Puebla vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Sep 2026
Puebla vs Toluca Predictions
We can’t resist the chance to back Toluca on the basis that they are -167 to land a win against Puebla. We’ll back this Full-Time Result wager with optimism based on the available information.
Scroll down to view our Puebla vs Toluca betting preview, where we break down our main match prediction in full, followed by our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Puebla vs Toluca Preview
Puebla square off against Toluca at Estadio Cuahutehmoc, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Tuesday 15 September.
Club Puebla won last time out by a 1-0 scoreline. It was away from home against Club Necaxa at Estadio Victoria. La Franja had 44% possession and totalled four shots on target, with a late strike from Mathias Tomas proving the difference.
Deportivo Toluca made it three straight victories after a 5-2 home win over Atlas at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Antonio Mohamed's team had 52% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, with Alexis Vega being one of five different players on the scoresheet.
H2H: Goalless Draw in Previous Head-to-Head
Toluca are unbeaten in the past five games against Puebla, with the last clash ending in a 0-0 draw at Estadio Cuahutehmoc. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in five Toluca wins, three draws and two Puebla successes.
| Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Toluca |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 17:6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Puebla |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10:9 | 13 |
Club Puebla have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. Gerardo Espinoza's side have averaged 36.8% possession and 3.7 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.8 goals from 4.5 shots on goal, 12.7 attempts and 5.9 corners.
Top goalscorer Eduardo Mustre has found the net 3 times, Emiliano Gomez 2, with Mathias Tomas and two other players on 1. Alberto Herrera and Brayan Garnica are the leading assists makers with 2.
Deportivo Toluca have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, averaging 6.0 shots on goal, 15.7 attempts and 2.1 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 58.0% possession, 5.9 corners taken and 5.0 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 10.7 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.
Federico Vinas has scored 3, followed by Alexis Vega, Helinho and Jorge Diaz with 2 goals apiece. Jesus Gallardo has been the top assist maker with 3 in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Puebla predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Ricardo Daniel Gutiérrez (GK), Iker Moreno, Facundo Almada, Juan Pablo Vargas, Fernando Monárrez, Alejandro Organista, Sergio Sanabria, Bryan Garnica, Kevin Velasco, Carlos Baltazar, Omar Moreno.
Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Ronaldo Beltran (GK), Diego Barbosa, Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Jesús Gallardo, Franco Romero, Nicolas Castro, Helinho, Jesús Angulo, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Federico Viñas.
Main Match Prediction
Toluca are on course for a nice return ahead of this Liga MX clash, with odds of -167 standing out on the coupon. We’re feeling fairly optimistic that this prediction will be on the money.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
We’re always monitoring the Liga MX team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.
According to the latest odds, there’s a 62.5% likelihood of our pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
For bettors expecting goals scored by both teams along with Toluca winning, then consider pairing this pick with BTTS Yes and get yourself larger odds as part of the equation.
Check out our latest betting offers guide — packed with top free bet deals and exclusive welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
2
Toluca
An exciting bet could be a 2-0 victory in favor of Toluca at odds of +650. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Omar Moreno (Puebla) can be wagered at +107 to finish with a minimum of one shot on goal. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.
Helinho (Toluca) has registered two goals in his past five Liga MX games. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +240 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average 13.60 corners in the past five Puebla home games, while there has been over 10.5 corners in three straight Puebla away matches. The stats suggest that it’s worth backing Over for Total Corners, with -102 available.
Puebla
Toluca
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
You’re welcome to follow our bet builder which has Toluca to win, No on the BTTS market accompanied by Omar Moreno (Puebla) to finish with a minimum of one shot on target.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Puebla vs Toluca Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Deportivo Toluca are available at -164 to come away with a triumph in this Liga MX clash, meaning a 62% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. The market implies that Club Puebla are the most unlikely to win at +360.
Stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0 when betting Toluca -0.75 at -133 on the Asian Handicap. Beating Puebla by 2+ goals sees a full payout. Winning by one goal means a return on the former and a push on the latter.
The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -164.
It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Liga MX game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.
Favourite João Paulo Paulinho is +350 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
Stats: Liga MX matches only
Puebla have recorded four draws, four losses and two wins in the previous 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
Toluca haven’t lost any of their past three away games. Antonio Mohamed's team have racked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.30.
When previously meeting at Estadio Cuahutehmoc, Puebla and Toluca played out a 0-0 draw. The previous 7 H2H games at Estadio Cuahutehmoc have ended in three Puebla victories, two draws and two Toluca wins.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla Home Stats |
2-4-4 | 2.60 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
| Toluca Away Stats |
4-2-4 | 2.80 | 1.50 | 1.30 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Liga MX: 31/01 2026 Puebla 0 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 14/09 2025 Toluca 3 Puebla 1
- Liga MX: 15/03 2025 Puebla 0 Toluca 3
- Liga MX: 23/10 2024 Toluca 5 Puebla 0
- Liga MX: 27/01 2024 Puebla 1 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 01/11 2023 Toluca 0 Puebla 1
- Liga MX: 08/04 2023 Puebla 1 Toluca 2
- Liga MX: 03/08 2022 Toluca 1 Puebla 1
- Liga MX: 03/04 2022 Toluca 2 Puebla 1
- Liga MX: 06/11 2021 Puebla 1 Toluca 0
Puebla League Stats
Toluca League Stats
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 7.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 36.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 58.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Puebla this season are Eduardo Mustre (3), Carlos Baltazar (1), Facundo Almada (1)
- Top Assistors for Puebla this season are Alberto Herrera (2), Alejandro Organista (1), Brayan Garnica (1)
Puebla vs Toluca Lineups & Team News
The latest Puebla vs Toluca team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Puebla Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Puebla Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Puebla Lineups
Previous Toluca Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Puebla Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Gerardo Espinoza
Toluca Player Stats & Squad
Liga MX Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 17 |
| 2 | Toluca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17:6 | 16 |
| 3 | América | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Querétaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Puebla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 8 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Pumas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 11 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 10 |
| 12 | León | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 14 | Tigres | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Atlante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 16 | San Luis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | 6 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Juárez | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4:23 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tijuana | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Toluca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 9 |
| 3 | América | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 6 | Monterrey | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 7 | León | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 9 | Tigres | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 10 | Pumas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 11 | Puebla | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Atlas | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Querétaro | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 15 | Atlante | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 16 | San Luis | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 17 | Pachuca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 18 | Juárez | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
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