Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Monday

NBA Playoffs Betting Preview: Wolves vs Nuggets

The No. 6 seed Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 23-18 away) face the No. 3 Denver Nuggets (54-28, 28-13 at home) in Game 2 of this first-round NBA Playoffs series. Denver leads the series 1-0.

Over 231.5 points looks like a realistic outcome. The total wasn’t covered in Game 1, but it has been covered in four of the last six meetings between these teams and we expect the pace to pick up in Game 2. At -110, we’re backing the Over, with the line appearing a bit too low for this matchup.

The Denver Nuggets took Game 1 on Saturday with a 116-105 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena, marking their 13th straight victory.

Nikola Jokic delivered a strong performance for the Nuggets, recording a triple-double with 25 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists. Anthony Edwards led the Wolves with 22 points, while Rudy Gobert added 17 points and 10 rebounds, and Jaden McDaniels chipped in 16.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Wolves have won six of the last 10 meetings between these teams, but the Nuggets have taken four of the five matchups this season.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Timberwolves	1	0	1	131	106	25	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves lineup: Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle.

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

Get the full betting picture for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets, including a key match prediction, our best correct score selection, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet same game parlay.

Game Prediction

We’re expecting Over 231.5 points in this first-round matchup. At -110, the number looks appealing, and we anticipate a high-scoring game with both teams putting up plenty of points.

We only publish our basketball predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest NBA form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.

Key Timberwolves vs Nuggets stats:

• The 231.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Wolves games.
• The 231.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Nuggets games.
• The 231.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Nuggets games.
• The 231.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams.

Over 231.5 Probability

According to the best NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Secure more desirable odds by moving the line when you place an Over bet. You can choose from a range of options on the Totals until you’re happy with your wager.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 231.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 20, 03:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ayo Dosunmu Over 12.5 Points -127

Ayo Dosunmu (Wolves) has totaled an average of 18 points in the past 4 road games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of -127 that he is able to cover the line when it comes to wagering on Player Points.

Latest Ayo Dosunmu Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-128

Under 12.5

-106

Assists

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-182

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+127

---

Aaron Gordon Over 2.5 Assists -105

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets) has racked up Over 2.5 assists in 4 straight games. He therefore looks capable of covering the line when it comes our Player Assists bet, with odds of -105 available.

Latest Aaron Gordon Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-110

Under 16.5

-123

Assists

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-115

Rebounds

Over 6.5

+102

Under 6.5

-139

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Timberwolves 113 - 124 Nuggets

If you’re chasing a bigger payout, the correct score market is worth a look. The Nuggets to win 124-113 is available at huge odds and offers an appealing upside.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving Denver a 74% probability of winning Game 2, the Nuggets might be a popular SGP pick. That is reflected in their -278 Moneyline betting odds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are the underdogs at +230 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 7 and total points has a line of 232.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you fancy Over 232.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, the top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many alternatives.

Moneyline

Timberwolves

+230

Nuggets

-278

Point Spread

Timberwolves +7

-106

Nuggets -7

-114

Total Points

Under 232.5

-110

Over 232.5

-110

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Nikola Jokic is available at -118 to rack up Over 28.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -115 is available.

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 28.5

-118

Under 28.5

-115

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 26.5

-120

Under 26.5

-114

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 26.5

-108

Under 26.5

-127

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-120

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 16.5

-110

Under 16.5

-123

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 14.5

-130

Under 14.5

-105

Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves)

Over 12.5

-128

Under 12.5

-106

Cameron Johnson (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-118

Under 12.5

-118

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 11.5

-115

Under 11.5

-118

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 11.5

-109

Under 11.5

-125

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-120

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-122

Tim Hardaway Jr (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-130

Bruce Brown (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

+105

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

+102

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-120

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+110

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-135

Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-182

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-179

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-115

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-118

Cameron Johnson (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-143

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-164

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-106

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-109

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

-130

Under 13.5

-105

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-122

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 6.5

-118

Under 6.5

-114

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

+102

Under 6.5

-139

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-147

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-114

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-103

Under 4.5

-132

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+110

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+118

Cameron Johnson (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

+102

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-149

Bruce Brown (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-169

Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+127

Tim Hardaway Jr (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

+113

Under 2.5

-147

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

The Nuggets own a 10-0 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 129.40 points on offense and surrendering 118.10 on defense.

The Wolves have five wins and five losses in the last 10 road games, putting up 115.20 points per matchup and giving up 113.10.

The Nuggets beat the Wolves 116-105 when they last met at Ball Arena. Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings at Ball Arena, the Wolves have claimed six wins compared to the Nuggets who have four.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O222.5	U222.5
Denver Nuggets Home Stats		9-1	247.20	128.70	118.50	8	2
Minnesota Timberwolves Away Stats		5-5	227.20	114.40	112.80	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O222.5 = Games Over 222.5 Points
• U222.5 = Games Under 222.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Minnesota Timberwolves Stats

Denver Nuggets Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 232.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 227.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 222.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 222.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 117.20 pts and allowed 115.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 114.40 pts and allowed 112.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 239.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 247.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 222.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 222.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 121.60 pts and allowed 117.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 128.70 pts and allowed 118.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.80 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.10 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.30 (77.22%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.1, Offensive 10.80, Defensive 31.30
• Assists: 25.70
• Blocks: 5.40
• Steals: 7.90
• Turnovers : 12.80
• Personal Fouls: 23.30

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.40 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.30 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.70 (74.24%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.5, Offensive 8.60, Defensive 33.90
• Assists: 24.50
• Blocks: 5.30
• Steals: 8.20
• Turnovers : 13.80
• Personal Fouls: 22.10

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.00 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.20 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.00 (83.33%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.9, Offensive 10.60, Defensive 36.30
• Assists: 27.80
• Blocks: 4.30
• Steals: 6.80
• Turnovers : 11.10
• Personal Fouls: 19.30

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.80 (59%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 16.60 (40%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.30 (84.28%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.7, Offensive 8.80, Defensive 36.90
• Assists: 32.30
• Blocks: 3.70
• Steals: 6.60
• Turnovers : 11.30
• Personal Fouls: 20.00

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

15 Nikola Jokic

23 Cameron Johnson

27 Jamal Murray

32 Aaron Gordon

Minnesota Timberwolves Confirmed Lineup

0 Donte DiVincenzo

3 Jaden McDaniels

5 Anthony Edwards

27 Rudy Gobert

30 Julius Randle

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	135	92	43	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	103	110	-7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	1	0	1	123	120	3	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Bucks	0	1	0	116	128	-12	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bulls	0	1	0	92	135	-43	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	1	0	1	132	125	7	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Wizards	1	0	1	128	116	12	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	110	103	7	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Magic	0	1	0	125	132	-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	106	131	-25	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Trail Blazers	1	0	1	124	83	41	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	131	106	25	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Jazz	0	1	0	103	123	-20	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Clippers	1	0	1	121	96	25	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Lakers	1	0	1	127	105	22	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Warriors	0	1	0	105	127	-22	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	96	121	-25	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Suns	0	1	0	83	124	-41	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	1	0	1	128	110	18	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	123	103	20	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	110	128	-18	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	120	123	-3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hawks	1	0	1	132	125	7	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	135	92	43	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Wizards	1	0	1	128	116	12	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	110	103	7	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	1	0	1	123	120	3	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	103	110	-7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Magic	0	1	0	125	132	-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bucks	0	1	0	116	128	-12	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bulls	0	1	0	92	135	-43	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	106	131	-25	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Trail Blazers	1	0	1	124	83	41	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Clippers	1	0	1	121	96	25	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Rockets	1	0	1	128	110	18	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Lakers	1	0	1	127	105	22	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	123	103	20	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	131	106	25	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	110	128	-18	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Jazz	0	1	0	103	123	-20	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Warriors	0	1	0	105	127	-22	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	96	121	-25	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Suns	0	1	0	83	124	-41	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	120	123	-3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	1	0	1	132	125	7	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	110	103	7	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pistons	1	0	1	121	113	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Rockets	1	0	1	128	110	18	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	1	0	1	123	120	3	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Clippers	1	0	1	121	96	25	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Lakers	1	0	1	127	105	22	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	123	103	20	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	131	106	25	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	116	104	12	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	106	100	6	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Trail Blazers	1	0	1	124	83	41	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	135	92	43	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Wizards	1	0	1	128	116	12	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Celtics	0	1	0	113	121	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	103	110	-7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Bulls	0	1	0	92	135	-43	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	1	0	110	128	-18	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	1	0	105	127	-22	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	106	131	-25	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Bucks	0	1	0	116	128	-12	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	120	123	-3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1L
Knicks	0	1	0	100	106	-6	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Magic	0	1	0	125	132	-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Suns	0	1	0	83	124	-41	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	96	121	-25	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Spurs	0	1	0	104	116	-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Jazz	0	1	0	103	123	-20	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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