Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Thursday

Our prediction is that the Mavericks will be able to cover the spread against the Heat, with +2 looking favorable for our bet. Take the -110 that is currently available.

Miami Heat have been defeated in their previous three games. On the road, they recently suffered a 115-101 loss against Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center. Bam Adebayo scored 27 points, with Tyler Herro getting 14 and Davion Mitchell 14.

Dallas Mavericks won their last game, beating Golden State Warriors at home. It was a 111-107 win at American Airlines Center. On the points front, Kyrie Irving recorded 42, Max Christie 17 and Klay Thompson 17.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between the Heat and the Mavs saw the former win. It was a 123-118 (OT) scoreline at Kaseya Center. The Mavs have won six of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	20	17	0.541	120.1	117.4	2.7	13-6	7-11	3-3	12-10	5-5	1L
Mavericks	14	24	0.368	113.1	116.9	-3.8	10-10	4-14	3-6	8-17	3-7	1L

View Full Standings

4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 104.2 points, 46.4 rebounds, 26.1 assists, 5.7 steals and 3.9 blocks while shooting 43.5% from the field and 78.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 112.4 points and 46.4 rebounds per matchup.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 21.3 points and 11.7 rebounds, while Tyler Herro averages 7.1 assist and 2.6 (28.9%) 3-pointers.

The Mavs have won 5 and lost 5 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 117.5 points, 43.6 rebounds, 25.8 assists, 6.4 steals and 7.4 blocks per game while shooting 48.2% from the field and 75.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 120.6 points and 45.2 rebounds.

Kyrie Irving is averaging 22.6 points and 4.0 assists, while Daniel Gafford has an average of 7.8 rebounds and Klay Thompson 3.5 (43.2%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Kyle Anderson, Davion Mitchell.

Dallas Mavericks lineup: Max Christie, Dante Exum, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Kessler Edwards, Spencer Dinwiddie.

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks

We’re delighted to see that Mavericks have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +2 at -110 before they line up for this NBA contest.

Our expert NBA handicappers study the latest form, while injuries can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest stats.

Key Heat vs Mavericks stats:

• The +2 line has been covered by Mavs in all of their last 5 games.
• The +2 line has been covered by Mavs in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +2 line has been covered by Mavs in 5 consecutive games.
• The -2 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -2 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -2 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 3 consecutive games.
• The +2 line has been covered by Mavs in 6 of their last 10 games against Heat.

Mavs +2 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Bigger prices can be secured for bettors who are prepared to move the line. The odds increase according to how much risk you are prepared to have with your wager.

Our Game Prediction

Mavericks +2 @ -110 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kel'el Ware Under 16.5 Points -110

Kel'el Ware (Heat) has recorded an average of 8 points in the past 5 road games. It therefore follows that he might fall short on Player Points and you can get -110 that he doesn’t cover the line.

Latest Kel'el Ware Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-120

Under 16.5

-110

Rebounds

Over 12.5

+104

Under 12.5

-137

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Tyler Herro Over 5.5 Assists -135

Tyler Herro (Heat) has totaled Over 5.5 assists in 9 of the past 9 games. You can secure betting odds of -135 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Assists wager making appeal.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 25.5

-106

Under 25.5

-127

Assists

Over 5.5

-135

Under 5.5

+102

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-118

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Correct Score Prediction

Heat 112 - 117 Mavericks

There are stacks of correct score lines available and we’re looking at the Mavericks to achieve a winning scoreline of 117-112 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

When you consider the latest Moneyline odds, you can find Dallas Mavericks at +118 whereas Miami Heat are -139. The NBA sportsbook traders give the road team a 58% probability of success.

The spread is 3 and the total points line is currently 216. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 216, the odds are -112.

The Heat are -120 should you want to back the betting favorites in the Race to 20 points. The Mavs can be wagered at -110 to get to the 20-point mark first.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball wagers. The betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

Heat

-139

Mavericks

+118

Point Spread

Heat -3

-108

Mavericks +3

-112

Total Points

Under 216

-108

Over 216

-112

Kyrie Irving is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -114 that he gets Over 26.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -118.

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-118

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 25.5

-106

Under 25.5

-127

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 19.5

-104

Under 19.5

-128

Max Christie (Mavericks)

Over 16.5

-130

Under 16.5

-103

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 16.5

-120

Under 16.5

-110

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-118

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-118

Naji Marshall (Mavericks)

Over 15.5

-110

Under 15.5

-120

Terry Rozier (Heat)

Over 12.5

-111

Under 12.5

-116

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-120

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 11.5

-118

Under 11.5

-114

Dante Exum (Mavericks)

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-130

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 8.5

-128

Under 8.5

-104

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 5.5

+125

Under 5.5

-167

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

-135

Under 5.5

+102

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 4.5

+106

Under 4.5

-141

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

-100

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-123

Dante Exum (Mavericks)

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+123

Max Christie (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-105

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-115

Terry Rozier (Heat)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

+101

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 12.5

+104

Under 12.5

-137

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 11.5

-118

Under 11.5

-114

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 5.5

-122

Under 5.5

-109

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-118

Max Christie (Mavericks)

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-161

Naji Marshall (Mavericks)

Over 5.5

-139

Under 5.5

+104

Andrew Wiggins (Heat)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-103

Terry Rozier (Heat)

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-156

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+117

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 3.5

-179

Under 3.5

+130

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 2.5

+141

Under 2.5

-185

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat Stats

Dallas Mavericks Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -4 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +4 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 239.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 243.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 240.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 240.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 123.00 pts and allowed 116.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 123.40 pts and allowed 120.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 233.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 226.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 240.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 240.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 115.20 pts and allowed 118.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 111.80 pts and allowed 114.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.70 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.90 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.90 (78.04%)
• Rebounds: Total 48.1, Offensive 12.30, Defensive 35.80
• Assists: 30.00
• Blocks: 5.50
• Steals: 8.10
• Turnovers : 13.60
• Personal Fouls: 20.00

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.40 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.10 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.30 (75.46%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.7, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 34.80
• Assists: 30.10
• Blocks: 3.80
• Steals: 8.90
• Turnovers : 14.50
• Personal Fouls: 20.90

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.00 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.10 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.90 (76.25%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.7, Offensive 10.60, Defensive 34.10
• Assists: 24.30
• Blocks: 5.80
• Steals: 7.90
• Turnovers : 14.60
• Personal Fouls: 21.50

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.60 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.20 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.00 (76.12%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.9, Offensive 10.30, Defensive 35.60
• Assists: 23.90
• Blocks: 7.50
• Steals: 7.60
• Turnovers : 15.80
• Personal Fouls: 21.00

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks Confirmed Lineup

0 Max Christie

0 Dante Exum

8 Olivier-Maxence Prosper

20 Kessler Edwards

26 Spencer Dinwiddie

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

7 Kel'el Ware

11 Jaime Jaquez Jr.

14 Tyler Herro

20 Kyle Anderson

45 Davion Mitchell

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	24	13	0.649	119.7	115	4.7	16-4	8-9	5-3	18-11	5-5	1W
Celtics	23	13	0.639	117.6	110.6	7	11-6	12-7	5-4	16-8	8-2	1L
Raptors	23	15	0.605	114	111.9	2.1	12-8	11-7	3-6	20-10	6-4	3W
76ers	20	15	0.571	117.6	116.2	1.4	10-9	10-6	7-3	15-12	6-4	1W
Nets	11	23	0.324	109.3	114	-4.7	5-14	6-9	3-7	8-16	5-5	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	28	9	0.757	118.5	111.6	6.9	15-3	13-6	7-3	20-6	7-3	3W
Cavaliers	21	18	0.538	119.3	117.1	2.2	13-9	8-9	7-3	14-13	6-4	1L
Bulls	17	20	0.459	117.1	121.2	-4.1	10-9	7-11	3-7	13-14	5-5	3L
Bucks	16	21	0.432	113.3	115.6	-2.3	9-9	7-12	5-4	13-14	5-5	1L
Pacers	7	31	0.184	110.8	119.5	-8.7	5-15	2-16	2-7	5-19	1-9	1W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	21	17	0.553	116.6	115.2	1.4	12-6	9-11	5-4	15-13	5-5	1W
Heat	20	17	0.541	120.1	117.4	2.7	13-6	7-11	3-3	12-10	5-5	1L
Hawks	18	21	0.462	118.4	119.4	-1	7-11	11-10	4-3	10-15	3-7	1W
Hornets	13	25	0.342	115.4	117.2	-1.8	7-12	6-13	4-4	11-18	4-6	2L
Wizards	10	26	0.278	113.5	124.2	-10.7	6-12	4-14	2-4	7-18	5-5	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	31	7	0.816	121.4	108.1	13.3	18-3	13-4	7-2	25-6	6-4	1W
Nuggets	25	12	0.676	124.1	118.1	6	10-5	15-7	4-1	16-7	5-5	2W
Timberwolves	25	13	0.658	119.9	114.3	5.6	14-6	11-7	4-4	13-10	7-3	4W
Trail Blazers	18	20	0.474	116.5	119.1	-2.6	9-9	9-11	4-4	15-13	6-4	4W
Jazz	13	24	0.351	119.6	126.7	-7.1	9-11	4-13	0-8	8-18	3-7	1W

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	23	12	0.657	116.3	116.6	-0.3	10-6	13-6	4-4	18-9	5-5	1L
Suns	22	15	0.595	114.8	112.4	2.4	12-5	10-10	8-4	20-13	7-3	1W
Warriors	20	18	0.526	115	113.6	1.4	12-5	8-13	4-3	13-12	7-3	1W
Clippers	13	23	0.361	112.1	114.4	-2.3	9-9	4-14	4-4	10-14	7-3	1L
Kings	8	29	0.216	109.9	121.6	-11.7	5-13	3-16	1-6	6-23	2-8	6L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	26	11	0.703	119	113.3	5.7	13-5	13-6	7-1	15-9	6-4	1W
Rockets	22	12	0.647	118.9	110.7	8.2	11-2	11-10	2-4	12-11	6-4	1L
Grizzlies	16	21	0.432	115.2	116.6	-1.4	8-10	8-11	5-3	14-12	3-7	1L
Mavericks	14	24	0.368	113.1	116.9	-3.8	10-10	4-14	3-6	8-17	3-7	1L
Pelicans	8	31	0.205	114.5	122.7	-8.2	6-17	2-14	3-6	4-23	1-9	9L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	28	9	0.757	118.5	111.6	6.9	15-3	13-6	7-3	20-6	7-3	3W
Knicks	24	13	0.649	119.7	115	4.7	16-4	8-9	5-3	18-11	5-5	1W
Celtics	23	13	0.639	117.6	110.6	7	11-6	12-7	5-4	16-8	8-2	1L
Raptors	23	15	0.605	114	111.9	2.1	12-8	11-7	3-6	20-10	6-4	3W
76ers	20	15	0.571	117.6	116.2	1.4	10-9	10-6	7-3	15-12	6-4	1W
Magic	21	17	0.553	116.6	115.2	1.4	12-6	9-11	5-4	15-13	5-5	1W
Heat	20	17	0.541	120.1	117.4	2.7	13-6	7-11	3-3	12-10	5-5	1L
Cavaliers	21	18	0.538	119.3	117.1	2.2	13-9	8-9	7-3	14-13	6-4	1L
Hawks	18	21	0.462	118.4	119.4	-1	7-11	11-10	4-3	10-15	3-7	1W
Bulls	17	20	0.459	117.1	121.2	-4.1	10-9	7-11	3-7	13-14	5-5	3L
Bucks	16	21	0.432	113.3	115.6	-2.3	9-9	7-12	5-4	13-14	5-5	1L
Hornets	13	25	0.342	115.4	117.2	-1.8	7-12	6-13	4-4	11-18	4-6	2L
Nets	11	23	0.324	109.3	114	-4.7	5-14	6-9	3-7	8-16	5-5	1L
Wizards	10	26	0.278	113.5	124.2	-10.7	6-12	4-14	2-4	7-18	5-5	1L
Pacers	7	31	0.184	110.8	119.5	-8.7	5-15	2-16	2-7	5-19	1-9	1W

