Arkansas State vs Southern Miss Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Oct 2026

Arkansas State vs Southern Miss Predictions

Best Bet

Under 62.5 Points @ -105

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There’s every chance that the total won’t be as high as 62.5, so we’re prepared to take the -105 that Southern Miss and Arkansas State go under the line.

Get our expert Arkansas State vs Southern Miss predictions, including our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Pick. Each section provides a complete breakdown of the wagers.

Arkansas State vs Southern Miss Preview

Arkansas State face Southern Miss at M.M. Roberts Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, October 17.

Arkansas State Red Wolves have lost three straight road games. Most recently, they lost 56-49 at home to South Alabama Jaguars at Centennial Bank Stadium.

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles have been defeated in their last four games. On the road, they recently suffered a 55-34 loss against Troy Trojans at Veterans Memorial Stadium.

H2H: Southern Miss Claimed 27-21 Victory in Last H2H

The last matchup between Southern Miss and Arkansas State saw the former win. It was a 27-21 scoreline at Centennial Bank Stadium. There has been two wins apiece in the past 4 H2H meetings.

Best Bet

There are reasons for anticipating that the points tally will be lower than the line in this college football battle. If you agree with our pick of Under 62.5, you will find odds of -105 available.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 62.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Arkansas State games.
• The 62.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Arkansas State games on the road.
• The 62.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Arkansas State games on the road.
• The 62.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Southern Miss games at home.
• The 62.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Southern Miss games.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making CFB predictions. We also put strong emphasis on stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter picks.

Under 62.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college wager.

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Under 62.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Arkansas State 31 - 28 Southern Miss

There are massive odds available when it comes to Arkansas State claiming a 31-28 victory. A close battle is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.

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Arkansas State vs Southern Miss Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Arkansas State odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -263 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 72% chance of winning. The market suggests that Southern Miss are least likely to win at +210.

6.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 62.5 right now. The Totals offers football bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you’re going for Under 62.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on college football, the top betting apps let you feast on a wide range of team props and game lines. The selections are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many options at your fingertips.

Moneyline

Arkansas State

-263

Southern Miss

+210

Point Spread

Arkansas State -6.5

-115

Southern Miss +6.5

-105

Total Points

Under 62.5

-105

Over 62.5

-115

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Quarterback Passing Yards and First/Last Touchdown Scorer. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

There are lots of exciting college football micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are whether a field goal will be scored and you simply bet whether the player will make it or miss.

Southern Miss Have Won Five of Their Last Ten Home Games

Southern Miss have five wins and five losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 29.90 points on offense and surrendering 27.70 on defense.

Arkansas State have suffered three consecutive road defeats. They have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 20.80 points on average and giving up 29.20.

The most recent M.M. Roberts Stadium meeting saw Arkansas State claim a 44-28 win over Southern Miss.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O62.5	U62.5
Southern Miss Home Stats		5-5	57.60	29.90	27.70	3	7
Arkansas State Away Stats		4-6	50.00	20.80	29.20	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O62.5 = Games Over 62.5 Points
• U62.5 = Games Under 62.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Stats

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 57.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 50.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 62.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 62.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.40 pts and allowed 29.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.80 pts and allowed 29.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 57.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 57.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 62.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 62.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.20 pts and allowed 33.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 30.10 pts and allowed 26.90 pts in the last 10 home games

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