Bills vs Raiders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Oct 2026

Bills vs Raiders Predictions

Best Bet

Bills -5.5 @ -105

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There’s an attractive line of -5.5 when it comes to the Bills playing the Raiders. The -105 that the favorites cover the spread has lots of juice and our prediction is it will happen.

Get our expert Bills vs Raiders predictions, including our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Pick. Explore each section for the complete analysis.

Bills vs Raiders Preview

The Buffalo Bills square off against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, October 18.

Buffalo Bills have triumphed in back-to-back road games. The latest saw them beat Los Angeles Rams 37-34 (OT) at SoFi Stadium. The Bills finished with 436 total yards, breaking down to 202 passing and 234 rushing yards. The offense generated 25 first downs and produced 4 touchdowns.

Las Vegas Raiders have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road, they recently suffered a 45-17 loss against New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. The Raiders finished with 306 total yards, breaking down to 268 passing and 38 rushing yards. The offense managed 16 first downs to go along with two touchdowns.

H2H: 38-10 Victory for Bills in Last H2H

The Bills beat the Raiders when the teams last met. It was a 38-10 scoreline at Highmark Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

236.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Kirk Cousins

249.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

The Bills can cover the -5.5 betting line in this NFL matchup. We’re confident of a strong showing and a spread bet could be the best play at odds of -105.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Raiders in 11 of their last 20 games at home.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible NFL picks. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key numbers that truly make a difference.

Bills -5.5 Probability

When looking at the latest odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of delivering a return. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If the odds on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure a bigger price by moving the line for your point spread pick. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.

Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.

Bills -5.5 @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 16, 22:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: DJ Moore Anytime TD +210

The odds for DJ Moore (Bills) to hit the end zone are +210. All things considered, we believe the odds are appealing for betting on him in the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest DJ Moore Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+210

First

+1300

Receiving Yards

Over 49.5

-114

Under 49.5

-114

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James Cook Over 92.5 Rushing Yards -114

James Cook (Bills) is priced at -114 to go beyond 92.5 rushing yards. We feel confident that he’ll cover the Player Rushing Yards line, which looks generous.

Latest James Cook Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-169

First

+450

Receiving Yards

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 92.5

-114

Under 92.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bills 27 - 20 Raiders

There’s the chance to bet on the Bills in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 27-20 victory in their favor.

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Bills vs Raiders Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Buffalo Bills are regarded as likeliest victors for this game and the -238 about them triumphing means a 70% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Las Vegas Raiders are least likely to win at +198.

The current spread is 5.5 and total points is 53.5. NFL fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 53.5 at -110.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on the National Football League, the best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many different options.

Moneyline

Bills

-238

Raiders

+198

Point Spread

Bills -5.5

-105

Raiders +5.5

-115

Total Points

Under 53.5

-110

Over 53.5

-110

Favorite James Cook is available at +450 to be the First TD Scorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in this player to score the final touchdown.

Touchdown

James Cook (Bills)

First TD

+450

Anytime TD

-169

Josh Allen (Bills)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-175

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

-135

Brock Bowers (Raiders)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

-115

Dalton Kincaid (Bills)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+170

DJ Moore (Bills)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+210

Khalil Shakir (Bills)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+220

Joshua Palmer (Bills)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+290

Keon Coleman (Bills)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+290

Tre Tucker (Raiders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+280

Michael Mayer (Raiders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+300

Mike Washington Jr. (Raiders)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+490

Skyler Bell (Bills)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Dawson Knox (Bills)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Ty Johnson (Bills)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+470

Jalen Nailor (Raiders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+460

Dylan Laube (Raiders)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+490

Cody White (Raiders)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+700

Dont'e Thornton Jr. (Raiders)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+700

Ray Davis (Bills)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+850

Keleki Latu (Bills)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1000

Jackson Hawes (Bills)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1000

Connor Heyward (Raiders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1400

Malik Benson (Raiders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1500

Ian Thomas (Raiders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Kirk Cousins (Raiders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Greg Dortch (Bills)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1700

Dareke Young (Raiders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1800

Receiving Yards

Brock Bowers (Raiders)

Over 79.5

-114

Under 79.5

-114

DJ Moore (Bills)

Over 49.5

-114

Under 49.5

-114

Dalton Kincaid (Bills)

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

Tre Tucker (Raiders)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Michael Mayer (Raiders)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Ty Johnson (Bills)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

James Cook (Bills)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Rushing Yards

James Cook (Bills)

Over 92.5

-114

Under 92.5

-114

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

Over 55.5

-114

Under 55.5

-114

Josh Allen (Bills)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Mike Washington Jr. (Raiders)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Ray Davis (Bills)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Kirk Cousins (Raiders)

Over 2.5

+136

Under 2.5

-179

Passing Yards

Kirk Cousins (Raiders)

Over 249.5

-114

Under 249.5

-114

Josh Allen (Bills)

Over 236.5

-114

Under 236.5

-114

Raiders Have Suffered Seven Defeats in Their Last Ten at Home

The Raiders have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 19.40 points on offense and surrendering 23.50 on defense.

The Bills have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games on the road, averaging 28.60 points on offense and surrendering 24.20 on defense.

The Bills defeated the Raiders 30-23 when the teams last met at Allegiant Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O53.5	U53.5
Raiders Home Stats		3-7	42.90	19.40	23.50	2	8
Bills Away Stats		7-3	52.80	28.60	24.20	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O53.5 = Games Over 53.5 Points
• U53.5 = Games Under 53.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Bills Stats

Las Vegas Raiders Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 53.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 52.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 53.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 53.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.10 pts and allowed 23.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 28.60 pts and allowed 24.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 53.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 53.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.40 pts and allowed 25.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 19.40 pts and allowed 23.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 383.00 Yds. Allowed 325.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 154.70 Yds. Allowed 107.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 228.30 Yds. Allowed 218.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.60 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.40. Allowed 21.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 5.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.20 Yds. Gained 47.00 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 273.20 Yds. Allowed 340.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 82.20 Yds. Allowed 136.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 191.00 Yds. Allowed 204.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.10 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.40. Allowed 20.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.30. Committed by opponents 7.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 42.10 Yds. Gained 53.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 372.60 Yds. Allowed 326.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 163.80 Yds. Allowed 130.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 208.80 Yds. Allowed 195.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.40 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.40. Allowed 20.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.80. Committed by opponents 5.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.00 Yds. Gained 49.10 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 280.90 Yds. Allowed 303.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 87.50 Yds. Allowed 111.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 193.40 Yds. Allowed 192.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.60. Allowed 18.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.90. Committed by opponents 7.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 40.20 Yds. Gained 57.40 Yds

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