Penn State vs Michigan Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Oct 2026
Penn State vs Michigan Predictions
Our betting prediction is that Penn State will be able to cover the spread against Michigan, with +6.5 looking favorable for our wager. Take the -104 that is currently available.
We've selected our preferred Penn State vs Michigan picks, including our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Read on for the full analysis and reasoning behind the plays.
Penn State vs Michigan Preview
Penn State battle Michigan at Michigan Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, October 17.
Penn State Nittany Lions have suffered three straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by USC Trojans 31-23 at Beaver Stadium.
Michigan Wolverines have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road, they recently suffered a 20-14 loss against Minnesota Golden Gophers at Huntington Bank Stadium.
H2H: Teams’ Last Battle Saw 24-15 Michigan Victory
Michigan beat Penn State in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 24-15 scoreline at Beaver Stadium. The past 5 H2H games have seen Michigan land three wins.
Quarterbacks
Rocco Becht
Bryce Underwood
Best Bet
The market might have underrated Penn State in this college football matchup and -104 makes plenty of appeal considering they are +6.5 on the spread. Back the underdogs to cover the line.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
We put solid research behind every CFB pick, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.
Penn State +6.5 Probability
According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.
If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be a way to go. Bet on Penn State to cover the line in a combination with other selections.
Boost your wager with the newest free bets, sign-up promotions and the best betting offers featured in our easy-to-use guide.
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Rocco Becht (Penn State) to go over 196.5 passing yards stand at -114. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.
The odds for Carson Hansen (Michigan) to rack up over 31.5 rushing yards are -118. We can place a Player Rushing Yards bet with confidence, as we expect him to cover the line.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Penn State +6.5. We’ve also gone for Over 42.5 points and Rocco Becht (Penn State) to have Over 196.5 passing yards.
Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.
Correct Score Prediction
23
-
28
Michigan
You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a massive return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for the Wolverines to achieve a 28-23 win and hopefully this goes close.
Penn State vs Michigan Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Michigan are regarded as having a 72% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -256. Penn State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +205.
The spread currently stands at 6.5 and the total points line is 42.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you fancy Under 42.5, then the odds are -106.
When it comes to college football, the top betting apps deliver a wide variety of game lines and team props. With so many options available, it’s worth taking your time to find the wager that fits your view of the matchup.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Michigan Have Eight Wins From Last Ten Home Games
Michigan own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 27.60 points scored and 13.90 points allowed.
Penn State have gone 5-5 across their last 10 road games, putting up 27.30 points on average and giving up 26.30.
Michigan beat Penn State 41-17 in their most recent meeting at Michigan Stadium.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O42.5 | U42.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Michigan Home Stats |
8-2 | 41.50 | 27.60 | 13.90 | 3 | 7 | |
 Penn State Away Stats |
5-5 | 53.60 | 27.30 | 26.30 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O42.5 = Games Over 42.5 Points
- U42.5 = Games Under 42.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Penn State Nittany Lions Stats
Michigan Wolverines Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 48.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 53.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 42.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 42.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.00 pts and allowed 17.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.30 pts and allowed 26.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 44.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 41.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 42.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 42.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.10 pts and allowed 20.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.60 pts and allowed 13.90 pts in the last 10 home games
| Big Ten | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Indiana
|
6 | 0 | 241 | 71 | 170 | 4-0 | 2-0 | 6W |
Ohio State
|
5 | 1 | 256 | 79 | 177 | 4-0 | 1-1 | 4W |
UCLA
|
5 | 0 | 196 | 90 | 106 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 5W |
Wisconsin
|
4 | 1 | 158 | 83 | 75 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 4W |
USC
|
6 | 1 | 255 | 176 | 79 | 4-1 | 2-0 | 2W |
Iowa
|
5 | 1 | 186 | 87 | 99 | 3-1 | 2-0 | 1W |
Nebraska
|
5 | 1 | 235 | 91 | 144 | 4-1 | 1-0 | 1L |
Minnesota
|
4 | 2 | 173 | 131 | 42 | 3-1 | 1-1 | 1L |
Purdue
|
3 | 3 | 193 | 188 | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2W |
Northwestern
|
4 | 1 | 177 | 81 | 96 | 4-0 | 0-1 | 2W |
Oregon
|
3 | 2 | 205 | 110 | 95 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 1L |
Illinois
|
3 | 3 | 191 | 167 | 24 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1W |
Maryland
|
2 | 4 | 168 | 196 | -28 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4L |
Michigan State
|
2 | 4 | 128 | 154 | -26 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 4L |
|
Michigan
|
3 | 2 | 115 | 79 | 36 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
Washington
|
3 | 3 | 157 | 133 | 24 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 3L |
|
Penn State
|
3 | 3 | 183 | 111 | 72 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3L |
Rutgers
|
1 | 4 | 150 | 161 | -11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1L |
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