Ole Miss vs Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Sep 2026
College Football Betting Preview: Ole Miss vs Florida
Ole Miss battle Florida at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, September 26.
Florida really stand out against the spread. Back the favorites to overcome Ole Miss with the confidence that they can cover a -3.5 line at odds of -102.
Ole Miss Rebels beat LSU Tigers in their previous game, making it three straight victories. It was a 32-24 home win at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
Florida Gators won last time out by a 44-39 scoreline. On the road against Auburn Tigers at Jordan-Hare Stadium, they made it three wins on the spin.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Ole Miss beat Florida in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 34-24 scoreline at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. The past 3 H2H games have seen Florida land two wins.
Quarterbacks
Ole Miss vs Florida Prediction & Picks
From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Ole Miss vs Florida betting tips covers it all.
Game Prediction
Florida should be taken against the spread at -3.5 with our pick being for the favorites to achieve a comfortable margin of victory in this college football battle. Back them at the odds of -102 that are available.
The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our CFB predictions. We combine this insight with up-to-date stats for sharper picks
Key Ole Miss vs Florida stats:
Florida -3.5 Probability
The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 50.5% chance of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
The sportsbooks give you the chance to buy or sell points, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.
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Player Prop Picks
Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss) is priced at -114 to record fewer than 287.5 passing yards. He is likely to fall short of the line, making this QB Passing Yards bet an appealing option.
The odds for Aaron Philo (Florida) to have less than 20.5 rushing yards are -118. He is likely to fall short of the line, making this Player Rushing Yards bet an appealing option.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Florida -3.5, Over 58.5 points and Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss) to have Under 287.5 passing yards.
A football same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
Ole Miss vs Florida Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Florida odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -156 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 61% chance of winning. The market suggests that Ole Miss are least likely to win at +130.
The spread is 3.5 and the total points line is currently 58.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 58.5 at -105.
If you’re wagering on college football, we recommend heading to the best betting sites and scanning through the huge selection of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Will Florida Keep Their Home Streak Going?
Florida are riding three straight wins at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. They have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games at home, scoring 34.50 points per matchup and conceding 16.80.
Ole Miss have strung together three consecutive victories away from home. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games on the road, putting up 34.90 points on average and giving up 23.80.
Florida defeated Ole Miss 24-17 when the teams last met at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O58.5 | U58.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida Home Stats |
7-3 | 51.30 | 34.50 | 16.80 | 2 | 8 | |
Ole Miss Away Stats |
7-3 | 58.70 | 34.90 | 23.80 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O58.5 = Games Over 58.5 Points
- U58.5 = Games Under 58.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Ole Miss Stats
Florida Gators Stats
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 57.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 58.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 58.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 58.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 37.20 pts and allowed 20.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 34.90 pts and allowed 23.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 57.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 58.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 58.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.40 pts and allowed 26.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.50 pts and allowed 16.80 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alabama
|
3 | 0 | 143 | 63 | 80 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 3W |
Florida
|
3 | 0 | 162 | 63 | 99 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 3W |
Georgia
|
3 | 0 | 178 | 40 | 138 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 3W |
Mississippi State
|
3 | 0 | 141 | 60 | 81 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 3W |
Ole Miss
|
3 | 0 | 114 | 71 | 43 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3W |
Kentucky
|
2 | 1 | 93 | 79 | 14 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 1W |
Missouri
|
3 | 0 | 119 | 52 | 67 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 3W |
Tennessee
|
3 | 0 | 143 | 42 | 101 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 3W |
Texas
|
3 | 0 | 113 | 36 | 77 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3W |
Vanderbilt
|
3 | 0 | 98 | 66 | 32 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3W |
Oklahoma
|
2 | 1 | 75 | 23 | 52 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1W |
Auburn
|
2 | 1 | 99 | 68 | 31 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
LSU
|
2 | 1 | 120 | 56 | 64 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
South Carolina
|
2 | 1 | 136 | 50 | 86 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
Texas A&M
|
2 | 1 | 119 | 51 | 68 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
1 | 2 | 58 | 102 | -44 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
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Florida Home Stats
Ole Miss Away Stats
Alabama
Georgia
Mississippi State
Kentucky
Missouri
Tennessee
Texas
Vanderbilt
Oklahoma
Auburn
LSU
South Carolina
Texas A&M
Arkansas