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	31	7	0.816	121.4	108.1	13.3	18-3	13-4	7-2	25-6	6-4	1W
Spurs	26	11	0.703	119	113.3	5.7	13-5	13-6	7-1	15-9	6-4	1W
Nuggets	25	12	0.676	124.1	118.1	6	10-5	15-7	4-1	16-7	5-5	2W
Timberwolves	25	13	0.658	119.9	114.3	5.6	14-6	11-7	4-4	13-10	7-3	4W
Lakers	23	12	0.657	116.3	116.6	-0.3	10-6	13-6	4-4	18-9	5-5	1L
Rockets	22	12	0.647	118.9	110.7	8.2	11-2	11-10	2-4	12-11	6-4	1L
Suns	22	15	0.595	114.8	112.4	2.4	12-5	10-10	8-4	20-13	7-3	1W
Warriors	20	18	0.526	115	113.6	1.4	12-5	8-13	4-3	13-12	7-3	1W
Trail Blazers	18	20	0.474	116.5	119.1	-2.6	9-9	9-11	4-4	15-13	6-4	4W
Grizzlies	16	21	0.432	115.2	116.6	-1.4	8-10	8-11	5-3	14-12	3-7	1L
Mavericks	14	24	0.368	113.1	116.9	-3.8	10-10	4-14	3-6	8-17	3-7	1L
Clippers	13	23	0.361	112.1	114.4	-2.3	9-9	4-14	4-4	10-14	7-3	1L
Jazz	13	24	0.351	119.6	126.7	-7.1	9-11	4-13	0-8	8-18	3-7	1W
Kings	8	29	0.216	109.9	121.6	-11.7	5-13	3-16	1-6	6-23	2-8	6L
Pelicans	8	31	0.205	114.5	122.7	-8.2	6-17	2-14	3-6	4-23	1-9	9L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	31	7	0.816	121.4	108.1	13.3	18-3	13-4	7-2	25-6	6-4	1W
Pistons	28	9	0.757	118.5	111.6	6.9	15-3	13-6	7-3	20-6	7-3	3W
Spurs	26	11	0.703	119	113.3	5.7	13-5	13-6	7-1	15-9	6-4	1W
Nuggets	25	12	0.676	124.1	118.1	6	10-5	15-7	4-1	16-7	5-5	2W
Timberwolves	25	13	0.658	119.9	114.3	5.6	14-6	11-7	4-4	13-10	7-3	4W
Lakers	23	12	0.657	116.3	116.6	-0.3	10-6	13-6	4-4	18-9	5-5	1L
Knicks	24	13	0.649	119.7	115	4.7	16-4	8-9	5-3	18-11	5-5	1W
Rockets	22	12	0.647	118.9	110.7	8.2	11-2	11-10	2-4	12-11	6-4	1L
Celtics	23	13	0.639	117.6	110.6	7	11-6	12-7	5-4	16-8	8-2	1L
Raptors	23	15	0.605	114	111.9	2.1	12-8	11-7	3-6	20-10	6-4	3W
Suns	22	15	0.595	114.8	112.4	2.4	12-5	10-10	8-4	20-13	7-3	1W
76ers	20	15	0.571	117.6	116.2	1.4	10-9	10-6	7-3	15-12	6-4	1W
Magic	21	17	0.553	116.6	115.2	1.4	12-6	9-11	5-4	15-13	5-5	1W
Heat	20	17	0.541	120.1	117.4	2.7	13-6	7-11	3-3	12-10	5-5	1L
Cavaliers	21	18	0.538	119.3	117.1	2.2	13-9	8-9	7-3	14-13	6-4	1L
Warriors	20	18	0.526	115	113.6	1.4	12-5	8-13	4-3	13-12	7-3	1W
Trail Blazers	18	20	0.474	116.5	119.1	-2.6	9-9	9-11	4-4	15-13	6-4	4W
Hawks	18	21	0.462	118.4	119.4	-1	7-11	11-10	4-3	10-15	3-7	1W
Bulls	17	20	0.459	117.1	121.2	-4.1	10-9	7-11	3-7	13-14	5-5	3L
Grizzlies	16	21	0.432	115.2	116.6	-1.4	8-10	8-11	5-3	14-12	3-7	1L
Bucks	16	21	0.432	113.3	115.6	-2.3	9-9	7-12	5-4	13-14	5-5	1L
Mavericks	14	24	0.368	113.1	116.9	-3.8	10-10	4-14	3-6	8-17	3-7	1L
Clippers	13	23	0.361	112.1	114.4	-2.3	9-9	4-14	4-4	10-14	7-3	1L
Jazz	13	24	0.351	119.6	126.7	-7.1	9-11	4-13	0-8	8-18	3-7	1W
Hornets	13	25	0.342	115.4	117.2	-1.8	7-12	6-13	4-4	11-18	4-6	2L
Nets	11	23	0.324	109.3	114	-4.7	5-14	6-9	3-7	8-16	5-5	1L
Wizards	10	26	0.278	113.5	124.2	-10.7	6-12	4-14	2-4	7-18	5-5	1L
Kings	8	29	0.216	109.9	121.6	-11.7	5-13	3-16	1-6	6-23	2-8	6L
Pelicans	8	31	0.205	114.5	122.7	-8.2	6-17	2-14	3-6	4-23	1-9	9L
Pacers	7	31	0.184	110.8	119.5	-8.7	5-15	2-16	2-7	5-19	1-9	1W

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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