Denver Nuggets
Basketball Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Minnesota Timberwolves
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Playoffs Betting Preview: Nuggets vs Wolves

The No. 3 seed Denver Nuggets (54-28, 26-15 away) take on the No. 6 Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 26-15 at home) in Game 6 of this first-round NBA Playoffs series. Minnesota leads the series 3-2.

Points on the Menu

We’ve got a strong opinion when it comes to the totals when the Nuggets play the Wolves. Our prediction is that there will be Over 224.5 points and that is on offer at -110.

Wolves Lead Stands After Loss

The Timberwolves remain 3-2 up in the series, even though the Nuggets claimed a 125-113 win in Game 5 at Ball Arena on Monday night.

Nikola Jokic delivered a fantastic triple-double for the Nuggets with 27 points, 16 assists and 12 rebounds. For the Wolves, Julius Randle finished with 27 points, while Ayo Dosunmu added 18 and Terrence Shannon 15.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last 10 head-to-head matchups are split evenly at five wins apiece.

NBA Reg. Season W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Nuggets logo Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves logo Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
View Full Standings
Denver Nuggets – Last 10 Games

The Nuggets have 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 121.1 points, 44.5 rebounds, 28.3 assists, 7.5 steals and 4.5 blocks while shooting 47.8% from the field and 83.0% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 117.2 points and 45.1 rebounds per contest.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 23.9 points, 11.6 rebounds and 8.4 assists, while Jamal Murray averages 2.2 (34.4%) 3-pointers made.

Minnesota Timberwolves – Last 10 Games

The Wolves have won 6 and lost 4 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 118.2 points, 41.6 rebounds, 26.2 assists, 7.7 steals and 5.2 blocks per game while shooting 49.1% from the field and 78.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 116.3 points and 41.6 rebounds.

Ayo Dosunmu is averaging 16.0 points, Rudy Gobert 7.3 rebounds and Donte DiVincenzo 3.0 assists along with 2.4 (39.3%) 3-pointers made.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks

Our expert Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

You can get -110 that there are Over 224.5 points and there’s lots of juice in those odds. The two teams should be able to keep the score ticking for our pick to win.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our NBA handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Nuggets vs Timberwolves stats:

  • The 224.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Nuggets games on the road.
  • The 224.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Nuggets games on the road.
  • The 224.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Wolves games.

Over 224.5 Probability

According to the top NBA betting sites, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you are wanting bigger odds for your Total wager, then it’s possible to move the line and get more juice. You can choose to bet Over when it comes to different levels.

Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.

Our Game Prediction
Over 224.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 30, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 02:02, 30 April 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Julius Randle Under 21.5 Points -114 BetMGM logo

Julius Randle (Wolves) has an average of 16.75 points in the past 4 home games. We are therefore keen to back the -114 that he fails to cover this total when it comes to Player Points.

Latest Julius Randle Player Prop Odds


Cameron Johnson Over 10.5 Points -135 BetMGM logo

Cameron Johnson (Nuggets) has recorded an average of 13.75 points in the past 8 games. It makes sense to bet on him to cover the line and there are odds of -135 available for this Player Points wager.

Latest Cameron Johnson Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Over 224.5
Spread Timberwolves +5.5
Player Points Julius Randle Under 21.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Over 224.5, followed by Wolves +5.5 on the spread and Julius Randle (Wolves) to score Under 21.5 points.

The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same basketball game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored wager on the contest which interests them most.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets Nuggets logo 117 - 114 Timberwolves logo Timberwolves

For a fun wager, consider backing the Nuggets to claim a 117-114 victory. Although it’s a speculative bet, we are expecting things to be close between the two teams.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Nuggets Moneyline Odds Suggest Victory

The Denver Nuggets odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -238 betting favorites to land victory in this NBA game which means a 70% chance of winning. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Minnesota Timberwolves are trading at +198.

There is a spread of 5.5 and total points has a line of 224.5. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you fancy Over 224.5, this outcome can be backed at -108.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, the top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many alternatives.

Betting Lines & Odds
Nikola Jokic Favorite to Score the Most Points

Nikola Jokic is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -106 that he gets Over 30.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -128.

Player Points
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 30.5
-106
Under 30.5
-128
BetMGM Logo
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 26.5
-110
Under 26.5
-123
BetMGM Logo
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 21.5
-120
Under 21.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves)
Over 18.5
-128
Under 18.5
-106
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 9.5
-139
Under 9.5
+104
BetMGM Logo
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 6.5
-135
Under 6.5
-100
BetMGM Logo
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 4.5
-147
Under 4.5
+108
BetMGM Logo
Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves)
Over 4.5
-108
Under 4.5
-127
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 13.5
-141
Under 13.5
+104
BetMGM Logo
Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)
Over 10.5
-118
Under 10.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 7.5
-100
Under 7.5
-137
BetMGM Logo
Naz Reid (Timberwolves)
Over 6.5
+106
Under 6.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Target Center
Target Center
Wolves Racking Up the Home Wins

The Wolves are riding three consecutive victories at Target Center. They are 6-4 in their last 10 home games, averaging 112.10 points scored and 109.90 points allowed.

The Nuggets have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games on the road, posting 120.80 points per contest while yielding 122.00.

The Wolves beat the Nuggets 112-96 when they last met at Target Center. The previous 10 H2H clashes at Target Center have ended with both teams winning five times.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O224.5 U224.5
Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Home Stats 6-4 222.00 112.10 109.90 3 7
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Away Stats 5-5 242.80 120.80 122.00 8 2
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O224.5 = Games Over 224.5 Points
  • U224.5 = Games Under 224.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Stats
Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Denver Nuggets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jamal Murray 5 39.58 130 30 26.0 6.0 2.2 4.8 0.2 1.0
Nikola Jokic 5 38.74 127 47 25.4 9.4 1.2 14.0 0.8 1.2
Christian Braun 5 31.86 47 10 9.4 2.0 1.0 4.0 0.4 1.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jaden McDaniels 5 34.34 75 13 15.0 2.6 0.2 6.2 0.6 0.2
Rudy Gobert 5 33.32 36 10 7.2 2.0 - 10.2 1.0 1.4
Julius Randle 5 32.92 97 20 19.4 4.0 0.8 8.0 0.2 0.2

Injuries & Suspensions

Denver Nuggets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Denver Nuggets Lineups

27 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 113-125 Nuggets
25 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-112 Timberwolves
23 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-113 Timberwolves
20 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 119-114 Nuggets
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 105-116 Nuggets
12 Apr NBA
Nuggets 128-118 Spurs
10 Apr NBA
Thunder 107-127 Nuggets
08 Apr NBA
Grizzlies 119-136 Nuggets
06 Apr NBA
Trail Blazers 132-137 Nuggets
04 Apr NBA
Spurs 134-136 Nuggets

Previous Minnesota Timberwolves Lineups

27 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 113-125 Nuggets
25 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-112 Timberwolves
23 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-113 Timberwolves
20 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 119-114 Nuggets
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 105-116 Nuggets
12 Apr NBA
Pelicans 126-132 Timberwolves
10 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 136-132 Rockets
08 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 120-132 Magic
07 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 124-104 Pacers
05 Apr NBA
Hornets 122-108 Timberwolves

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak