiting team a 51% chance of success.
The current spread is 1.5 and total points is 176.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re going for Over 176.5, then the odds are -105.
If you’re wagering on women's basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.
Kahleah Copper is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -108 that she gets Over 20.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -120.
Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.
- WNBA: 22/07 2026 Mercury 86 Sparks 82
- WNBA: 14/06 2026 Sparks 111 Mercury 102
- WNBA: 22/05 2026 Sparks 97 Mercury 88
- WNBA: 10/09 2025 Sparks 88 Mercury 83
- WNBA: 27/08 2025 Mercury 92 Sparks 84
- WNBA: 02/06 2025 Mercury 85 Sparks 80
- WNBA: 22/05 2025 Sparks 86 Mercury 89
- WNBA: 18/09 2024 Mercury 85 Sparks 81
- WNBA: 08/07 2024 Mercury 84 Sparks 78
- WNBA: 29/06 2024 Sparks 78 Mercury 92
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
Los Angeles Sparks Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 175.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 179.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 178.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 178.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.90 pts and allowed 89.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 85.60 pts and allowed 93.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 183.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 182.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 178.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 178.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.50 pts and allowed 94.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 90.70 pts and allowed 91.60 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
32 | 10 | 3834 | 3519 | 315 | 14-7 | 18-3 | 1W |
2
Valkyries
|
31 | 11 | 3457 | 3140 | 317 | 17-5 | 14-6 | 6W |
3
Aces
|
29 | 13 | 3836 | 3615 | 221 | 14-7 | 15-6 | 5W |
4
Dream
|
29 | 14 | 3936 | 3652 | 284 | 15-7 | 14-7 | 4W |
5
Fever
|
27 | 15 | 4060 | 3816 | 244 | 14-7 | 13-8 | 1L |
6
Mystics
|
26 | 16 | 3516 | 3478 | 38 | 13-7 | 13-9 | 2W |
7
Wings
|
26 | 17 | 3830 | 3660 | 170 | 16-6 | 10-11 | 1L |
8
Liberty
|
26 | 17 | 3876 | 3719 | 157 | 14-7 | 12-10 | 1L |
|
9
Sparks
|
16 | 26 | 3676 | 3853 | -177 | 8-13 | 8-13 | 1W |
|
10
Mercury
|
16 | 27 | 3630 | 3754 | -124 | 7-14 | 9-13 | 1W |
11
Fire
|
16 | 27 | 3704 | 3923 | -219 | 8-13 | 8-14 | 4L |
12
Sky
|
15 | 27 | 3628 | 3803 | -175 | 10-11 | 5-16 | 5L |
13
Tempo
|
11 | 31 | 3603 | 3960 | -357 | 7-15 | 4-16 | 6L |
14
Sun
|
10 | 32 | 3306 | 3715 | -409 | 7-14 | 3-18 | 5L |
15
Storm
|
8 | 35 | 3525 | 3810 | -285 | 6-15 | 2-20 | 4L |
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