Vikings vs Buccaneers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Sep 2026

NFL Betting Preview: Vikings vs Buccaneers

The Minnesota Vikings square off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:05 on Sunday, September 27.

The totals provides plenty of value at -105. The line is set at 42.5 and we’d be surprised if the Buccaneers and the Vikings combined points total exceeds that amount.

Minnesota Vikings have won back-to-back games. A 9-3 triumph recently occurred on the road at Soldier Field when playing Chicago Bears. The Vikings moved the ball for 246 yards, with 127 through the air and 119 on the ground. They picked up 11 first downs and allowed 17.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers were beaten 23-19 at Raymond James Stadium in their last game. This loss at home to Cleveland Browns was their second straight defeat. The Buccaneers finished with 313 yards, including 176 passing and 137 rushing yards. The offense picked up 17 first downs and scored one touchdown.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 20-17 win for the Bucs at US Bank Stadium when they last played the Vikings.

Quarterbacks

Kyler Murray

209.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Baker Mayfield

216.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Vikings vs Buccaneers Prediction & Picks

We dive into the best Vikings vs Buccaneers betting angles, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast, top player prop bets and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

The -105 about Under 42.5 points makes appeal and represents great value in our eyes. We’re not sure that the teams can combine to reach that number for this NFL battle.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert NFL picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate predictions possible.

Key Vikings vs Buccaneers stats:

• The 42.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Vikings games.
• The 42.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Vikings games.
• The 42.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Vikings games on the road.
• The 42.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Buccaneers games at home.
• The 42.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Buccaneers games at home.

Under 42.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

We recommend moving the line if you want more juice from your Total wager. If you’re going Under, then consider a slightly riskier bet which has a bigger payout.

Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.

Our Game Prediction

Under 42.5 Points @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 25, 22:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Baker Mayfield Under 216.5 Passing Yards -114

Baker Mayfield (Bucs) can be backed at -114 to record fewer than 216.5 passing yards. We're confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.

Latest Baker Mayfield Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+650

First

+3000

Passing Yards

Over 216.5

-114

Under 216.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

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Aaron Jones Anytime TD -115

The odds for Aaron Jones (Vikings) to hit paydirt are -115. All things considered, we believe the odds are appealing for betting on him in the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest Aaron Jones Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-115

First

+500

Receiving Yards

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 52.5

-114

Under 52.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vikings 21 - 14 Buccaneers

Should you wish to go for a speculative wager, try the Vikings to win 21-14 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun bet which could potentially yield a big return.

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Vikings vs Buccaneers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers are on offer at +106 on the Moneyline if you want to back this team, with Minnesota Vikings available at -123. There is a 49% chance of the hosts winning according to the top sportsbooks.

1.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 42.5 right now. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular NFL bets. If you’re going for Under 42.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.

You’ll find a huge variety of game lines and team props for every matchup. The top NFL sportsbooks provide an impressive mix of pre-game and in-game options to suit your betting style.

Moneyline

Vikings

-123

Buccaneers

+106

Point Spread

Vikings -1.5

-110

Buccaneers +1.5

-110

Total Points

Under 42.5

-105

Over 42.5

-115

Those interested in favorite Aaron Jones to score the first touchdown are able to get +500. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -115.

Touchdown

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-115

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+130

Justin Jefferson (Vikings)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+150

Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+230

Jordan Addison (Vikings)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+260

Kenny Gainwell (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+300

T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+320

Chris Godwin (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+330

Kyler Murray (Vikings)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+370

Cade Otton (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+380

Ted Hurst III (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+430

Jalen McMillan (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+550

Jauan Jennings (Vikings)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+550

Josh Oliver (Vikings)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+600

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+650

DeeJay Dallas (Vikings)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+750

Tez Johnson (Buccaneers)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+850

Kameron Johnson (Buccaneers)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+850

Sean Tucker (Buccaneers)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+850

Myles Price (Vikings)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1300

Demond Claiborne (Vikings)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1300

Max Bredeson (Vikings)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+2000

Payne Durham (Buccaneers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Bauer Sharp (Buccaneers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Ko Kieft (Buccaneers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Gavin Bartholomew (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Tai Felton (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Receiving Yards

Justin Jefferson (Vikings)

Over 70.5

-114

Under 70.5

-114

Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Jordan Addison (Vikings)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Chris Godwin (Buccaneers)

Over 35.5

-114

Under 35.5

-114

T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

Cade Otton (Buccaneers)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Ted Hurst III (Buccaneers)

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Jauan Jennings (Vikings)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Jalen McMillan (Buccaneers)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Josh Oliver (Vikings)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Kenny Gainwell (Buccaneers)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

Over 52.5

-114

Under 52.5

-114

Kyler Murray (Vikings)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Kenny Gainwell (Buccaneers)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Passing Yards

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

Over 216.5

-114

Under 216.5

-114

Kyler Murray (Vikings)

Over 209.5

-114

Under 209.5

-114

Bucs Have Suffered Six Defeats in Their Last Ten at Home

The Bucs have a 4-6 record in their last 10 home games, scoring 23.00 points per contest and conceding 23.50.

The Vikings have put together three straight wins on the road. They are 6-4 in their last 10 road games, averaging 17.10 points on offense and surrendering 21.70 on defense.

The Bucs earned a 26-14 win over the Vikings the last time they played at Raymond James Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O42.5	U42.5
Buccaneers Home Stats		4-6	46.50	23.00	23.50	7	3
Vikings Away Stats		6-4	38.80	17.10	21.70	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O42.5 = Games Over 42.5 Points
• U42.5 = Games Under 42.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Minnesota Vikings Stats

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 33.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 38.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 42.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 42.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.10 pts and allowed 14.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.10 pts and allowed 21.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 46.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 42.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 42.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.60 pts and allowed 26.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.00 pts and allowed 23.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 246.10 Yds. Allowed 266.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 114.80 Yds. Allowed 118.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 131.30 Yds. Allowed 148.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.30. Allowed 17.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.20. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 33.50 Yds. Gained 46.90 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 308.70 Yds. Allowed 334.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 127.50 Yds. Allowed 92.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 181.20 Yds. Allowed 241.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.30. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.30. Committed by opponents 7.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 40.10 Yds. Gained 56.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 251.70 Yds. Allowed 304.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 93.20 Yds. Allowed 133.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 158.50 Yds. Allowed 171.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.90. Allowed 19.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.80. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 7.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.50 Yds. Gained 46.50 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 329.90 Yds. Allowed 332.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 118.30 Yds. Allowed 94.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 211.60 Yds. Allowed 237.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.70. Allowed 18.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.50. Committed by opponents 7.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.10 Yds. Gained 65.30 Yds

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