Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2026

Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries Predictions

Best Bet

Over 161.5 Points @ -106

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Let’s go for Over 161.5 when the Aces face the Valkyries. We think the line is too generous and we’re expecting the final total to be higher at -106.

Our Aces vs Valkyries betting picks highlight our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Review the dedicated breakdowns below for the full reasoning behind the plays.

Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries Preview

The Las Vegas Aces square off against the Golden State Valkyries in Game 1 of their best-of-five Semifinals series at Chase Center, with tip-off scheduled for 16:00 on Sunday, October 4.

The Las Vegas Aces advanced from their First Round series against the Indiana Fever 2-1, clinching their place in the semifinals with a 94-83 home victory in Game 3.

A'ja Wilson delivered a dominant performance with 36 points and 10 rebounds, while Chelsea Gray scored 23 points and Jackie Young added 18 points, eight rebounds and seven assists as the defending champions moved on.

The Golden State Valkyries also advanced with a 2-1 First Round series victory, overcoming a 16-point deficit to beat the Dallas Wings 77-73 at home in the deciding Game 3.

Gabby Williams led Golden State with 19 points, scoring 17 after halftime as the Valks completed the comeback and secured the first playoff series victory in franchise history.

Aces Won All 3 Regular-Season Meetings

Las Vegas completed a sweep of the three regular-season meetings with Golden State, most recently earning a 92-73 home victory at Michelob ULTRA Arena in June. The Aces also recorded 91-81 and 84-79 wins over the Valkyries earlier in the season.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
2  Valkyries	32	12	3615	3305	310	17-5	15-7	1W
3  Aces	31	13	4025	3776	249	15-7	16-6	7W

View Full Standings

Best Bet

There could be plenty of baskets being racked up during this WNBA contest, with our pick being Over 161.5 points in total. Odds of -106 look worth taking for this outcome.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 161.5 line has been covered in the last 17 Aces games on the road.
• The 161.5 line has been covered in 19 of the last 20 Aces games.
• The 161.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Valkyries games.
• The 161.5 line has been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

The WNBA handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest stats to support every prediction.

Over 161.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 51.5% prospect of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for a bigger payout on your Total wager? Consider the Match Result & Total lines where you combine the winning franchise and Over a certain number of points.

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Over 161.5 Points @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 3, 20:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jewell Loyd Over 2.5 Rebounds +113

Jewell Loyd (Aces) is available at +113 to secure Over 2.5 rebounds. We’re going to take her on the Overs for Player Rebounds, with this total making lots of appeal.

Latest Jewell Loyd Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 7.5

-102

Under 7.5

-127

Rebounds

Over 2.5

+113

Under 2.5

-147

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Jackie Young Over 4.5 Rebounds +126

Jackie Young (Aces) can be wagered to record Over 4.5 rebounds at +126. We think that the value can be found by betting on Player Rebounds and we’re expecting her to go over the line.

Latest Jackie Young Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-101

Under 19.5

-128

Assists

Over 6.5

+117

Under 6.5

-152

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+126

Under 4.5

-164

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Aces 83 - 82 Valkyries

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score prediction being a 83-82 win for the Aces. There are enormous odds available when it comes to this pick.

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Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Golden State Valkyries are on offer at -108 on the Moneyline if you want to back this franchise, with Las Vegas Aces available at -112. The hosts have a 52% chance of victory in the eyes of the leading WNBA sportsbooks.

The spread is 1.5 and the total points line is currently 159.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 159.5 at -106.

Fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every women's basketball matchup on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Aces

-112

Valkyries

-108

Point Spread

Aces -1.5

-102

Valkyries +1.5

-120

Total Points

Under 159.5

-114

Over 159.5

-106

A'ja Wilson is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get +103 that she scores Over 25.5 points or -133 that she goes Under.

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 25.5

+103

Under 25.5

-133

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 19.5

-101

Under 19.5

-128

Gabby Williams (Valkyries)

Over 18.5

-119

Under 18.5

-109

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 12.5

-102

Under 12.5

-127

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 11.5

-123

Under 11.5

-104

Janelle Salaun (Valkyries)

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-101

Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries)

Over 7.5

-106

Under 7.5

-122

Jewell Loyd (Aces)

Over 7.5

-102

Under 7.5

-127

Kayla Thornton (Valkyries)

Over 6.5

-123

Under 6.5

-105

Kaila Charles (Valkyries)

Over 5.5

-111

Under 5.5

-116

Stephanie Talbot (Aces)

Over 5.5

-101

Under 5.5

-128

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 6.5

+117

Under 6.5

-152

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-135

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 6.5

+112

Under 6.5

-145

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 3.5

+141

Under 3.5

-185

Gabby Williams (Valkyries)

Over 3.5

+126

Under 3.5

-164

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-123

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

+126

Under 4.5

-164

Kayla Thornton (Valkyries)

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-119

Gabby Williams (Valkyries)

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+119

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 3.5

+136

Under 3.5

-179

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-116

Janelle Salaun (Valkyries)

Over 3.5

-109

Under 3.5

-119

Kaila Charles (Valkyries)

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+123

Stephanie Talbot (Aces)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-152

Jewell Loyd (Aces)

Over 2.5

+113

Under 2.5

-147

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Las Vegas Aces Stats

Golden State Valkyries Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 173.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 175.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 156.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 92.70 pts and allowed 80.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 88.70 pts and allowed 87.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 154.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 156.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.70 pts and allowed 73.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 82.70 pts and allowed 71.40 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	33	11	3997	3681	316	15-7	18-4	1W
2  Valkyries	32	12	3615	3305	310	17-5	15-7	1W
3  Aces	31	13	4025	3776	249	15-7	16-6	7W
4  Dream	30	14	4019	3717	302	15-7	15-7	5W
5  Mystics	28	16	3696	3640	56	15-7	13-9	4W
6  Fever	28	16	4222	3979	243	15-7	13-9	1L
7  Wings	27	17	3933	3751	182	16-6	11-11	1W
8  Liberty	26	18	3941	3802	139	14-8	12-10	2L
9  Fire	17	27	3794	4005	-211	9-13	8-14	1W
10  Mercury	16	28	3712	3854	-142	7-15	9-13	1L
11  Sky	16	28	3818	3989	-171	11-11	5-17	1L
12  Sparks	16	28	3830	4018	-188	8-14	8-14	2L
13  Tempo	11	33	3769	4152	-383	7-15	4-18	8L
14  Sun	11	33	3470	3875	-405	8-14	3-19	1W
15  Storm	8	36	3616	3913	-297	6-16	2-20	5L

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