Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 May 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro

Palmeiras clash with Cruzeiro, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Saturday 16 May.

There’s every chance that Palmeiras can get the upper hand over Cruzeiro and we’ll therefore back the hosts when it comes to Full-Time Result. The odds of -143 look too good to resist.

Palmeiras played Remo on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. The São Paulo club managed four shots on target and enjoyed 67% possession, with Ramon Sosa being the goalscorer.

Cruzeiro have won back-to-back Série A away games. They recently enjoyed a 2-1 scoreline against Bahia. Artur Jorge's team recorded 54% possession and had seven shots on goal, while Kaua Moraes and Kenji were on the scoresheet.

On Tuesday night, Cruzeiro won 1-0 when hosting Goiás in the Copa do Brasil.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw home side Palmeiras draw 0-0 with Cruzeiro. In the past 8 H2H meetings, we have seen five Palmeiras wins, one Cruzeiro victory and two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Palmeiras	15	10	4	1	25	12	13	25:12	34
11	Cruzeiro	15	5	4	6	20	25	-5	20:25	19

View Full Table

Palmeiras have 7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. The Big Green have averaged 52.0% possession and 6.7 corners per match, conceding 0.5 goals and 4.6 corners from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

Top goalscorers are Jose Lopez and Jhon Arias on 3 goals, while Marlon Freitas has bagged 2. Andreas Pereira is the top assists maker on 4.

Cruzeiro have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 11.5 attempts, 5.0 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. The Belo Horizonte outfit average 58.1% possession, 4.6 corners awarded and 3.9 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.1 attempts.

Christian Cardoso has scored 5 goals, followed by Kaua Moraes, Kaio Jorge, Keny Arroyo and Neyser Villarreal on 2. Keny Arroyo, Matheus Pereira and Kaiki have clocked up 2 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Palmeiras predicted lineup (4-4-2): Carlos Miguel (GK), Agustín Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo Cerqueira, Jefte, Mauricio, Marlon Freitas, Andreas Pereira, Jhon Arias, Ramón Sosa, José Manuel López.

Cruzeiro predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Otavio Costa (GK), Fagner, Fabrício Bruno, Jonathan Jesus, Kaiki, Gerson, Lucas Romero, Keny Arroyo, Matheus Pereira, Luis Sinisterra, Kaio Jorge.

Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Get set for Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Palmeiras with a fair degree of confidence for this Série A clash. This looks a value pick at -143 which means we can secure a healthy return if they’re able to win.

Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest Série A stats.

Key Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro league stats:

• Palmeiras have won 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• Palmeiras have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Cruzeiro have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Palmeiras have won 5 of their last 8 games against Cruzeiro.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 58.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Want to back Palmeiras at bigger odds than the Full-Time Result market? Consider Double Result where you can back them at a juicier price to lead at the break and at the final whistle.

Take advantage of top welcome bonuses and free bets by browsing our complete list of betting promo codes today.

Our Match Prediction

Palmeiras To Win @ -143 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 15, 02:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Palmeiras 2 - 0 Cruzeiro

We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-0 being landed by Palmeiras. You can secure odds of +550 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jhon Arias to Score +260

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras) has registered three goals in his past nine Série A games. We’re happy to take the +260 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Jhon Arias Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+650

Shots

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Cruzeiro Over 3.5 Corners -159

The past 10 Cruzeiro away matches have involved them having an average of 5.30 corners, with Palmeiras conceding over 3.5 corners in their last three games. We’re anticipating that there will be plenty of Cruzeiro corners and that the Team Corners line will be covered, with odds of -159 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Palmeiras

Total

11.30 6.70 4.60

Home

11.40 7.10 4.30

Away

13.90 6.00 7.90

Cruzeiro

Total

8.50 4.60 3.90

Home

8.80 5.40 3.40

Away

10.60 5.30 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-102

Palmeiras Corners

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

-102

Cruzeiro Corners

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-118

Most Corners

1

-250

X

+700

2

+235

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Palmeiras are the skinniest price to succeed in this Série A clash, with the favourites afforded a 59% probability based on their -143 betting odds with the bookies. The +390 means that Cruzeiro are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

There’s -108 when it comes to Palmeiras -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. That means a 2+ goal margin of victory over Cruzeiro lands a full return. If they win by one, we win with half stake and get the rest refunded.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Série A games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

-143

X

+265

2

+390

Half-Time Result

1

+132

X

+123

2

+390

Double Chance

1X

-588

12

-370

X2

+108

Draw No Bet

1

-370

2

+235

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-108

2 Hcp +0.75

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-127

Over 2.5

-102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-114

No

-122

There is +170 available that José Manuel López finds the net at any stage. He is available at +420 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

First

+170

Anytime

+420

Kaio Jorge (Cruzeiro)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Paulo Henrique Filho 'Paulinho' (Palmeiras)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (Palmeiras)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Christian Roberto Cardoso (Cruzeiro)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Francisco Da Costa (Cruzeiro)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Matheus Pereira (Cruzeiro)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Marcus Vinicius Oliveira Alencar (Cruzeiro)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Neisser Villarreal (Cruzeiro)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Keny Arroyo (Cruzeiro)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Gerson Santos da Silva (Cruzeiro)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Murilo Cerqueira (Palmeiras)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Emiliano Martinez (Palmeiras)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Arthur Gabriel Santana Marcolino (Palmeiras)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Jefté da Silva Dias (Palmeiras)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Khellven Douglas Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

Over 3.5

-116

Under 3.5

-

Kaio Jorge (Cruzeiro)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-

Paulo Henrique Filho 'Paulinho' (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Christian Roberto Cardoso (Cruzeiro)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Francisco Da Costa (Cruzeiro)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Pereira (Cruzeiro)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Keny Arroyo (Cruzeiro)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Jefté da Silva Dias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Emiliano Martinez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-

Murilo Cerqueira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Gerson Santos da Silva (Cruzeiro)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Neisser Villarreal (Cruzeiro)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Marcus Vinicius Oliveira Alencar (Cruzeiro)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Khellven Douglas Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

You can watch Série A live streaming depending on where you are located. Sportsbook customers are required to have a funded betting account or place a bet within the past 24 hours.

The leading betting apps stream many of the latest events across a wide range of sports and leagues.

Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro team news before betting. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and the latest injury reports.

Palmeiras Team Page Cruzeiro Team Page

Top Football Pages