Browns vs Jets Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2026

Browns vs Jets Predictions

Best Bet

Browns Moneyline @ +114

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The wager we really like is the Browns on the Moneyline. Our betting prediction is trading at +114 for them to beat the Jets and this looks great value.

For Browns vs Jets, our betting coverage includes our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Dig into the sections below for a closer look at the reasoning behind the picks.

Browns vs Jets Preview

The Cleveland Browns square off against the New York Jets in this Week 5 clash at MetLife Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, October 11.

Cleveland's defense has provided a foundation for the team, while its offense has emphasized protecting the football. That approach creates an interesting contrast with a Jets team still searching for greater consistency. New York will need to find ways to move the ball against a physical defensive unit without giving Cleveland opportunities to control field position.

The Cleveland Browns enter Week 5 with a 3-1 record after extending their winning streak to three games with a 27-24 victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers at Huntington Bank Field. Cleveland generated 372 yards of total offense, including 260 net passing yards and 112 rushing yards. The Browns recorded 22 first downs and scored three touchdowns, with Andre Szmyt kicking a 56-yard field goal in the closing seconds to secure the victory.

Deshaun Watson threw for 290 yards as Cleveland's passing attack played a major role in the victory. Rookie wide receivers Denzel Boston and KC Concepcion contributed to the offensive production, while safety Grant Delpit intercepted Aaron Rodgers' desperation pass on the final play. Szmyt delivered the decisive kick with 10 seconds remaining, completing Cleveland's comeback after Pittsburgh had taken a late lead.

The New York Jets are 1-3 after suffering their third consecutive defeat, falling 23-12 to the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. New York managed just 157 yards of total offense, comprising 98 net passing yards and 59 rushing yards. The Jets recorded only seven first downs and scored one touchdown, failing to convert any of their seven third-down attempts as Chicago dominated possession.

Geno Smith completed eight of 15 passes for 119 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions, although he was sacked three times for a loss of 21 yards. Isaiah Williams led the receiving corps with two catches for 73 yards, including a 58-yard touchdown reception in the fourth quarter. Braelon Allen accounted for all 59 of New York's rushing yards on 14 carries, while Garrett Wilson contributed three receptions for 27 yards.

H2H: Jets Have Won Three of Last Four Meetings

The Jets won the most recent meeting with the Browns, securing a 27-20 home victory at MetLife Stadium in November 2025. Cleveland had previously recorded a 37-20 home win in December 2023, but the Jets also claimed victories in 2022 and 2020. New York has won three of the last five encounters.

Quarterbacks

Deshaun Watson

203.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Geno Smith

206.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

We strongly fancy the chances of the Browns, with odds of +114 available on our pick. Place a bet that there will be a road win for this NFL showdown.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• Browns have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Browns have won 3 consecutive games.
• Jets have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
• Jets have lost 16 of their last 20 games.
• Jets have lost their last 3 games.

Our NFL handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Browns Moneyline Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 46.7% prospect of winning. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is between 50-55%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you’re looking for bigger odds, then the Browns on the Double Result lines could be a good way forward. You need them to lead at the halfway stage and then claim a victory.

Boost your betting strategy with exclusive offers, free bets, and welcome bonuses—all in our straightforward guide.

Browns Moneyline @ +114 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Deshaun Watson Over 203.5 Passing Yards -114

Deshaun Watson (Browns) can be backed at -114 to surpass 203.5 passing yards. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this QB Passing Yards bet.

Latest Deshaun Watson Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 203.5

-114

Under 203.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

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Isaiah Davis Over 11.5 Rushing Yards -114

Isaiah Davis (Browns) is available at -114 to accumulate over 11.5 rushing yards. We can back him in the Player Rushing Yards market and hope the Over hits.

Latest Isaiah Davis Player Prop Odds

Rushing Yards

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Browns 27 - 17 Jets

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score bet. A play on the Browns to claim a 27-17 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.

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Browns vs Jets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

There are betting odds of -133 about New York Jets winning, with Cleveland Browns currently available at +114. The hosts have a 57% chance of victory in the eyes of the leading sportsbooks.

There is a spread of 1.5 and total points has a line of 39.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you're keen on Over 39.5, this selection is available at -115.

Bettors have no shortage of options with the extensive range of game lines and team props available for every matchup. Head to the best NFL sportsbooks and uncover the wagers that offer the best value.

Moneyline

Browns

+114

Jets

-133

Point Spread

Browns +1.5

-102

Jets -1.5

-120

Total Points

Under 39.5

-105

Over 39.5

-115

Receiving Yards

Garrett Wilson (Jets)

Over 68.5

-114

Under 68.5

-114

Denzel Boston (Browns)

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

KC Concepcion (Browns)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Harold Fannin Jr. (Browns)

Over 35.5

-114

Under 35.5

-114

Kenyon Sadiq (Jets)

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-114

Isaiah Williams (Jets)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Quinshon Judkins (Browns)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Jerry Jeudy (Browns)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Braelon Allen (Jets)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Mason Taylor (Jets)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Raheim Sanders (Browns)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Braelon Allen (Jets)

Over 71.5

-114

Under 71.5

-114

Quinshon Judkins (Browns)

Over 59.5

-114

Under 59.5

-114

Deshaun Watson (Browns)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Isaiah Davis (Jets)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Geno Smith (Jets)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Passing Yards

Geno Smith (Jets)

Over 206.5

-114

Under 206.5

-114

Deshaun Watson (Browns)

Over 203.5

-114

Under 203.5

-114

Can Jets Avoid Yet Another Home Defeat?

The Jets have been on the losing end in three consecutive games at MetLife Stadium. They have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 home games, scoring 19.30 points per contest and conceding 27.40.

The Browns are 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home, scoring 14.90 points per contest and conceding 26.90.

In their most recent matchup at MetLife Stadium, the Jets got the better of the Browns 27-20. Across 3 head-to-heads at MetLife Stadium, the Jets have registered two wins and the Browns one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O39.5	U39.5
Jets Home Stats		3-7	46.70	19.30	27.40	8	2
Browns Away Stats		3-7	41.80	14.90	26.90	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O39.5 = Games Over 39.5 Points
• U39.5 = Games Under 39.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Cleveland Browns Stats

New York Jets Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 40.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 41.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 39.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 39.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.40 pts and allowed 23.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 14.90 pts and allowed 26.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 43.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 39.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 39.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 15.70 pts and allowed 29.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 17.20 pts and allowed 26.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 278.30 Yds. Allowed 320.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 98.00 Yds. Allowed 130.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 180.30 Yds. Allowed 190.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.80. Allowed 19.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.50. Committed by opponents 5.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.20 Yds. Gained 43.00 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 252.80 Yds. Allowed 377.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 93.80 Yds. Allowed 145.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 159.00 Yds. Allowed 231.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 3.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.10. Allowed 23.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.40. Committed by opponents 4.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 59.70 Yds. Gained 44.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 251.10 Yds. Allowed 311.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 84.80 Yds. Allowed 116.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 166.30 Yds. Allowed 194.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 0.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 14.80. Allowed 18.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.80. Committed by opponents 6.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 50.10 Yds. Gained 49.80 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 246.50 Yds. Allowed 330.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 113.20 Yds. Allowed 144.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 133.30 Yds. Allowed 186.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.40. Allowed 21.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 0.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 59.00 Yds. Gained 58.00 Yds

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