Patriots vs Jaguars Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Sep 2026

NFL Betting Preview: Patriots vs Jaguars

The New England Patriots go up against the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, September 27.

Let’s shoot for a total bet between the Jaguars and the Patriots, with Under 45.5 available at -105. This betting prediction has lots of juice in the price.

New England Patriots previous game saw them claim a 20-3 home win over Pittsburgh Steelers at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots moved the ball for 327 yards, made up of 191 through the air and 136 on the ground. They converted for 15 first downs and found the end zone twice.

Jacksonville Jaguars were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 20-13 reverse against Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High. The Jaguars put up 268 yards, including 173 passing and 95 rushing yards. The offense picked up 21 first downs and scored one touchdown.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Wembley Stadium, with the Jags claiming the win. Beating the Pats by a 32-16 scoreline.

Quarterbacks

Drake Maye

222.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Trevor Lawrence

223.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Patriots vs Jaguars Prediction & Picks

Our expert Patriots vs Jaguars tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Let’s go Under the 45.5 points total as we think this number is unlikely to be reached. The two NFL teams might lack the combined scoring power and -105 can be backed.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making NFL picks. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our predictions.

Key Patriots vs Jaguars stats:

• The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 Patriots games.
• The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Patriots games.
• The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Jaguars games.
• The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Jaguars games at home.
• The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Jaguars games.

Under 45.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you’re going Under with your bet, then you can take the option to include this selection in a Bet Builder and get potentially bigger odds. Combine it with other picks.

Give yourself a head start. Find betting offers that include generous free bets and welcome packages in our bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction

Under 45.5 Points @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 25, 19:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Drake Maye Under 222.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Drake Maye (Pats) to finish with fewer than 222.5 passing yards are -114. He’s not guaranteed to cover the QB Passing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Drake Maye Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+260

First

+1500

Passing Yards

Over 222.5

-114

Under 222.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

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Bhayshul Tuten Anytime TD +150

Bhayshul Tuten (Jags) is priced at +150 to hit the end zone. We believe this is the best of the player props, with attractive odds available when it comes to betting him to score a touchdown at any time.

Latest Bhayshul Tuten Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+150

First

+800

Receiving Yards

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 52.5

-114

Under 52.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Patriots 14 - 23 Jaguars

There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Jags on the correct score lines. For example, a 23-14 win in their favor is available at massive odds.

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Patriots vs Jaguars Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 61% chance of securing victory, Jacksonville Jaguars are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -154. New England Patriots are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +130.

The spread is calculated to be 2.5, while total points comes in at 45.5. NFL fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. Those who wager Under 45.5 can get -105.

There’s a wide variety of game lines and team props available and we recommend checking out the best NFL betting sites to find the markets that align with your take on the matchup.

Moneyline

Patriots

+130

Jaguars

-154

Point Spread

Patriots +2.5

-104

Jaguars -2.5

-118

Total Points

Under 45.5

-105

Over 45.5

-115

You will find Bhayshul Tuten at +800 to be First Touchdown Scorer which makes him the favorite. There’s the chance to get +150 that he scores a TD at anytime.

Touchdown

Bhayshul Tuten (Jaguars)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+150

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+140

Parker Washington (Jaguars)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+165

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+175

Jakobi Meyers (Jaguars)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+240

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Jaguars)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+240

Brian Thomas Jr (Jaguars)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+270

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+230

Drake Maye (Patriots)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+260

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+290

Brenton Strange (Jaguars)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+290

Romeo Doubs (Patriots)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+280

Mack Hollins (Patriots)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+340

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+390

Nate Boerkircher (Jaguars)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+700

Ameer Abdullah (Jaguars)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+950

Eli Raridon (Patriots)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+800

Josh Cameron (Jaguars)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

Kyle Williams (Patriots)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+900

Efton Chism III (Patriots)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+900

Reggie Gilliam (Patriots)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1000

LeQuint Allen Jr. (Jaguars)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1400

Travis Hunter (Jaguars)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

CJ Williams (Jaguars)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Cameron Latu (Patriots)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1100

Corey Kiner (Patriots)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1800

Quintin Morris (Jaguars)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Receiving Yards

Parker Washington (Jaguars)

Over 63.5

-114

Under 63.5

-114

Romeo Doubs (Patriots)

Over 42.5

-114

Under 42.5

-114

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Brian Thomas Jr (Jaguars)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Jakobi Meyers (Jaguars)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Mack Hollins (Patriots)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Brenton Strange (Jaguars)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Bhayshul Tuten (Jaguars)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Bhayshul Tuten (Jaguars)

Over 52.5

-114

Under 52.5

-114

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Jaguars)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Passing Yards

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

Over 223.5

-114

Under 223.5

-114

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 222.5

-114

Under 222.5

-114

Last Ten Home Games Have Produced Eight Wins for Jags

The Jags have a 8-2 record in their last 10 home games, posting 29.30 points per contest while yielding 14.20.

The Pats have nine wins and one loss in the last 10 games on the road, putting up 25.60 points on average and giving up 17.60.

The most recent EverBank Stadium meeting saw the Jags claim a 32-16 win over the Pats.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O45.5	U45.5
Jaguars Home Stats		8-2	43.50	29.30	14.20	4	6
Patriots Away Stats		9-1	43.20	25.60	17.60	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O45.5 = Games Over 45.5 Points
• U45.5 = Games Under 45.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New England Patriots Stats

Jacksonville Jaguars Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 38.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 43.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 45.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.60 pts and allowed 15.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 25.60 pts and allowed 17.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 47.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 46.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 45.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.50 pts and allowed 16.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.50 pts and allowed 18.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 350.50 Yds. Allowed 265.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 143.90 Yds. Allowed 110.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 206.60 Yds. Allowed 154.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.90. Allowed 16.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.00. Committed by opponents 5.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 38.10 Yds. Gained 38.70 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 345.30 Yds. Allowed 293.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 105.60 Yds. Allowed 85.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 239.70 Yds. Allowed 207.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.50 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.10. Allowed 17.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 7.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 45.20 Yds. Gained 56.80 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 359.40 Yds. Allowed 305.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 119.80 Yds. Allowed 103.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 239.60 Yds. Allowed 201.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.00 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.00. Allowed 17.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 49.50 Yds. Gained 52.60 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 341.20 Yds. Allowed 287.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 109.50 Yds. Allowed 89.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 231.70 Yds. Allowed 197.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.60 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.50. Allowed 16.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.90. Committed by opponents 7.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.40 Yds. Gained 61.70 Yds

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