Chargers vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Oct 2026

Chargers vs Chiefs Predictions

Best Bet

Under 41.5 Points @ -110

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Let’s go Under the 41.5 points total as we think this number is unlikely to be reached. The Chiefs and the Chargers might lack the combined scoring power and -110 can be backed.

Our expert Chargers vs Chiefs betting coverage includes our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Each dedicated breakdown offers insight into the reasoning for the picks.

Chargers vs Chiefs Preview

The Los Angeles Chargers face the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, October 18.

Los Angeles Chargers have suffered five straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by Denver Broncos 23-17 at SoFi Stadium. The Chargers totaled 237 yards, split between 82 passing and 155 rushing yards. The offense picked up 14 first downs and reached the end zone on two occasions.

Kansas City Chiefs won their last game 30-27, making it four on the bounce. This was a road victory at Allegiant Stadium against Las Vegas Raiders. The Chiefs totaled 399 yards, split between 210 passing and 189 rushing yards. They picked up 18 first downs and found the end zone 4 times.

H2H: 7 Chiefs Victories in Last 10 H2H Matchups

The Chargers have claimed victories in the last two matchups against the Chiefs. At SoFi Stadium, the scoreline was 27-21 and then we saw 16-13 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen seven Chiefs wins.

Quarterbacks

Justin Herbert

192.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Patrick Mahomes

226.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

We’re not convinced these NFL opponents are cumulatively going to produce enough points in relation to the total line. Therefore, we’re aiming to go Under 41.5 at -110.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 41.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Chargers games.
• The 41.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Chargers games this season.
• The 41.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Chiefs games at home.
• The 41.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Chiefs games.

Incoming team news often impacts the betting lines and odds in significant ways. Our NFL handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each pick.

Under 41.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

It’s all about getting the best odds and one way of maximising your Unders bet is by combining it with the winner on the Result & Total lines.

Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.

Under 41.5 Points @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 16, 22:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Patrick Mahomes Under 226.5 Passing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) at -114 to have less than 226.5 passing yards. The line looks too high and we’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards total.

Latest Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+400

First

+1800

Passing Yards

Over 226.5

-114

Under 226.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

---

Xavier Worthy Anytime TD +150

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs) can be backed at +150 to reach the end zone. Based on all the evidence, we're happy to back him to punch it in on the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest Xavier Worthy Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+150

First

+700

Receiving Yards

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Chargers 14 - 23 Chiefs

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. The Chiefs to claim a 23-14 victory is available at huge odds.

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Chargers vs Chiefs Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Kansas City Chiefs are -385 favorites to win and that means a 79% chance of landing a victory. Los Angeles Chargers are the underdogs at +310 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 7.5 and total points has a line of 41.5. There are many ways to bet on the NFL including the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 41.5 at -110.

You can find hundreds of team props and game lines for every National Football League matchup, with the top sportsbooks creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Chargers

+310

Chiefs

-385

Point Spread

Chargers +7.5

-115

Chiefs -7.5

-105

Total Points

Under 41.5

-110

Over 41.5

-110

You will find Kenneth Walker III at +330 to be First Touchdown Scorer which makes him the favorite. There’s the chance to get -169 that he scores a TD at anytime.

Touchdown

Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs)

First TD

+330

Anytime TD

-169

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+150

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+145

Omarion Hampton (Chargers)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+280

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+420

Jalen Royals (Chiefs)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+400

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+400

Ladd McConkey (Chargers)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+370

Quentin Johnston (Chargers)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+400

Kimani Vidal (Chargers)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+460

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+500

Keaton Mitchell (Chargers)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+500

Emmett Johnson (Chiefs)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+600

Charlie Kolar (Chargers)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+500

Oronde Gadsden II (Chargers)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+700

Cyrus Allen (Chiefs)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+850

Brashard Smith (Chiefs)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1100

Jake Briningstool (Chiefs)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1300

Jared Wiley (Chiefs)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1300

Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Chargers)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1000

KeAndre Lambert-Smith (Chargers)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1000

Brenen Thompson (Chargers)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1700

Theo Wease Jr. (Chargers)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1700

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1900

Hayden Rucci (Chargers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Derius Davis (Chargers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Alec Ingold (Chargers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Scott Matlock (Chargers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Ben VanSumeren (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4500

Receiving Yards

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Over 53.5

-114

Under 53.5

-114

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Ladd McConkey (Chargers)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Quentin Johnston (Chargers)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Jalen Royals (Chiefs)

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

Charlie Kolar (Chargers)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Keaton Mitchell (Chargers)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Cyrus Allen (Chiefs)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Oronde Gadsden II (Chargers)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Kimani Vidal (Chargers)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Emmett Johnson (Chiefs)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Omarion Hampton (Chargers)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs)

Over 90.5

-114

Under 90.5

-114

Omarion Hampton (Chargers)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

Keaton Mitchell (Chargers)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Kimani Vidal (Chargers)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Emmett Johnson (Chiefs)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 226.5

-114

Under 226.5

-114

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

Over 192.5

-114

Under 192.5

-114

Last Ten Home Games Have Produced Seven Wins for Chiefs

The Chiefs have gone 7-3 across their last 10 home games, averaging 24.90 points on offense and surrendering 16.00 on defense.

The Chargers have come up short in their last four on the road. They own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 games away from home, averaging 17.50 points scored and 22.20 points allowed.

The last time these teams met at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, the Chargers came out on top 16-13 against the Chiefs. In 7 meetings at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs have four wins to their name, with the Chargers having three.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O41.5	U41.5
Chiefs Home Stats		7-3	40.90	24.90	16.00	4	6
Chargers Away Stats		4-6	39.70	17.50	22.20	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O41.5 = Games Over 41.5 Points
• U41.5 = Games Under 41.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Los Angeles Chargers Stats

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 37.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 39.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 41.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 41.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 15.60 pts and allowed 21.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.50 pts and allowed 22.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 40.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 40.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 41.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 41.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.30 pts and allowed 20.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.90 pts and allowed 16.00 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 291.00 Yds. Allowed 312.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 116.10 Yds. Allowed 111.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 174.90 Yds. Allowed 200.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 0.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.60. Allowed 17.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.80. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.80. Committed by opponents 7.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 53.60 Yds. Gained 64.50 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 296.30 Yds. Allowed 317.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 116.00 Yds. Allowed 109.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 180.30 Yds. Allowed 208.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.40. Allowed 19.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.40. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.20 Yds. Gained 48.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 303.90 Yds. Allowed 297.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 118.90 Yds. Allowed 129.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 185.00 Yds. Allowed 168.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.80. Allowed 18.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 6.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.20 Yds. Gained 53.50 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 366.40 Yds. Allowed 263.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 130.70 Yds. Allowed 90.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 235.70 Yds. Allowed 173.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.90. Allowed 15.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 6.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.00 Yds. Gained 51.80 Yds

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