Cowboys vs Texans Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2026

Cowboys vs Texans Predictions

Best Bet

Over 47.5 Points @ -115

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There are odds of -115 about Over 47.5 points and this looks generous when the Texans face the Cowboys in the Battle for Texas. The bar might have been set too low in terms of total.

Get the complete Cowboys vs Texans betting breakdown, featuring our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Read on for a detailed breakdown of each pick.

Cowboys vs Texans Preview

The Dallas Cowboys battle the Houston Texans in a Week 4 matchup at NRG Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, October 4.

The Battle for Texas guarantees statewide intensity whenever Dallas and Houston share the field, and Dak Prescott versus C.J. Stroud gives this edition considerable national appeal. Beyond the bragging rights, both franchises entered the season expecting to contend for the postseason, adding urgency to a matchup featuring two of the league’s highest-profile Texas teams.

The Dallas Cowboys are 1-2 after suffering a 34-31 loss to the Baltimore Ravens in the NFL Rio game at Maracanã Stadium. Dallas piled up 415 total yards, including 267 passing and 148 rushing, while recording 27 first downs and scoring three touchdowns.

Dak Prescott completed 25 of 40 passes for 276 yards and one touchdown without an interception. Javonte Williams led the ground game with 19 carries for 98 yards and a touchdown, while CeeDee Lamb caught seven passes for 112 yards.

The Houston Texans are 0-3 after suffering their third straight loss, falling 19-17 to the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium. Houston finished with 223 total yards, including 153 passing and 70 rushing, while recording 17 first downs and scoring two touchdowns.

C.J. Stroud completed 16 of 27 passes for 167 yards and one touchdown without an interception. Woody Marks carried five times for 15 yards, including a one-yard touchdown run that tied the game late in the fourth quarter.

H2H: Texans Took the Last Meeting

The Texans came out on top when these teams last met in November 2024, earning a 34-10 road victory over the Cowboys at AT&T Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Dak Prescott

266.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

C.J. Stroud

244.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

There’s juice available when it comes to backing Over 47.5 points in this NFL matchup and that’s the betting angle we’re pursuing. Our pick is priced up at -115 which looks worth taking.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 47.5 line has been covered in the last 9 Cowboys games.
• The 47.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Cowboys games.
• The 47.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Texans games at home.

We only publish our NFL predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.

Over 47.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you have a strong hunch for Overs but want to get bigger odds, consider the Result & Total lines. Get both picks correct for a profitable return.

Don’t place a bet without checking our comprehensive guide to today’s best free bets and welcome bonuses.

Over 47.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 2, 19:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: C.J. Stroud Over 244.5 Passing Yards -114

C.J. Stroud (Texans) can be backed at -114 to go beyond 244.5 passing yards. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.

Latest C.J. Stroud Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+550

First

+3000

Passing Yards

Over 244.5

-114

Under 244.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

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Nico Collins Over 72.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can place a bet on Nico Collins (Texans) at -114 to reach over 72.5 receiving yards. We believe it makes sense to stick with him on the Over and bettors can be confident in this Player Receiving Yards pick.

Latest Nico Collins Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+145

First

+1000

Receiving Yards

Over 72.5

-114

Under 72.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Cowboys 20 - 30 Texans

There are some big returns lying in wait if you can get the correct score right. With this in mind, we’ll have a play on the Texans to enjoy a 30-20 winning scoreline.

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Cowboys vs Texans Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Houston Texans are -156 favorites and that means a 61% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Dallas is trading at bigger odds than their opponents and the Cowboys can be backed at +132.

3 is the spread and 48.5 is the total points line. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you want to back Over 48.5, it’s -115.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a National Football League matchup, visit the top sportsbooks and check out the hundreds of available game lines and team props. Find the betting lines and odds which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Cowboys

+132

Texans

-156

Point Spread

Cowboys +3

-115

Texans -3

-105

Total Points

Under 48.5

-105

Over 48.5

-115

Favorite Javonte Williams is priced at +500 to be the first player to score a touchdown. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score a TD at anytime at odds of -135.

Touchdown

Javonte Williams (Cowboys)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-135

David Montgomery (Texans)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-130

CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+130

Nico Collins (Texans)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+145

George Pickens (Cowboys)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+165

Woody Marks (Texans)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+220

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+210

Jake Ferguson (Cowboys)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+320

Kayshon Boutte (Texans)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+350

Xavier Hutchinson (Texans)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+360

Ryan Flournoy (Cowboys)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+350

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+550

Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+650

Jaylin Noel (Texans)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+700

Foster Moreau (Texans)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+750

Jared Wayne (Texans)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1000

Brevyn Spann-Ford (Cowboys)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

KaVontae Turpin (Cowboys)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1000

Hunter Luepke (Cowboys)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Tyler Goodson (Cowboys)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1000

Emari Demercado (Cowboys)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1000

Luke Schoonmaker (Cowboys)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1400

Cade Stover (Texans)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1600

Dare Ogunbowale (Texans)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1600

British Brooks (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1800

Marlin Klein (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Brevin Jordan (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Camden Brown (Cowboys)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Jonathan Mingo (Cowboys)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Receiving Yards

CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)

Over 76.5

-114

Under 76.5

-114

Nico Collins (Texans)

Over 72.5

-114

Under 72.5

-114

George Pickens (Cowboys)

Over 68.5

-114

Under 68.5

-114

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Ryan Flournoy (Cowboys)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Xavier Hutchinson (Texans)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Kayshon Boutte (Texans)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Jake Ferguson (Cowboys)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Javonte Williams (Cowboys)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Jaylin Noel (Texans)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

David Montgomery (Texans)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Woody Marks (Texans)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Foster Moreau (Texans)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Javonte Williams (Cowboys)

Over 59.5

-114

Under 59.5

-114

David Montgomery (Texans)

Over 44.5

-114

Under 44.5

-114

Woody Marks (Texans)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Passing Yards

Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

Over 266.5

-114

Under 266.5

-114

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

Over 244.5

-114

Under 244.5

-114

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, then NFL micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on what will happen on the next snap by staking your money on the Next Play Result.

Texans Have Won Seven of Their Last Ten Home Games

The Texans own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, scoring 26.40 points per contest and conceding 20.80.

The Cowboys have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 road games, posting 25.20 points per matchup while yielding 29.60.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O47.5	U47.5
Texans Home Stats		7-3	47.20	26.40	20.80	4	6
Cowboys Away Stats		3-7	54.80	25.20	29.60	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
• U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Cowboys Stats

Houston Texans Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 56.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 54.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 47.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.30 pts and allowed 30.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 25.20 pts and allowed 29.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 47.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 47.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.10 pts and allowed 20.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.40 pts and allowed 20.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 386.70 Yds. Allowed 375.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 121.90 Yds. Allowed 135.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 264.80 Yds. Allowed 239.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 3.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.00. Allowed 22.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 0.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.50. Committed by opponents 8.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 68.60 Yds. Gained 68.00 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 326.50 Yds. Allowed 292.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 102.60 Yds. Allowed 92.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 223.90 Yds. Allowed 200.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.30. Allowed 16.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.40 Yds. Gained 52.10 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 355.80 Yds. Allowed 364.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 118.70 Yds. Allowed 138.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 237.10 Yds. Allowed 226.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.10. Allowed 22.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 0.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.60. Committed by opponents 7.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 67.40 Yds. Gained 64.90 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 353.20 Yds. Allowed 285.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 114.50 Yds. Allowed 93.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 238.70 Yds. Allowed 192.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.90. Allowed 15.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.50. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 6.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.90 Yds. Gained 61.30 Yds

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