LA Lakers vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Sunday

NBA Playoffs Betting Preview: Lakers vs Rockets

The No. 4 seed LA Lakers (53-29, 25-16 away) take on the No. 5 Houston Rockets (52-30, 30-11 at home) in Game 4 of this first-round NBA Playoffs series. The Lakers lead the series 3-0.

The Rockets should be taken against the spread at -4.5 with our prediction being for the favorites to achieve a comfortable margin of victory against the Lakers. Back them at the odds of -114 that are available.

LA Lakers and Houston Rockets went head-to-head at Toyota Center two nights ago, with the Lakers winning 112-108 (OT).

LeBron James registered 29 points and 13 rebounds for the Lakers, Rui Hachimura scored 22 points, while Marcus Smart bagged 21 points and 10 assists. Alperen Sengun totaled 33 points and 16 rebounds for the Rockets, Amen Thompson recorded 26 points and 11 rebounds, with Jabari Smith scoring 24 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lakers have won five on the spin against the Rockets. They’ve also claimed 7 victories in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	53	29	0.646	116.3	114.6	1.7	28-13	25-16	10-7	33-19	7-3	3W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	115.2	110	5.2	30-11	22-19	10-6	29-23	9-1	1W

View Full Standings

The Lakers have 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 110.9 points, 39.6 rebounds, 28.7 assists, 10.3 steals and 4.4 blocks while shooting 51.5% from the field and 73.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 109.2 points and 43.1 rebounds per contest.

LeBron James is averaging 20.5 points, 6.7 rebounds and 7.8 assists, while Rui Hachimura averages 2.2 (53.7%) 3-pointers made.

The Rockets have won 6 and lost 4 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 117.2 points, 47.2 rebounds, 25.7 assists, 8.9 steals and 5.1 blocks per game while shooting 47.1% from the field and 77.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 109.9 points and 38.1 rebounds.

Amen Thompson is averaging 19.8 points and 5.6 assists, while Alperen Sengun has an average of 8.6 rebounds and Reed Sheppard 3.4 (40.0%) 3-pointers made.

LA Lakers vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Picks

Get ready for LA Lakers vs Houston Rockets with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to player props and a custom bet builder.

Game Prediction

Get with Rockets with a -4.5 spread. We like this pick and are backing the favorites at odds of -114 to enjoy a solid victory in this NBA showdown.

The NBA experts at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any basketball predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.

Key Lakers vs Rockets stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by Rockets in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Rockets in 3 of their last 5 games at home.

Rockets -4.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you want to secure a bigger possible payout on your wager, there’s the option to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which spread you think will be covered.

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Our Game Prediction

Rockets -4.5 @ -114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 26, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Amen Thompson Over 17.5 Points -109

Amen Thompson (Rockets) has an average of 26.75 points in the past 4 home games. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the line looks attractive, with -109 available that it’s covered.

Latest Amen Thompson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 17.5

-109

Under 17.5

-123

Assists

Over 5.5

-103

Under 5.5

-133

Rebounds

Over 7.5

+102

Under 7.5

-137

---

Marcus Smart Over 4.5 Assists -128

Marcus Smart (Lakers) has covered the 4.5 assists total in 5 straight games. We can therefore place a Player Assists bet at -128 with confidence, with our pick expected to cover the line.

Latest Marcus Smart Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-108

Under 11.5

-127

Assists

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-106

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-105

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lakers 102 - 110 Rockets

The Rockets will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 110-102 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.

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LA Lakers vs Houston Rockets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Houston Rockets are regarded as having a 64% chance of winning this NBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -175. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +148 about LA Lakers.

There is a spread of 4.5 and total points has a line of 207.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you're keen on Over 207.5, this selection is available at -110.

Consider every angle when placing your bets. The best basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Lakers

+148

Rockets

-175

Point Spread

Lakers +4.5

-106

Rockets -4.5

-114

Total Points

Under 207.5

-110

Over 207.5

-110

Kevin Durant is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -112 can be found for him scoring Over 23.5 points and there is -122 for him to go Under.

