San Antonio Spurs
Basketball
Oklahoma City Thunder
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Playoffs Betting Preview: Spurs vs Thunder

The No. 2 seed San Antonio Spurs (62-20, 29-12 away) face the No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (64-18, 34-7 at home) in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals. The series is tied 2-2.

Spurs Can Cover the Spread

We’re backing the Spurs at +5.5, with a win or close loss enough for the selection to cash. The -112 on offer looks appealing given San Antonio’s recent road form, the head-to-head record and how competitive this series has been.

Series Wide Open

The series is deadlocked at 2-2 after four games, with the Spurs winning 122-115 in Game 1 before the Thunder responded with victories of 122-113 and 123-108. San Antonio hit back in Game 4 two nights ago, beating Oklahoma City 103-82 at Frost Bank Center.

In Game 4, Victor Wembanyama led the Spurs with 33 points, while Stephon Castle and Devin Vassell both added 13. For the Thunder, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finished with 19 points, with Isaiah Hartenstein contributing 12 and Isaiah Joe 11.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Spurs hold a 6-4 advantage across the last 10 matchups.

NBA Reg. Season W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder logo Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs logo Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

San Antonio Spurs lineup: Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein.

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks

Join us as we dissect the top San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder betting picks — from the main game prediction and scoreline forecast to standout player props and a value-focused same game parlay.

Game Prediction

We’re confident the Spurs can either win outright or keep this Western Conference Finals matchup close. That makes San Antonio at +5.5 our preferred play, with -112 available for this pick.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the NBA form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Spurs vs Thunder stats:

  • The +5.5 line has been covered by Spurs in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
  • The +5.5 line has been covered by Spurs in 18 of their last 20 games on the road.
  • The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Thunder in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Thunder in 6 of their last 10 games against Spurs.

Spurs +5.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.9% likelihood of this pick winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

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Our Game Prediction
Spurs +5.5 @ -112 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 26, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 01:02, 26 May 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Victor Wembanyama Over 26.5 Points -108 BetMGM logo

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs) has recorded an average of 35 points in the past 4 games. We think that he can therefore cover the line and we’ll wager on his Player Points at betting odds of -108.

Latest Victor Wembanyama Player Prop Odds


Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 29.5 Points -118 BetMGM logo

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) has averaged 26.2 points in the past 5 games at home. There’s every reason to expect a similar outcome here and he’s available at odds of -118 to go below the line.

Latest Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Spurs +5.5
Totals Over 216.5
Player Points Victor Wembanyama Over 26.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Spurs +5.5. We’ve also gone for Over 216.5 and Victor Wembanyama (Spurs) to score Over 26.5 points.

There are lots of options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Spurs Spurs logo 110 - 112 Thunder logo Thunder

We expect this one to go down to the wire and are taking the Thunder to win 112-110. The available odds on the correct score could appeal to bettors chasing a much bigger return.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Thunder Could Have the Edge Say the Books

The sportsbooks have the Oklahoma City Thunder at -161 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 62% likely to win Game 5 according to the latest odds. The market suggests that the San Antonio Spurs are least likely to win at +136.

There is a spread of 3.5 and total points has a line of 217.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you want to back Over 217.5, it’s -110.

Basketball bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top NBA sportsbooks and find the best value wagers.

Betting Lines & Odds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

The favorite to score most points is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. You can get -110 that he scores Over 30.5 points or -123 that he goes Under.

Player Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 30.5
-110
Under 30.5
-123
BetMGM Logo
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)
Over 26.5
-118
Under 26.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Stephon Castle (Spurs)
Over 17.5
-105
Under 17.5
-130
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 8.5
+107
Under 8.5
-147
BetMGM Logo
Stephon Castle (Spurs)
Over 6.5
-122
Under 6.5
-112
BetMGM Logo
De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)
Over 5.5
-104
Under 5.5
-132
BetMGM Logo
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)
Over 3.5
-104
Under 3.5
-132
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)
Over 13.5
-114
Under 13.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 7.5
-118
Under 7.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)
Over 7.5
-125
Under 7.5
-109
BetMGM Logo
Stephon Castle (Spurs)
Over 5.5
+104
Under 5.5
-139
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Thunder With Eight Wins in Previous Ten Home Games

The Thunder are 8-2 in their last 10 home games, posting 121.10 points per contest while yielding 107.50.

The Spurs have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 road games, putting up 121.10 points per matchup and giving up 111.70.

The Thunder beat the Spurs 122-113 in their most recent meeting at Paycom Center. Over the past 10 head-to-head meetings at Paycom Center, the Thunder have collected eight wins, while the Spurs have two.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O212.5 U212.5
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Home Stats 8-2 230.30 122.40 107.90 8 2
San Antonio Spurs logo San Antonio Spurs Away Stats 6-4 232.90 119.80 113.10 9 1
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O212.5 = Games Over 212.5 Points
  • U212.5 = Games Under 212.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

San Antonio Spurs logo San Antonio Spurs Stats
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

San Antonio Spurs Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Devin Vassell 17 33.86 223 45 13.1 2.6 2.4 4.8 0.9 1.4
Stephon Castle 17 33.32 329 114 19.4 6.7 1.7 4.9 0.4 1.0
De'Aaron Fox 14 32.96 248 90 17.7 6.4 1.4 4.6 0.4 1.2

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 14 35.8 379 110 27.1 7.9 1.1 2.9 0.9 1.1
Chet Holmgren 14 30.45 220 17 15.7 1.2 1.1 8.5 1.4 1.0
Ajay Mitchell 11 28.79 166 47 15.1 4.3 1.2 3.7 0.1 1.5

Injuries & Suspensions

San Antonio Spurs Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup
2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
3 Jared McCain
5 Luguentz Dort
7 Chet Holmgren
55 Isaiah Hartenstein
San Antonio Spurs logo San Antonio Spurs Confirmed Lineup
1 Victor Wembanyama
4 De'Aaron Fox
5 Stephon Castle
24 Devin Vassell
30 Julian Champagnie

Previous San Antonio Spurs Lineups

28 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 91-118 Spurs
26 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 114-127 Thunder
24 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 82-103 Spurs
22 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 123-108 Spurs
20 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 113-122 Thunder
18 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 122-115 Thunder
15 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 139-109 Timberwolves
12 May NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 97-126 Spurs
10 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 109-114 Timberwolves
08 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 115-108 Timberwolves

Previous Oklahoma City Thunder Lineups

28 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 91-118 Spurs
26 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 114-127 Thunder
24 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 82-103 Spurs
22 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 123-108 Spurs
20 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 113-122 Thunder
18 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 122-115 Thunder
11 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 115-110 Lakers
09 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 131-108 Lakers
07 May NBA Playoffs
Lakers 107-125 Thunder
05 May NBA Playoffs
Lakers 90-108 Thunder

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak

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