Kansas vs Kansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Oct 2026

Kansas vs Kansas State Predictions

Best Bet

Kansas State -4.5 @ -110

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It’s great to see K-State with a -4.5 line on the spread at -110 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory when playing Kansas.

We've identified our Best Bet for Kansas vs K-State, alongside our Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Browse the dedicated sections below for an in-depth look at the card.

Kansas vs Kansas State Preview

In a massive Week 7 matchup, Kansas battles K-State in the Sunflower Showdown at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, October 17.

The Sunflower Showdown takes on added significance this year, with both teams looking for their first Big 12 victory after disappointing starts to conference play. Conference standings matter, but local bragging rights and the intensity of this long-standing in-state rivalry provide plenty of motivation.

The Jayhawks (2-3, 0-2 Big 12) suffered a 41-24 road loss to the Utah Utes at Rice-Eccles Stadium. Quarterback Isaiah Marshall threw for 333 yards and two touchdowns, while wide receiver Cam Pickett caught eight passes for 134 yards. Kansas pulled within three points late in the third quarter before Utah scored 14 unanswered points in the fourth.

The Wildcats (3-2, 0-2 Big 12) suffered their second consecutive defeat, falling 35-16 to the Houston Cougars at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Houston quarterback Conner Weigman threw for 242 yards and four touchdowns, all to tight end Patrick Overmyer, as the Cougars took control of the game.

H2H: K-State Has Won 17 Straight Against Kansas

The Wildcats have dominated the Sunflower Showdown, winning 17 consecutive meetings against the Jayhawks dating back to 2009. K-State extended that streak with a convincing 42-17 road victory at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium in 2025, keeping the Governor's Cup in Manhattan for another year.

Quarterbacks

Isaiah Marshall

220.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Avery Johnson

234.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Best Bet

We are confident that K-State will cover the spread in this college football showdown. -4.5 seems a more than generous line and you can get -110 that the favorites will win by a bigger margin.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by Kansas State in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Kansas State in 3 of their last 4 games at home this season.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kansas in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kansas in 3 of their last 5 games this season.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kansas in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Kansas State in 5 of their last 7 games against Kansas.

Our CFB predictions are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the action might unfold.

K-State -4.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re in pursuit of bigger odds, then a Bet Builder could be a way forward. Take K-State to cover the line with additional selections until you’re satisfied with the price.

Give yourself a head start. Explore the latest free bet promotions and bonus offers in our comprehensive guide.

Kansas State -4.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 15, 18:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Avery Johnson Over 234.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Avery Johnson (K-State) at -114 to rack up over 234.5 passing yards. We’re happy to take him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can place this wager with confidence.

Latest Avery Johnson Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 234.5

-112

Under 234.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 44.5

-116

Under 44.5

-110

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Dylan Edwards Over 62.5 Rushing Yards -118

The odds for Dylan Edwards (Kansas) to surpass 62.5 rushing yards stand at -118. The line for him on the Overs looks attractive and bettors can get plenty of juice from this Player Rushing Yards wager.

Latest Dylan Edwards Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 16.5

-116

Under 16.5

-110

Rushing Yards

Over 67.5

-112

Under 67.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Kansas 21 - 31 Kansas State

There are lots of different ways to back the Wildcats on the correct score betting and something like 31-21 in their favor might be along the right lines at massive odds.

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Kansas vs Kansas State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Kansas State has the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 62% probability due to their -161 Moneyline betting odds. Kansas is trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +134.

The spread is currently 3.5, with the total points line at 55.5. A wager on the Totals allows football bettors to use the latest data to good effect. Those who wager Under 55.5 can get -115.

If you’re wagering on college football, we recommend heading to the best betting sites and scanning through the huge selection of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Kansas

+134

K-State

-161

Point Spread

Kansas +3.5

-115

K-State -3.5

-105

Total Points

Under 55.5

-115

Over 55.5

-105

Receiving Yards

Nik McMillan (Kansas)

Over 56.5

-112

Under 56.5

-112

Jaron Tibbs (K-State)

Over 52.5

-112

Under 52.5

-112

Cam Pickett (Kansas)

Over 48.5

-112

Under 48.5

-112

Garrett Oakley (K-State)

Over 39.5

-114

Under 39.5

-114

Josh Manning (K-State)

Over 37.5

-110

Under 37.5

-116

Nahzae Cox (Kansas)

Over 27.5

-116

Under 27.5

-110

Dylan Edwards (Kansas)

Over 16.5

-116

Under 16.5

-110

Carson Bruhn (Kansas)

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Rodney Fields Jr. (K-State)

Over 69.5

-112

Under 69.5

-112

Dylan Edwards (Kansas)

Over 67.5

-112

Under 67.5

-112

Avery Johnson (K-State)

Over 44.5

-116

Under 44.5

-110

Joe Jackson (K-State)

Over 42.5

-112

Under 42.5

-112

Isaiah Marshall (Kansas)

Over 37.5

-112

Under 37.5

-112

Jalen Dupree (Kansas)

Over 23.5

-116

Under 23.5

-110

Passing Yards

Avery Johnson (K-State)

Over 234.5

-112

Under 234.5

-112

Isaiah Marshall (Kansas)

Over 220.5

-112

Under 220.5

-112

K-State Have Bossed Recent Head-to-Heads at Bill Snyder Family Stadium

K-State has gone 7-3 across their last 10 home games, posting 33.00 points per contest while yielding 22.90.

Kansas has taken four straight defeats on the road. They are 2-8 in their last 10 games away from home, scoring 22.50 points per contest and conceding 32.90.

In their last matchup at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, K-State came out on top 29-27 against Kansas. All of the last nine head-to-head matchups at Bill Snyder Family Stadium have ended with wins for K-State.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O55.5	U55.5
Kansas State Home Stats		7-3	55.90	33.00	22.90	4	6
Kansas Away Stats		2-8	55.40	22.50	32.90	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O55.5 = Games Over 55.5 Points
• U55.5 = Games Under 55.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kansas Jayhawks Stats

Kansas State Wildcats Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 54.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 55.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 55.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 55.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.80 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.50 pts and allowed 32.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 55.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 55.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 55.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 55.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.50 pts and allowed 22.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 33.00 pts and allowed 22.90 pts in the last 10 home games

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