Ball State vs Bowling Green Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Oct 2026
Ball State vs Bowling Green Predictions
Get with Bowling Green with a -6.5 spread. We’re backing the favorites at -118 to enjoy a solid win when they go head-to-head with Ball State.
Our betting picks for Ball State vs Bowling Green cover our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Head further down the page for detailed analysis and the reasoning behind the plays.
Ball State vs Bowling Green Preview
Ball State go up against Bowling Green at Doyt L. Perry Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, October 17.
Ball State Cardinals have suffered a defeat in their previous four games including a recent 45-14 loss. This occurred on the road at Ryan Field against Northwestern Wildcats.
Bowling Green Falcons have enjoyed back-to-back wins, most recently beating Sacramento State 38-10. It was a home success at Doyt L. Perry Stadium.
H2H: Bowling Green Claimed 38-13 Victory in Last H2H
Bowling Green beat Ball State in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 38-13 scoreline at Scheumann Stadium.
Best Bet
Our pick is for Bowling Green to cover the attractive -6.5 line in this college football showdown. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -118 is available.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Injuries can influence the outcome and our CFB handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the matchup might unfold.
Bowling Green -6.5 Probability
Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.
It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.
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Same Game Parlay Pick
Take a same game parlay that incorporates Bowling Green to cover the -6.5 spread along with Over 47.5 points. Add in Touchdown as first score method.
A same game parlay allows bettors to place a multiple wager on the same football game. You can go through the available betting lines and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Correct Score Prediction
Ball State vs Bowling Green Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the sportsbooks giving them a 72% probability of winning this college game, Bowling Green might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -263 Moneyline betting odds. Ball State are the underdogs at +215 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The current spread is 6.5 and total points is 47.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 47.5 at -110.
The top sportsbooks cover every college football matchup with a great mix of game lines and team props. Whether you prefer to bet before kickoff or during the action, make sure to explore all available options.
As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to First, Last or Anytime Touchdown Scorer, while there are lots of other player and quarterback options.
Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college football micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include the Next Play or Next Drive Result.
Bowling Green Stand on Six Losses From Past Ten Home Games
Bowling Green have a 4-6 record in their last 10 home games, averaging 17.10 points scored and 18.90 points allowed.
Ball State are on a skid of ten straight road defeats. They are 0-10 in their last 10 games on the road, posting 11.30 points per contest while yielding 39.70.
The last time the teams met at Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green defeated Ball State 24-21.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O47.5 | U47.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bowling Green Home Stats |
4-6 | 36.00 | 17.10 | 18.90 | 2 | 8 | |
Ball State Away Stats |
0-10 | 51.00 | 11.30 | 39.70 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
- U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Ball State Cardinals Stats
Bowling Green Falcons Stats
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
- 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 52.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 51.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 47.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 16.90 pts and allowed 35.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 11.30 pts and allowed 39.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 44.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 38.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 47.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 18.00 pts and allowed 26.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 19.00 pts and allowed 19.90 pts in the last 10 home games
| Mid-American | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eastern Michigan
|
4 | 3 | 158 | 173 | -15 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 3W |
Ohio
|
4 | 2 | 165 | 148 | 17 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3W |
Western Michigan
|
4 | 2 | 154 | 104 | 50 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2W |
Bowling Green
|
2 | 4 | 95 | 175 | -80 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2W |
Toledo
|
4 | 2 | 220 | 151 | 69 | 3-1 | 1-1 | 1L |
Buffalo
|
3 | 3 | 125 | 161 | -36 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1W |
Central Michigan
|
3 | 3 | 102 | 158 | -56 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 1L |
Miami (OH)
|
3 | 3 | 154 | 165 | -11 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1W |
UMass
|
4 | 2 | 178 | 109 | 69 | 2-2 | 2-0 | 2L |
Kent State
|
2 | 4 | 82 | 195 | -113 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 2L |
Akron
|
1 | 5 | 118 | 193 | -75 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 4L |
Ball State
|
1 | 5 | 110 | 234 | -124 | 1-1 | 0-4 | 4L |
Sacramento State
|
1 | 5 | 98 | 181 | -83 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 4L |
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Bowling Green Home Stats
Ball State Away Stats
Eastern Michigan
Ohio
Western Michigan
Toledo
Buffalo
Central Michigan
Miami (OH)
UMass
Kent State
Akron
Sacramento State