North Dakota State vs New Mexico Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Oct 2026

North Dakota State vs New Mexico Predictions

Best Bet

Over 40.5 Points @ -120

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There are odds of -120 available for our New Mexico vs North Dakota State prediction. We think that the points will be racked up cumulatively and we’re going for Over 40.5 in total.

Get our preferred North Dakota State vs New Mexico betting predictions, highlighting our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Pick. Explore each section for the complete analysis.

North Dakota State vs New Mexico Preview

North Dakota State go up against New Mexico at University Stadium, Albuquerque, with kickoff scheduled for 22:00 on Saturday, October 24.

North Dakota State Bison won their previous game, beating Nevada Wolf Pack at home. It was a 31-17 win at Fargodome. 

New Mexico Lobos won their last game 21-10, making it three on the bounce. This was a road victory at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex against Hawaii Rainbow Warriors.

Best Bet

There could be lots of points being racked up during this college football matchup, with our pick being Over 40.5 points in total. Odds of -120 look worth taking for this outcome.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 40.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 North Dakota State games on the road.
• The 40.5 line has been covered in 2 of the last 3 North Dakota State games on the road this season.
• The 40.5 line has been covered in 18 of the last 20 New Mexico games at home.
• The 40.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 New Mexico games at home.
• The 40.5 line has been covered in the last 3 New Mexico games at home.

Our CFB handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each team, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Over 40.5 Probability

If you go by the best sportsbooks, our pick has a 54.6% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for a bigger return on your Total wager? Consider the Result & Total lines where you combine the winning team and Over a certain number of points.

Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.

Over 40.5 Points @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 23, 03:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nathan Hayes Over 153.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Nathan Hayes (North Dakota State) to exceed 153.5 passing yards stand at -114. We can place a QB Passing Yards bet with confidence, as we expect him to cover the line.

Latest Nathan Hayes Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 153.5

-114

Under 153.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-114

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Kiefer Sibley Over 40.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can back Kiefer Sibley (North Dakota State) at -114 surpass 40.5 rushing yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous Player Rushing Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.

Latest Kiefer Sibley Player Prop Odds

Rushing Yards

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

NDSU 20 - 28 New Mexico

We’re going for the Lobos to win by a 28-20 scoreline, something which is available at massive odds. This speculative bet can provide a big return for a small stake.

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North Dakota State vs New Mexico Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

New Mexico are regarded as having a 68% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -208. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +172 about North Dakota State.

The spread is calculated to be 4.5, while total points comes in at 40.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to back Over 40.5, it’s -120.

The best betting apps provide tons of game lines and team props for nearly every college football matchup. Take a few moments to browse all the markets so you can place a bet that matches your insight.

Moneyline

NDSU

+172

UNM

-208

Point Spread

NDSU +4.5

-106

UNM -4.5

-114

Total Points

Under 40.5

-102

Over 40.5

-120

Receiving Yards

Jackson Williams (NDSU)

Over 46.5

-114

Under 46.5

-114

Bailen George (UNM)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Cade Keith (UNM)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Mekhi Collins (NDSU)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Reis Kessel (NDSU)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Scottre Humphrey (UNM)

Over 66.5

-114

Under 66.5

-114

Kiefer Sibley (UNM)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Nathan Hayes (NDSU)

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-114

New Mexico Locked In at Home

New Mexico have a 10-0 record in their last 10 home games, averaging 37.70 points scored and 16.80 points allowed.

North Dakota State have two wins and three losses in the last 5 games away from home, putting up 26.00 points on average and giving up 23.40.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O40.5	U40.5
New Mexico Home Stats		10-0	54.50	37.70	16.80	8	2
North Dakota State Away Stats		2-3	49.40	26.00	23.40	4	1

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O40.5 = Games Over 40.5 Points
• U40.5 = Games Under 40.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Dakota State Bison Stats

New Mexico Lobos Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 3 defeats in the last 9 games
• 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 9 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 5 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.56 pts in the previous 9 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.40 pts in the previous 5 games on the road
• Over 40.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 9 games
• Over 40.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 5 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.89 pts and allowed 15.67 pts in the last 9 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 26.00 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 5 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 54.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 40.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 40.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.80 pts and allowed 12.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 37.70 pts and allowed 16.80 pts in the last 10 home games

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