Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 May 2026
Série A Betting Preview: Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro
Brazilian Série leaders Palmeiras clash with Cruzeiro, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Saturday 16 May.
There’s every chance that Palmeiras can get the upper hand over Cruzeiro and we’ll therefore back the hosts when it comes to Full-Time Result. The odds of -143 look too good to resist.
Palmeiras played Remo on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. The São Paulo club managed four shots on target and enjoyed 67% possession, with Ramon Sosa being the goalscorer.
Cruzeiro have won back-to-back Série A away games. They recently enjoyed a 2-1 scoreline against Bahia. Artur Jorge's team recorded 54% possession and had seven shots on goal, while Kaua Moraes and Kenji were on the scoresheet.
On Tuesday night, Cruzeiro won 1-0 when hosting Goiás in the Copa do Brasil.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last head-to-head saw home side Palmeiras draw 0-0 with Cruzeiro. In the past 8 H2H meetings, we have seen five Palmeiras wins, one Cruzeiro victory and two draws.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras |
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 30:13 | 41 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro |
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 24:28 | 24 |
Palmeiras have 7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. The Big Green have averaged 52.0% possession and 6.7 corners per match, conceding 0.5 goals and 4.6 corners from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.
Top goalscorers are Jose Lopez and Jhon Arias on 3 goals, while Marlon Freitas has bagged 2. Andreas Pereira is the top assists maker on 4.
Cruzeiro have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 11.5 attempts, 5.0 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. The Belo Horizonte outfit average 58.1% possession, 4.6 corners awarded and 3.9 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.1 attempts.
Christian Cardoso has scored 5 goals, followed by Kaua Moraes, Kaio Jorge, Keny Arroyo and Neyser Villarreal on 2. Keny Arroyo, Matheus Pereira and Kaiki have clocked up 2 assists each in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Palmeiras confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Carlos Miguel (GK), Agustin Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo Cerqueira, Arthur Gabriel, Andreas Pereira, Marlon Freitas, Ramon Sosa, Jhon Arias, Felipe Anderson, Jose Lopez.
Cruzeiro confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Otavio Costa (GK), Fagner, Fabricio Bruno, Jonathan Jesus, Kaiki, Gerson, Lucas Daniel Romero, Christian Cardoso, Matheus Pereira, Keny Arroyo, Kaio Jorge.
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Betting Tips
Get set for Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’ll back Palmeiras with a fair degree of confidence for this Série A clash. This looks a value pick at -143 which means we can secure a healthy return if they’re able to win.
Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest Série A stats.
Key Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro league stats:
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 58.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-0 being landed by Palmeiras. You can secure odds of +575 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.
Player Prop Picks
Jhon Arias (Palmeiras) has registered three goals in his past nine Série A games. We’re happy to take the +260 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past 10 Cruzeiro away matches have involved them having an average of 5.30 corners, with Palmeiras conceding over 3.5 corners in their last three games. We’re anticipating that there will be plenty of Cruzeiro corners and that the Team Corners line will be covered, with odds of -159 on offer.
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Try out our same-game multi picks which include Palmeiras to win, No on the Both Teams to Score market as well as Cruzeiro Over 3.5 corners.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Palmeiras are the skinniest price to succeed in this Série A clash, with the favourites afforded a 57% probability based on their -132 betting odds with the bookies. The +370 means that Cruzeiro are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.
There’s -100 when it comes to Palmeiras -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. That means a 2+ goal margin of victory over Cruzeiro lands a full return. If they win by one, we win with half stake and get the rest refunded.
If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.
It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Série A games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.
There is +170 available that José Manuel López finds the net at any stage. He is available at +410 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
- Série A: 27/10 2025 Palmeiras 0 Cruzeiro 0
- Série A: 02/06 2025 Cruzeiro 2 Palmeiras 1
- Série A: 05/12 2024 Cruzeiro 1 Palmeiras 2
- Série A: 21/07 2024 Palmeiras 2 Cruzeiro 0
- Série A: 07/12 2023 Cruzeiro 1 Palmeiras 1
- Série A: 15/08 2023 Palmeiras 1 Cruzeiro 0
- Série A: 08/12 2019 Cruzeiro 0 Palmeiras 2
- Série A: 15/09 2019 Palmeiras 1 Cruzeiro 0
Palmeiras League Stats
Cruzeiro League Stats
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.10 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 58.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Palmeiras this season are Jose Lopez (5), Allan (3), Gustavo Gomez (3)
- Top Assistors for Palmeiras this season are Andreas Pereira (9), Jose Lopez (3), Allan (1)
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro Lineups & Team News
Make sure to look over the Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro team news before betting. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and the latest injury reports.
Palmeiras Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Cruzeiro Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Palmeiras Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Cruzeiro Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Palmeiras Substitutes
- 6Jefte
- 10Paulinho
- 12Khellven
- 14Marcelo Lomba
- 18Mauricio
- 30Lucas Evangelista
- 31Luighi
- 32Emiliano Martinez
- 37Riquelme Fillipi
- 45Erick Bele
- 48Larson Santos
- 50Luis Felipe
Cruzeiro Substitutes
- 2Kaua Moraes
- 7Marquinhos
- 16Lucas Silva
- 17Luis Sinisterra
- 25Lucas Villalba
- 31Matheus Cunha
- 40Rhuan Gabriel
- 43Joao Marcelo
- 70Kenji
- 77Japa
- 91Chico
- 94Wanderson
Previous Palmeiras Lineups
Previous Cruzeiro Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Palmeiras Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Abel Ferreira
Cruzeiro Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 31 |
| 4 | Athletico PR | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 30 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 6 | Bahia | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 26 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Atlético MG | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | 24 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 22 |
| 13 | Vitória | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | 22 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | 20 |
| 18 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | 9 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletico PR | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:10 | 22 |
| 4 | Vitória | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 19 |
| 5 | Flamengo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 6 | São Paulo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 17 |
| 7 | Grêmio | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 8 | Santos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 16 |
| 10 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 16 |
| 11 | Vasco da Gama | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 12 | Atlético MG | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 14 |
| 14 | Bahia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 15 | Coritiba | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 17 | Botafogo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 11 |
| 18 | Internacional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 19 | Remo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:20 | 7 |
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