SMU vs Cal Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Feb 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: SMU vs Cal
The SMU Mustangs square off against the California Golden Bears, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Wednesday, February 25.
Under 161.5 points looks like an attractive total wager. SMU and Cal might not be able to reach this combined amount and we can profit with this pick at -105.
SMU Mustangs won their previous game which was at home. It was a 94-70 triumph against Boston College Eagles.
California Golden Bears won their last game, beating Stanford Cardinal at home. It was a 72-66 win.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last matchup between SMU and Cal saw the former win. It was a 81-77 scoreline.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
SMU vs Cal Prediction & Picks
Our SMU vs Cal betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.
Game Prediction
The -105 for Under 161.5 points to be scored by the two teams looks like really good value in this college contest. Our prediction is that the teams might not collectively reach this total.
Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert basketball predictions, our handicappers also analyze the latest college hoops stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.
Key SMU vs Cal stats:
Under 161.5 Probability
Based on the odds from the top betting sites, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
The top sportsbooks will allow you to shoot for bigger odds on your Under wager. By moving the line and going for a lower Total, there’s the chance to get more juice.
Make your bet count—our comprehensive bonus guide highlights the latest free bets and betting promo codes worth grabbing.
Player Prop Picks
Chris Bell (Cal) can be wagered to secure Over 3.5 rebounds at +125. If you agree with our verdict that he can cover the Player Rebounds total, then you can back this selection.
Latest Chris Bell Player Prop Odds
Justin Pippen (Cal) is available at -130 to have Over 4.5 rebounds. Out of all the prop bets, we’re going Over when it comes to this Player Rebounds wager.
Latest Justin Pippen Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Under 161.5, combined with SMU -4.5 on the spread and Chris Bell (Cal) to get Over 3.5 rebounds.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a fantastic way of wagering on a single event. Many basketball bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
83
-
75
Cal
There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Mustangs on the correct score lines. For example, a 83-75 victory in their favor is available at massive odds.
SMU vs Cal Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
SMU have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 66% probability due to their -192 Moneyline betting odds. At +160, California are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
3.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 162.5 right now. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. If you’re going for Under 162.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.
Consider every angle when placing your college hoops bets. The top basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props, and it’s all about finding a wager that fits your prediction of the game.
In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Dai Dai Ames is available at -115 to rack up Over 17.5 points. If you want to go Under, then the same odds are available.
Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
SMU Stats
Cal Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 162.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 154.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 161.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 161.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.10 pts and allowed 78.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.10 pts and allowed 78.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 154.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 146.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 161.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 161.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.80 pts and allowed 77.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 74.90 pts and allowed 71.40 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
|
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
|
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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