Kevin Durant (Rockets)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-122

LeBron James (Lakers)

Over 22.5

-128

Under 22.5

-106

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 19.5

-120

Under 19.5

-112

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 17.5

-109

Under 17.5

-123

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 15.5

-115

Under 15.5

-118

Rui Hachimura (Lakers)

Over 14.5

-104

Under 14.5

-132

Luke Kennard (Lakers)

Over 12.5

-128

Under 12.5

-106

Marcus Smart (Lakers)

Over 11.5

-108

Under 11.5

-127

Deandre Ayton (Lakers)

Over 10.5

-127

Under 10.5

-108

Tari Eason (Rockets)

Over 10.5

-118

Under 10.5

-115

LeBron James (Lakers)

Over 8.5

+102

Under 8.5

-139

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 5.5

+106

Under 5.5

-143

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 5.5

-103

Under 5.5

-133

Kevin Durant (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

-100

Marcus Smart (Lakers)

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-106

Luke Kennard (Lakers)

Over 3.5

+123

Under 3.5

-175

Deandre Ayton (Lakers)

Over 8.5

+112

Under 8.5

-149

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 8.5

-123

Under 8.5

-110

LeBron James (Lakers)

Over 7.5

+110

Under 7.5

-149

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 7.5

+102

Under 7.5

-137

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-120

Tari Eason (Rockets)

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-123

Kevin Durant (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+112

Luke Kennard (Lakers)

Over 4.5

+125

Under 4.5

-175

Rui Hachimura (Lakers)

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

-100

Marcus Smart (Lakers)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-105

The Rockets have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games at home, averaging 121.10 points on offense and surrendering 110.50 on defense.

The Lakers own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 games on the road, posting 116.50 points per contest while yielding 116.50.

The last time these teams met at Toyota Center, the Lakers came out on top 112-108 against the Rockets. In the last 10 head-to-head meetings at Toyota Center, each team has earned five victories.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O207.5	U207.5
Houston Rockets Home Stats		7-3	231.60	121.10	110.50	9	1
LA Lakers Away Stats		7-3	233.00	116.50	116.50	9	1

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O207.5 = Games Over 207.5 Points
• U207.5 = Games Under 207.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

LA Lakers Stats

Houston Rockets Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 220.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 233.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 207.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 207.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 110.90 pts and allowed 109.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 116.50 pts and allowed 116.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 227.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 231.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 207.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 207.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 117.20 pts and allowed 109.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 121.10 pts and allowed 110.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.30 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.10 (41%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.00 (73.64%)
• Rebounds: Total 39.6, Offensive 7.90, Defensive 31.70
• Assists: 28.70
• Blocks: 4.40
• Steals: 10.30
• Turnovers : 15.00
• Personal Fouls: 18.30

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.60 (60%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.50 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.80 (75.69%)
• Rebounds: Total 39.9, Offensive 9.60, Defensive 30.30
• Assists: 26.70
• Blocks: 4.40
• Steals: 10.00
• Turnovers : 13.90
• Personal Fouls: 18.70

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.70 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.80 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.40 (77.31%)
• Rebounds: Total 47.2, Offensive 15.80, Defensive 31.40
• Assists: 25.70
• Blocks: 5.10
• Steals: 8.90
• Turnovers : 12.80
• Personal Fouls: 18.70

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.00 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.90 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.40 (76.35%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.4, Offensive 13.10, Defensive 33.30
• Assists: 28.10
• Blocks: 4.70
• Steals: 8.80
• Turnovers : 12.10
• Personal Fouls: 16.40

