Texas vs Tennessee Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Sep 2026
College Football Betting Preview: Texas vs Tennessee
Texas square off against Tennessee at Neyland Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, September 26.
We wouldn’t be surprised to see Tennessee triumph and it makes sense to take +4.5 on the spread at -120 when they go up against Texas.
Texas Longhorns beat UTSA Roadrunners in their previous game, making it three straight victories. It was a 30-6 home win at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium.
Tennessee Volunteers last game was a 42-9 home win. This victory over Kennesaw State at Neyland Stadium was their third successive victory.
Quarterbacks
Arch Manning
Faizon Brandon
Texas vs Tennessee Prediction & Picks
Be ready for Texas vs Tennessee with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.
Game Prediction
Tennessee should be able to battle hard and our pick is that they will cover the spread in this college football showdown. It’s set at an attractive +4.5 and you can get -120.
We only publish our CFB predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.
Key Texas vs Tennessee stats:
Tennessee +4.5 Probability
The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 54.6% chance of delivering a return. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college bet.
If you are looking for more juice from your spread pick, there’s lots of choice when it comes to selling points. Taking this option involves more risk and a bigger potential payout.
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Player Prop Picks
You can back Faizon Brandon (Tennessee) at -114 to exceed 209.5 passing yards. We can place a QB Passing Yards bet with confidence, as we expect him to cover the line.
Emmett Mosley V (Tennessee) is priced at -114 to go over 36.5 receiving yards. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this Player Receiving Yards bet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Tennessee +4.5. We’ve also gone for Over 55.5 points and Faizon Brandon (Tennessee) to have Over 209.5 passing yards.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a great way of betting on a single event. Many football bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
30
-
31
Tennessee
We’ll roll the dice and go for the Vols to register a 31-30 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.
Texas vs Tennessee Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Sportsbooks’ favorites Texas are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -192 about them triumphing means a 66% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Tennessee are the underdogs at +160 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
4.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 55.5 right now. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. If you fancy Under 55.5, then the odds are -112.
The top sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Those interested in favorite Hollywood Smothers to score the first touchdown are able to get +550. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -164.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Tennessee Have Seven Wins From Last Ten Home Games
Tennessee have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 45.00 points on offense and surrendering 22.10 on defense.
Texas have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games on the road, averaging 23.60 points on offense and surrendering 20.40 on defense.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O55.5 | U55.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tennessee Home Stats |
7-3 | 67.10 | 45.00 | 22.10 | 8 | 2 | |
 Texas Away Stats |
7-3 | 44.00 | 23.60 | 20.40 | 2 | 8 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O55.5 = Games Over 55.5 Points
- U55.5 = Games Under 55.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Texas Longhorns Stats
Tennessee Volunteers Stats
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 57.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 55.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 55.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.80 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.60 pts and allowed 20.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 61.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 68.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 55.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 55.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 37.10 pts and allowed 24.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 43.90 pts and allowed 24.70 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alabama
|
3 | 0 | 143 | 63 | 80 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 3W |
Florida
|
3 | 0 | 162 | 63 | 99 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 3W |
Georgia
|
3 | 0 | 178 | 40 | 138 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 3W |
Mississippi State
|
3 | 0 | 141 | 60 | 81 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 3W |
Ole Miss
|
3 | 0 | 114 | 71 | 43 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3W |
Kentucky
|
2 | 1 | 93 | 79 | 14 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 1W |
Missouri
|
3 | 0 | 119 | 52 | 67 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 3W |
|
Tennessee
|
3 | 0 | 143 | 42 | 101 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 3W |
|
Texas
|
3 | 0 | 113 | 36 | 77 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3W |
Vanderbilt
|
3 | 0 | 98 | 66 | 32 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3W |
Oklahoma
|
2 | 1 | 75 | 23 | 52 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Auburn
|
2 | 1 | 99 | 68 | 31 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
LSU
|
2 | 1 | 120 | 56 | 64 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
South Carolina
|
2 | 1 | 136 | 50 | 86 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
Texas A&M
|
2 | 1 | 119 | 51 | 68 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
1 | 2 | 58 | 102 | -44 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
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