Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Nov 2026

Michigan State vs Michigan Predictions

Best Bet

Michigan -13.5 @ -110

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Our prediction is that Michigan will get the better of Michigan State by a significant margin. With this in mind, let’s go for them at -13.5 on the spread which is currently available at odds of -110.

We've put together our Michigan State vs Michigan selections, featuring our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Each section takes a closer look at the reasoning behind the picks.

Michigan State vs Michigan Preview

Michigan State battle Michigan at Michigan Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, November 7.

Michigan State Spartans have been defeated in their previous six games. On the road, they recently suffered a 28-10 loss against UCLA Bruins at Rose Bowl.

Michigan Wolverines triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Rutgers Scarlet Knights were beaten 28-21 at SHI Stadium.

H2H: 5 Michigan Wins in Previous 7 H2H Encounters

Michigan won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 31-20 triumph when facing Michigan State at Spartan Stadium. The previous 7 games featuring these teams have resulted in five Michigan victories.

Best Bet

There’s a case for taking the -110 that Michigan can overcome the -13.5 in this college football battle. They should be capable of a sizeable win and that means we’re backing the favorites against the spread.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The +13.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan State in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The +13.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan State in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

Our CFB predictions are always well-researched, starting with a combination of the latest team news and current form. Once we’ve got a solid read on the matchup, we layer in the key data to back it up.

Michigan -13.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the spread pick you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

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Michigan -13.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tommy Carr Over 204.5 Passing Yards -114

Tommy Carr (Michigan) is priced at -114 to reach over 204.5 passing yards. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this QB Passing Yards bet.

Latest Tommy Carr Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 204.5

-114

Under 204.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

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Andrew Marsh Over 45.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can back Andrew Marsh (Michigan) at -114 to rack up over 45.5 receiving yards. We're confident in him covering the Player Receiving Yards line and hitting our Over bet.

Latest Andrew Marsh Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Michigan State 14 - 30 Michigan

There are lots of different ways to back the Wolverines on the correct score betting and something like 30-14 in their favor might be along the right lines at massive odds.

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Michigan State vs Michigan Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -588 with the sportsbooks, Michigan are regarded as 85% likely to win this college game. Michigan State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +420.

The current spread is 13.5 and the total points line is 39.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 39.5 at -110.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college football clashes. The top betting sites offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

MSU

+420

Michigan

-588

Point Spread

MSU +13.5

-110

Michigan -13.5

-110

Total Points

Under 39.5

-110

Over 39.5

-110

Receiving Yards

JJ Buchanan (Michigan)

Over 64.5

-114

Under 64.5

-114

Andrew Marsh (Michigan)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Chrishon McCray (MSU)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Fredrick Moore (MSU)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Savion Hiter (Michigan)

Over 61.5

-114

Under 61.5

-114

Kenneth Williams (MSU)

Over 51.5

-114

Under 51.5

-114

Tommy Carr (Michigan)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Michigan With Seven Wins in Past Ten Home Games

Michigan have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games at home, putting up 20.60 points on average and giving up 15.00.

Michigan State are on a skid of ten consecutive road losses. They have gone 0-10 across their last 10 games games on the road, scoring 16.40 points per contest and conceding 31.20.

Michigan beat Michigan State 24-17 when the teams last met at Michigan Stadium. Across 4 head-to-heads at Michigan Stadium, Michigan have registered three wins and Michigan State one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O39.5	U39.5
Michigan Home Stats		7-3	35.60	20.60	15.00	1	9
Michigan State Away Stats		0-10	47.60	16.40	31.20	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O39.5 = Games Over 39.5 Points
• U39.5 = Games Under 39.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Michigan State Spartans Stats

Michigan Wolverines Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 47.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 39.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 39.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.40 pts and allowed 25.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 16.40 pts and allowed 31.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 40.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 35.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 39.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 39.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.60 pts and allowed 19.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 20.60 pts and allowed 15.00 pts in the last 10 home games

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