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	56	26	0.683	114.9	107.2	7.7	30-11	26-15	10-6	36-16	8-2	2W
Knicks	53	29	0.646	116.5	110.1	6.4	30-10	23-19	14-3	35-17	6-4	1L
Raptors	46	36	0.561	114.6	111.8	2.8	24-17	22-19	5-12	33-19	6-4	1W
76ers	45	37	0.549	115.9	116.1	-0.2	23-18	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	2W
Nets	20	62	0.244	105.9	115.9	-10	12-29	8-33	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	60	22	0.732	117.8	109.6	8.2	32-9	28-13	12-4	39-13	8-2	3W
Cavaliers	52	30	0.634	119.5	115.4	4.1	27-14	25-16	11-5	33-19	7-3	1W
Bucks	32	50	0.39	110.6	116.8	-6.2	19-22	13-28	9-7	21-31	3-7	1L
Bulls	31	51	0.378	116.3	121.5	-5.2	18-23	13-28	4-12	19-32	2-8	2L
Pacers	19	63	0.232	112.4	120.4	-8	11-30	8-33	4-12	15-37	3-7	2L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	46	36	0.561	118.5	116	2.5	24-17	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	1L
Magic	45	37	0.549	115.7	115.1	0.6	26-16	19-21	9-8	26-26	7-3	1L
Hornets	44	38	0.537	116	111.2	4.8	21-20	23-18	11-5	26-26	6-4	1W
Heat	43	39	0.524	120.9	118.5	2.4	26-15	17-24	10-7	27-25	5-5	2W
Wizards	17	65	0.207	112.9	124.9	-12	11-30	6-35	2-14	11-41	0-10	10L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	64	18	0.78	119	107.9	11.1	34-8	30-10	12-4	41-11	7-3	2L
Nuggets	54	28	0.659	122.1	116.9	5.2	28-13	26-15	11-5	36-16	10-0	12W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	118	114.6	3.4	26-15	23-18	9-7	31-21	5-5	2W
Trail Blazers	42	40	0.512	115.5	115.8	-0.3	24-17	18-23	7-9	29-23	7-3	2W
Jazz	22	60	0.268	117.6	126	-8.4	14-27	8-33	1-15	12-40	1-9	1L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	53	29	0.646	116.3	114.6	1.7	28-13	25-16	10-7	33-19	7-3	3W
Suns	45	37	0.549	112.6	111.1	1.5	25-16	20-21	10-7	29-23	5-5	1W
Clippers	42	40	0.512	113.8	112.6	1.2	23-18	19-22	10-6	25-27	6-4	1W
Warriors	37	45	0.451	114.6	115.2	-0.6	22-19	15-26	7-9	24-28	3-7	3L
Kings	22	60	0.268	111	121	-10	15-26	7-34	4-12	14-38	3-7	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	62	20	0.756	119.8	111.5	8.3	32-8	30-12	13-3	36-16	8-2	1L
Rockets	52	30	0.634	115.2	110	5.2	30-11	22-19	10-6	29-23	9-1	1W
Pelicans	26	56	0.317	115.5	120	-4.5	17-24	9-32	7-9	17-34	1-9	2L
Mavericks	26	56	0.317	114.1	119.6	-5.5	16-25	10-31	4-12	14-37	3-7	1W
Grizzlies	25	57	0.305	114.7	120.7	-6	14-27	11-30	6-10	19-33	1-9	8L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	60	22	0.732	117.8	109.6	8.2	32-9	28-13	12-4	39-13	8-2	3W
Celtics	56	26	0.683	114.9	107.2	7.7	30-11	26-15	10-6	36-16	8-2	2W
Knicks	53	29	0.646	116.5	110.1	6.4	30-10	23-19	14-3	35-17	6-4	1L
Cavaliers	52	30	0.634	119.5	115.4	4.1	27-14	25-16	11-5	33-19	7-3	1W
Raptors	46	36	0.561	114.6	111.8	2.8	24-17	22-19	5-12	33-19	6-4	1W
Hawks	46	36	0.561	118.5	116	2.5	24-17	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	1L
76ers	45	37	0.549	115.9	116.1	-0.2	23-18	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	2W
Magic	45	37	0.549	115.7	115.1	0.6	26-16	19-21	9-8	26-26	7-3	1L
Hornets	44	38	0.537	116	111.2	4.8	21-20	23-18	11-5	26-26	6-4	1W
Heat	43	39	0.524	120.9	118.5	2.4	26-15	17-24	10-7	27-25	5-5	2W
Bucks	32	50	0.39	110.6	116.8	-6.2	19-22	13-28	9-7	21-31	3-7	1L
Bulls	31	51	0.378	116.3	121.5	-5.2	18-23	13-28	4-12	19-32	2-8	2L
Nets	20	62	0.244	105.9	115.9	-10	12-29	8-33	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
Pacers	19	63	0.232	112.4	120.4	-8	11-30	8-33	4-12	15-37	3-7	2L
