São Paulo vs Athletico Paranaense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Jul 2026
São Paulo vs Athletico Paranaense Predictions
We’ll back São Paulo with a fair degree of confidence when they clash with Athletico Paranaense. At betting odds of -102 on the Full-Time Result market, this looks a value pick and we expect a return.
Continue reading for our complete São Paulo vs Athletico Paranaense betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
São Paulo vs Athletico Paranaense Preview
São Paulo go head-to-head with Athletico Paranaense, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Wednesday 22 July.
São Paulo were beaten last game and this was away from home. Remo claimed a 1-0 win. Dorival Junior's team had four shots on target and enjoyed 60% possession.
Athletico Paranaense have won two Série A matches on the spin after recently registering a 1-0 home triumph over Mirassol. The Hurricane enjoyed 49% possession and two shots on goal, with a late winner coming from Kevin Viveros.
Previous H2H Saw Athletico Win in Penalty Shoot-out
Athletico beat São Paulo at home when the teams last met. It was a penalty shootout Copa do Brasil win (1-0 after 90 mins). The past 10 H2H meetings have featured six São Paulo victories, two draws and two Athletico wins.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Athletico PR |
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 24:18 | 30 |
| 8 |  São Paulo |
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23:20 | 25 |
2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 10.1 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. São Paulo have had 50.2% possession and 7.8 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 11.5 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.6 corners.
Top scorers are Luciano Neves and Ferreira on 4 goals, while Jonathan Calleri has racked up 2. Wendell has made the most assists with 3.
Athletico have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.0 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. The Curitiba club have averaged 49.0% possession, 5.6 corners awarded and 3.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts.
Kevin Viveros has recorded 6 goals, Stiven Mendoza 2, with Luiz Gustavo and Julimar both managing 1. Joao Cruz has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
São Paulo predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Lucas Ramon, Rafael Toloi, Sabino, Wendell, Pablo Maia, Danielzinho, Artur, Luciano, Aldemir Ferreira, Jonathan Calleri.
Athletico Paranaense predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Santos (GK), Arthur Dias, Juan Felipe Aguirre, Lucas Esquivel, Gilberto, Jadson, Luiz Gustavo, Stiven Mendoza, Leozinho, João Cruz, Kevin Viveros.
Main Match Prediction
Our opinion is that São Paulo will prove too strong for their opponents and we’ll therefore take the -102 for this Série A game. This bet really stands out when it comes to securing value.
The form guide is always considered and it’s great to also use the Série A team news as it filters through ahead of kick-off. In our quest for the best possible football predictions, the latest stats are scrutinised so that we have the best data.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 50.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
The Asian Handicap provide a range of alternatives when it comes to backing São Paulo. There’s a chance to get bigger odds if you think that a sizeable win can be achieved.
Don’t start wagering without checking our guide to the newest betting promo codes, best welcome bonuses and free bet offers.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Athletico
São Paulo are available at +475 to secure a 1-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.
Player Prop Picks
Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo) is available to have one or more shots on goal at -133. The odds look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll take a chance on him on the Shots on Target market.
Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo) has registered three goals in his past eight Série A matches on home soil. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +170 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi picks are São Paulo to succeed, two or less goals in total as well as Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo) to record one or more shots on target.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
São Paulo vs Athletico Paranaense Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest São Paulo odds are -102 which leads to them being favourites in this Série A clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 51% prospect of securing a victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +295 about Athletico Paranaense.
If you want to back São Paulo to win, then you can take the Asian Handicap -0.5 option. This selection is priced at -102, although Athletico +0.5 is -122 and the latter puts the draw on your side.
Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. If you’re betting on Both Teams to Score, you can back Yes at -114 and No at -122.
You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to bet on the Série A coupon and we advise heading to the top sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.
Favourite Jonathan Calleri is +410 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
- Copa do Brasil: 07/08 2025 Athletico PR 4 São Paulo 0
- Copa do Brasil: 01/08 2025 São Paulo 2 Athletico PR 1
- Série A: 10/11 2024 São Paulo 2 Athletico PR 1
- Série A: 04/07 2024 Athletico PR 1 São Paulo 2
- Série A: 29/10 2023 Athletico PR 1 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 22/06 2023 São Paulo 2 Athletico PR 1
- Série A: 31/07 2022 Athletico PR 1 São Paulo 0
- Série A: 11/04 2022 São Paulo 4 Athletico PR 0
- Série A: 25/11 2021 São Paulo 0 Athletico PR 0
- Série A: 07/08 2021 Athletico PR 1 São Paulo 2
São Paulo League Stats
Athletico Paranaense League Stats
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 12.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.25 corners awarded and 5.38 corners against in the last 8 away matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.63 corners awarded in the last 8 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 8 away matches
- An average of 50.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 49.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.13% possession in the last 8 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 8 away matches
- Top Scorers for São Paulo this season are Jonathan Calleri (6), Luciano Neves (6), Ferreira (4)
- Top Assistors for São Paulo this season are Wendell (3), Damian Bobadilla (2), Marcos Antonio (2)
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São Paulo vs Athletico Paranaense Lineups & Team News
Always review the São Paulo vs Athletico team news before locking in your bets. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and injury news right here.
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Athletico Paranaense Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Athletico Paranaense Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Previous Athletico Paranaense Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
São Paulo Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Dorival Junior
Athletico Paranaense Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 32 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 30 |
| 5 | Athletico PR | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 30 |
| 6 | Bahia | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 26 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Botafogo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 25 |
| 10 | Vitória | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | 25 |
| 11 | Atlético MG | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | 24 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | 24 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | 20 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | 19 |
| 19 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | 9 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletico PR | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:11 | 23 |
| 4 | Vitória | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 22 |
| 5 | Flamengo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 6 | São Paulo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 17 |
| 7 | Grêmio | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 8 | Santos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 16 |
| 10 | Bahia | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 16 |
| 12 | Vasco da Gama | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 13 | Atlético MG | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 14 |
| 17 | Coritiba | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 18 | Internacional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 19 | Remo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:20 | 7 |
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