Cal vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Oct 2026
Cal vs SMU Predictions
We’re really sweet on SMU who are -18.5 on the spread. They should enjoy a big win against Cal and cover the line at -110.
We highlight the top Cal vs SMU picks with our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Check out the sections below for the reasoning behind the card.
Cal vs SMU Preview
Cal square off against SMU at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, October 24.
California Golden Bears lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Wake Forest Demon Deacons 41-7 at California Memorial Stadium.
SMU Mustangs were winners last time out. Their 23-13 victory against Virginia Cavaliers at Gerald J. Ford Stadium was their fourth straight home triumph.
H2H: Cal Claimed 38-35 Win in Previous H2H
Cal triumphed 38-35 when they last played SMU. This head-to-head was played at California Memorial Stadium.
Quarterbacks
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
Kevin Jennings
Best Bet
SMU should enjoy a big win and that’s why we’re taking the -18.5 about them on the spread. This college football recommendation should cover the line at -110.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible CFB predictions. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key numbers that truly make a difference.
SMU -18.5 Probability
If you go by the top betting apps, there’s a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
There’s regularly the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky wager but shorter odds.
Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.
Player Prop Picks
Kevin Jennings (SMU) can be backed at -114 to rack up over 280.5 passing yards. There’s an opportunity to place a QB Passing Yards bet, with him capable of covering an appealing line.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are SMU to cover the -18.5 spread, Under 55.5 on the total and Kevin Jennings (SMU) to have Over 280.5 passing yards.
Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.
Correct Score Prediction
14
-
35
SMU
You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a massive return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Mustangs to achieve a 35-14 win and hopefully this goes close.
Cal vs SMU Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
SMU are strong -1250 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 93% chance of claiming victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +720 about California.
The spread currently stands at 18.5 and the total points line is 55.5. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those who wager Under 55.5 can get -115.
Make sure to explore all angles before placing your college football bets. The top sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the matchup.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
SMU Looking to Keep Rolling at Home
SMU are riding eight consecutive victories at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. They are 9-1 in their last 10 home games, averaging 35.40 points on offense and surrendering 17.80 on defense.
Cal have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games on the road, scoring 23.10 points per contest and conceding 28.80.
SMU defeated Cal 38-6 when the teams last met at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O55.5 | U55.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SMU Home Stats |
9-1 | 53.20 | 35.40 | 17.80 | 3 | 7 | |
 Cal Away Stats |
4-6 | 51.90 | 23.10 | 28.80 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O55.5 = Games Over 55.5 Points
- U55.5 = Games Under 55.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Cal Stats
SMU Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +18.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +18.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road
- -18.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- -18.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 54.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 51.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 55.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 55.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.60 pts and allowed 29.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.10 pts and allowed 28.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 54.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 52.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 55.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 55.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.80 pts and allowed 20.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 33.60 pts and allowed 18.40 pts in the last 10 home games
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miami
|
6 | 0 | 291 | 84 | 207 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 6W |
North Carolina
|
4 | 2 | 141 | 115 | 26 | 1-1 | 3-1 | 2W |
Wake Forest
|
6 | 1 | 262 | 136 | 126 | 2-1 | 4-0 | 4W |
|
SMU
|
5 | 1 | 196 | 128 | 68 | 4-0 | 1-1 | 3W |
|
California
|
3 | 4 | 167 | 194 | -27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1L |
Louisville
|
4 | 3 | 271 | 192 | 79 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2W |
Pittsburgh
|
5 | 2 | 230 | 115 | 115 | 4-1 | 1-1 | 2L |
Virginia Tech
|
5 | 2 | 260 | 148 | 112 | 3-1 | 2-1 | 1W |
Virginia
|
4 | 3 | 210 | 138 | 72 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 1L |
Duke
|
4 | 2 | 190 | 96 | 94 | 3-1 | 1-1 | 2L |
Boston College
|
3 | 3 | 122 | 138 | -16 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 1W |
NC State
|
3 | 3 | 198 | 166 | 32 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 1L |
Georgia Tech
|
2 | 4 | 160 | 163 | -3 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 1L |
Florida State
|
3 | 4 | 221 | 195 | 26 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2L |
Stanford
|
3 | 4 | 128 | 256 | -128 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 1W |
Clemson
|
4 | 2 | 134 | 129 | 5 | 3-1 | 1-1 | 1W |
Syracuse
|
2 | 4 | 190 | 154 | 36 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2L |
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