TCU vs Baylor Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Oct 2026
TCU vs Baylor Predictions
Our prediction is for Baylor to cover the attractive -5.5 line in their clash against TCU. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -122 is available on the spread.
Discover our expert TCU vs Baylor betting picks, featuring our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Scroll down for a closer look at the reasoning behind the card.
TCU vs Baylor Preview
TCU face Baylor at McLane Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, October 17.
TCU Horned Frogs suffered a second consecutive defeat when losing 17-10 in their previous game. This was at home to BYU Cougars at Amon G. Carter Stadium.
Baylor Bears got a fourth straight win in their last game. It was a 55-19 road triumph at Mountain America Stadium when meeting Arizona State Sun Devils.
H2H: 5 Wins for TCU in Last 7 H2H Matchups
The last head-to-head saw TCU claim a 42-36 win over Baylor at Amon G. Carter Stadium. The past 7 games between the teams have seen TCU win five times.
Quarterbacks
Jaden Craig
DJ Lagway
Best Bet
There’s a great opportunity to cover the spread by backing Baylor at -5.5 in this college football matchup. We can get odds of -122 about the betting favorites and this is our pick.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Our CFB predictions are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each team. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our picks.
Baylor -5.5 Probability
The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 54.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college bet.
If you are looking for more juice from your spread pick, there’s lots of choice when it comes to selling points. Taking this option involves more risk and a bigger potential payout.
Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.
Player Prop Picks
You can back Jaden Craig (TCU) at -114 to record fewer than 214.5 passing yards. It’s reasonable to expect he may fall short, making the QB Passing Yards line appealing.
The odds for Gavin Freeman (TCU) to record fewer than 76.5 receiving yards are -114. He’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Receiving Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Baylor -5.5, Under 48.5 and Jaden Craig (TCU) to go Under 214.5 passing yards.
The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored football bet on the event which interests them most.
Correct Score Prediction
14
-
28
Baylor
Rather than backing Baylor to triumph, there’s the alternative to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 28-14 win in their favor.
TCU vs Baylor Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Baylor are -233 favorites and that means a 70% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. TCU are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +188.
5.5 is the spread and 48.5 is the total points line. The Totals offers football bettors an alternative way of getting involved. Those who wager Under 48.5 can get -115.
If you’re wagering on college football, we recommend heading to the best betting sites and scanning through the huge selection of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Can Baylor Make It Another Home Victory?
Baylor are riding three consecutive victories at McLane Stadium. They own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 31.00 points on average and giving up 23.00.
TCU have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, scoring 23.30 points per contest and conceding 23.50.
Baylor defeated TCU 37-34 in their last meeting at McLane Stadium. In their last 3 head-to-head matchups at McLane Stadium, TCU have taken two wins compared to one for Baylor.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O48.5 | U48.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Baylor Home Stats |
6-4 | 54.00 | 31.00 | 23.00 | 7 | 3 | |
 TCU Away Stats |
5-5 | 46.80 | 23.30 | 23.50 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
- U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
TCU Stats
Baylor Bears Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 44.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 48.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.90 pts and allowed 19.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.30 pts and allowed 23.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 53.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 54.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 48.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.30 pts and allowed 24.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 31.00 pts and allowed 23.00 pts in the last 10 home games
| Big 12 | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BYU
|
5 | 0 | 173 | 67 | 106 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 5W |
Texas Tech
|
5 | 0 | 174 | 81 | 93 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 5W |
Utah
|
5 | 0 | 214 | 65 | 149 | 4-0 | 1-0 | 5W |
|
Baylor
|
4 | 1 | 174 | 71 | 103 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 4W |
Oklahoma State
|
4 | 1 | 191 | 107 | 84 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 4W |
Arizona
|
5 | 1 | 214 | 114 | 100 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 4W |
Houston
|
5 | 1 | 240 | 115 | 125 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 3W |
Cincinnati
|
4 | 1 | 169 | 116 | 53 | 4-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Arizona State
|
3 | 2 | 163 | 139 | 24 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 1W |
Iowa State
|
3 | 3 | 178 | 130 | 48 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 1L |
UCF
|
3 | 3 | 190 | 130 | 60 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2L |
Kansas State
|
3 | 2 | 178 | 96 | 82 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2L |
West Virginia
|
3 | 3 | 218 | 196 | 22 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3L |
Colorado
|
2 | 3 | 93 | 127 | -34 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3L |
Kansas
|
2 | 3 | 168 | 109 | 59 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1L |
|
TCU
|
2 | 3 | 127 | 67 | 60 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 2L |
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