Wizards	17	65	0.207	112.9	124.9	-12	11-30	6-35	2-14	11-41	0-10	10L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	64	18	0.78	119	107.9	11.1	34-8	30-10	12-4	41-11	7-3	2L
Spurs	62	20	0.756	119.8	111.5	8.3	32-8	30-12	13-3	36-16	8-2	1L
Nuggets	54	28	0.659	122.1	116.9	5.2	28-13	26-15	11-5	36-16	10-0	12W
Lakers	53	29	0.646	116.3	114.6	1.7	28-13	25-16	10-7	33-19	7-3	3W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	115.2	110	5.2	30-11	22-19	10-6	29-23	9-1	1W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	118	114.6	3.4	26-15	23-18	9-7	31-21	5-5	2W
Suns	45	37	0.549	112.6	111.1	1.5	25-16	20-21	10-7	29-23	5-5	1W
Trail Blazers	42	40	0.512	115.5	115.8	-0.3	24-17	18-23	7-9	29-23	7-3	2W
Clippers	42	40	0.512	113.8	112.6	1.2	23-18	19-22	10-6	25-27	6-4	1W
Warriors	37	45	0.451	114.6	115.2	-0.6	22-19	15-26	7-9	24-28	3-7	3L
Pelicans	26	56	0.317	115.5	120	-4.5	17-24	9-32	7-9	17-34	1-9	2L
Mavericks	26	56	0.317	114.1	119.6	-5.5	16-25	10-31	4-12	14-37	3-7	1W
Grizzlies	25	57	0.305	114.7	120.7	-6	14-27	11-30	6-10	19-33	1-9	8L
Kings	22	60	0.268	111	121	-10	15-26	7-34	4-12	14-38	3-7	1L
Jazz	22	60	0.268	117.6	126	-8.4	14-27	8-33	1-15	12-40	1-9	1L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	64	18	0.78	119	107.9	11.1	34-8	30-10	12-4	41-11	7-3	2L
Spurs	62	20	0.756	119.8	111.5	8.3	32-8	30-12	13-3	36-16	8-2	1L
Pistons	60	22	0.732	117.8	109.6	8.2	32-9	28-13	12-4	39-13	8-2	3W
Celtics	56	26	0.683	114.9	107.2	7.7	30-11	26-15	10-6	36-16	8-2	2W
Nuggets	54	28	0.659	122.1	116.9	5.2	28-13	26-15	11-5	36-16	10-0	12W
Lakers	53	29	0.646	116.3	114.6	1.7	28-13	25-16	10-7	33-19	7-3	3W
Knicks	53	29	0.646	116.5	110.1	6.4	30-10	23-19	14-3	35-17	6-4	1L
Cavaliers	52	30	0.634	119.5	115.4	4.1	27-14	25-16	11-5	33-19	7-3	1W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	115.2	110	5.2	30-11	22-19	10-6	29-23	9-1	1W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	118	114.6	3.4	26-15	23-18	9-7	31-21	5-5	2W
Hawks	46	36	0.561	118.5	116	2.5	24-17	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	1L
Raptors	46	36	0.561	114.6	111.8	2.8	24-17	22-19	5-12	33-19	6-4	1W
Magic	45	37	0.549	115.7	115.1	0.6	26-16	19-21	9-8	26-26	7-3	1L
76ers	45	37	0.549	115.9	116.1	-0.2	23-18	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	2W
Suns	45	37	0.549	112.6	111.1	1.5	25-16	20-21	10-7	29-23	5-5	1W
Hornets	44	38	0.537	116	111.2	4.8	21-20	23-18	11-5	26-26	6-4	1W
Heat	43	39	0.524	120.9	118.5	2.4	26-15	17-24	10-7	27-25	5-5	2W
Clippers	42	40	0.512	113.8	112.6	1.2	23-18	19-22	10-6	25-27	6-4	1W
Trail Blazers	42	40	0.512	115.5	115.8	-0.3	24-17	18-23	7-9	29-23	7-3	2W
Warriors	37	45	0.451	114.6	115.2	-0.6	22-19	15-26	7-9	24-28	3-7	3L
Bucks	32	50	0.39	110.6	116.8	-6.2	19-22	13-28	9-7	21-31	3-7	1L
Bulls	31	51	0.378	116.3	121.5	-5.2	18-23	13-28	4-12	19-32	2-8	2L
Mavericks	26	56	0.317	114.1	119.6	-5.5	16-25	10-31	4-12	14-37	3-7	1W
Pelicans	26	56	0.317	115.5	120	-4.5	17-24	9-32	7-9	17-34	1-9	2L
Grizzlies	25	57	0.305	114.7	120.7	-6	14-27	11-30	6-10	19-33	1-9	8L
Kings	22	60	0.268	111	121	-10	15-26	7-34	4-12	14-38	3-7	1L
Jazz	22	60	0.268	117.6	126	-8.4	14-27	8-33	1-15	12-40	1-9	1L
Nets	20	62	0.244	105.9	115.9	-10	12-29	8-33	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
Pacers	19	63	0.232	112.4	120.4	-8	11-30	8-33	4-12	15-37	3-7	2L
Wizards	17	65	0.207	112.9	124.9	-12	11-30	6-35	2-14	11-41	0-10	10L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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