Auburn vs Tennessee Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Oct 2026
College Football Betting Preview: Auburn vs Tennessee
Auburn go up against No. 17 Tennessee in this Week 5 battle at Neyland Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, October 3.
The best betting angle could be Tennessee against the spread. You can land -122 that the market leaders are able to cover the -6.5 line and they are more than capable in their clash against Auburn.
Auburn heads to Neyland Stadium for an SEC matchup loaded with familiarity. First-year Tigers head coach Alex Golesh returns to Knoxville for the first time since serving as Josh Heupel’s offensive coordinator at Tennessee, adding extra intrigue as Auburn faces Tennessee in its first true road game of the season.
The Auburn Tigers are 3-1 this season after earning a 21-15 home victory over the Vanderbilt Commodores. Special teams played a major role, with Omar Mabson II blocking a punt that Cade Carlson returned for a touchdown. Quarterback Byrum Brown threw a 33-yard touchdown pass to Chas Nimrod and added a rushing score, while Jeremiah Cobb led Auburn with 58 rushing yards.
The Tennessee Volunteers are 3-1 after suffering their first defeat in a 20-17 home loss to No. 1 Texas. Tennessee recovered an onside kick after Faizon Brandon’s 30-yard touchdown pass to Mike Matthews pulled the Vols within three, but their final shot at the end zone fell incomplete. Brandon finished with 145 passing yards, while Tennessee’s defense recorded six sacks.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Auburn won the last meeting against Tennessee, earning a 30-17 victory at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The Tigers have won six of the past seven matchups between the teams.
Auburn vs Tennessee Prediction & Picks
We dive into the top Auburn vs Tennessee betting angles, including our main match prediction, best correct score play and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
The favorites really stand out in this college football matchup. Back Tennessee against the spread with the confidence that they can cover a -6.5 line at odds of -122.
Tracking injury updates is a big part of our CFB analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our picks. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.
Key Auburn vs Tennessee stats:
Tennessee -6.5 Probability
If you go by the best sportsbooks, our pick has a 54.9% prospect of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This college bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is often the option to move the line. Consider the prices and whether each line can be covered.
Don’t miss your chance to claim the best betting offers, free bets, and bonuses with the help of our smart bonus guide.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Tennessee -6.5, Under 54.5 and the First Half to feature most points.
The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored football bet on the event which interests them most.
Correct Score Prediction
Auburn vs Tennessee Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 75% chance of securing victory, Tennessee are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -294. Auburn are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +235.
The spread is currently 6.5, with the total points line at 54.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 54.5, there are odds of -110.
You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for every college football game, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.
Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player and quarterback lines that focus on performance rather than the game result.
There are always opportunities to enjoy college football micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.
Tennessee Have Collected Six Wins in Past Ten Home Games
Tennessee own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, scoring 41.10 points per contest and conceding 24.10.
Auburn are 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 21.70 points per contest and giving up 25.40.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O54.5 | U54.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tennessee Home Stats |
6-4 | 65.20 | 41.10 | 24.10 | 7 | 3 | |
Auburn Away Stats |
3-7 | 47.10 | 21.70 | 25.40 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O54.5 = Games Over 54.5 Points
- U54.5 = Games Under 54.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Auburn Tigers Stats
Tennessee Volunteers Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 52.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 47.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 54.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 54.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.30 pts and allowed 22.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.70 pts and allowed 25.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 59.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 65.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 54.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 54.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 36.80 pts and allowed 22.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 41.10 pts and allowed 24.10 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alabama
|
4 | 0 | 192 | 81 | 111 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 4W |
Florida
|
4 | 0 | 214 | 91 | 123 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 4W |
Georgia
|
4 | 0 | 219 | 53 | 166 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 4W |
Mississippi State
|
4 | 0 | 172 | 84 | 88 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 4W |
Texas
|
4 | 0 | 133 | 53 | 80 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 4W |
Auburn
|
3 | 1 | 120 | 83 | 37 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 1W |
Kentucky
|
3 | 1 | 138 | 100 | 38 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 2W |
LSU
|
3 | 1 | 155 | 62 | 93 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Ole Miss
|
3 | 1 | 142 | 123 | 19 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Missouri
|
3 | 1 | 143 | 83 | 60 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 1L |
Tennessee
|
3 | 1 | 160 | 62 | 98 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1L |
Vanderbilt
|
3 | 1 | 113 | 87 | 26 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 2 | 92 | 108 | -16 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1W |
Oklahoma
|
2 | 2 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 1L |
South Carolina
|
2 | 2 | 154 | 99 | 55 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
Texas A&M
|
2 | 2 | 125 | 86 | 39 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
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Tennessee Home Stats
Auburn Away Stats
Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Mississippi State
Texas
Kentucky
LSU
Ole Miss
Missouri
Vanderbilt
Arkansas
Oklahoma
South Carolina
Texas A&M