New Mexico vs New Mexico State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Sep 2026

College Football Betting Preview: New Mexico vs New Mexico State

New Mexico battle New Mexico State at Aggie Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, September 26.

We’d be surprised if New Mexico don’t exceed a -11.5 spread against New Mexico State. That is why the wager has to be the favorites to cover the line at -105.

New Mexico Lobos were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 14-6 reverse against Oklahoma Sooners at Gaylord Family Memorial Stadium.

New Mexico State were beaten last game and this was on the road at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors claimed a 29-19 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

New Mexico have claimed back-to-back victories over NM State. At Aggie Memorial Stadium they won 50-40 before winning 38-20 at University Stadium, Albuquerque. In the past 6 games between the teams, New Mexico have won four.

New Mexico vs New Mexico State Prediction & Picks

We’ve lined up expert New Mexico vs New Mexico State betting tips, from our main match prediction and correct score call to bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

Our pick is that the New Mexico can enjoy a big victory in this college football battle, leading us to go against the spread at -11.5. The line makes lots of appeal and there are odds of -105 that can be taken for the favorites.

Our team of college football handicappers track current injuries closely. Combined with recent form, this helps us identify the best value odds. A data-led approach backed by key stats and the latest team news keeps our analysis sharp.

Key New Mexico vs New Mexico State stats:

• The -11.5 line has been covered by New Mexico in 2 of their last 3 games this season.

UNM -11.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this college bet.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the selection you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

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Our Game Prediction

New Mexico -11.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

New Mexico 31 - 10 NM State

There’s the chance to land massive odds when it comes to a the Lobos correct score win. We’ll try a 31-10 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

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New Mexico vs New Mexico State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

New Mexico have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -455 favorites for this college game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 82% chance of winning. At +340, New Mexico State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is currently 11.5, with the total points line at 48.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 48.5 at -105.

There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football matchups and we recommend visiting the best betting apps to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

UNM

-455

NM State

+340

Point Spread

UNM -11.5

-105

NM State +11.5

-115

Total Points

Under 48.5

-105

Over 48.5

-115

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on quarterback and player props such as First/Last Touchdown Scorer, Passing Yards, Player Passing Attempts, Interceptions and Kicking Points. The gambling sites will provide plenty of options.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college football micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.

NM State Have Picked Up Five Wins in Past Ten at Home

NM State are 5-5 in their last 10 home games, posting 28.60 points per contest while yielding 23.30.

New Mexico have gone 4-6 across their last 10 games games on the road, scoring 23.90 points per contest and conceding 24.60.

In their last matchup at Aggie Memorial Stadium, New Mexico came out on top 50-40 against NM State.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O48.5	U48.5
New Mexico State Home Stats		5-5	51.90	28.60	23.30	5	5
New Mexico Away Stats		4-6	48.50	23.90	24.60	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
• U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Mexico Lobos Stats

New Mexico State Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 48.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.10 pts and allowed 15.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.90 pts and allowed 24.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 52.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 48.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.50 pts and allowed 29.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.60 pts and allowed 23.30 pts in the last 10 home games

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