Jets vs Bears Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2026

Jets vs Bears Predictions

Best Bet

Bears -3.5 @ -104

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It’s great to see the Bears with a -3.5 line on the spread at -104 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory in their meeting against the Jets.

For our Jets vs Bears betting coverage, we've selected a Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Lock in the full card in the dedicated sections below.

Jets vs Bears Preview

The New York Jets battle the Chicago Bears in a Week 4 matchup at Soldier Field, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, October 4.

Chicago’s quarterback situation provides the main intrigue at Soldier Field, with Tyson Bagent expected to start while Caleb Williams remains sidelined by a hamstring injury. The Jets arrive with their own offensive personnel issues, so this matchup is less about marquee quarterback star power and more about which team can successfully navigate significant early-season adversity.

The New York Jets are 1-2 after suffering their second straight loss, falling 31-24 to the Detroit Lions at Ford Field. New York finished with 335 total yards, including 277 passing and 58 rushing, while recording 22 first downs and scoring three touchdowns.

Geno Smith completed 31-of-37 passes for 321 yards and three touchdowns. Kenyon Sadiq led the Jets' aerial attack with seven catches for 105 yards and a touchdown, while Breece Hall carried the ball 12 times for 42 yards and added five receptions for 42 yards.

The Chicago Bears are 2-1 after earning their second win of the season with a 27-7 home victory over the Philadelphia Eagles at Soldier Field. Chicago finished with 375 total yards, including 247 passing and 128 rushing, while recording 24 first downs and scoring three touchdowns.

Case Keenum completed 24-of-34 passes for 247 yards and two touchdowns while also adding a rushing score. Kalif Raymond led Chicago with six catches for 90 yards and a touchdown, while Luther Burden III added seven receptions for 61 yards and a touchdown.

H2H: Jets Cruised to Victory in the Last Meeting

The most recent matchup between New York and Chicago ended in a 31-10 Jets victory at MetLife Stadium in November 2022.

Quarterbacks

Geno Smith

227.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Tyson Bagent

199.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

Place a wager on the favorites with a -3.5 spread in the NFL showdown. This is an attractive number and we’re confident the Bears can cover the line at -104.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Bears in 2 of their last 3 games this season.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Bears in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Jets in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Jets in 7 of their last 10 games.

To deliver the best possible NFL predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date stats available.

Bears -3.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

A Bet Builder provides you with the chance to combine the Bears against the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the odds are boosted.

Don’t miss out on extra value. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of free bets and sign-up bonuses for new bettors.

Bears -3.5 @ -104 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Geno Smith Under 227.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Geno Smith (Jets) to end with fewer than 227.5 passing yards are -114. He may fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet a strong pick.

Latest Geno Smith Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+950

First

+4000

Passing Yards

Over 227.5

-114

Under 227.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

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Braelon Allen Anytime TD +115

The odds for Braelon Allen (Jets) to record a TD are +115. All things considered, we believe the odds are appealing for betting on him in the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest Braelon Allen Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+125

First

+700

Receiving Yards

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Jets 17 - 30 Bears

The Bears will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 30-17 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.

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Jets vs Bears Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Chicago Bears are -179 favorites and that means a 64% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. The New York Jets are the underdogs at +150 and Gang Green is regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is currently 3.5, with the total points line at 43.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest NFL data to good effect. Those expecting a low total can back Under 43.5 at -106.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of game lines and team props for every National Football League matchup. The best betting apps offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Jets

+150

Bears

-179

Point Spread

Jets +3.5

-112

Bears -3.5

-108

Total Points

Under 43.5

-106

Over 43.5

-114

Those interested in D'Andre Swift to score a touchdown at anytime are able to get -105. There is an opportunity to back the favorite to get the first TD at odds of +500.

Touchdown

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-105

Braelon Allen (Jets)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+125

Garrett Wilson (Jets)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+140

Kyle Monangai (Bears)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+190

Luther Burden III (Bears)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+200

Colston Loveland (Bears)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+230

Kenyon Sadiq (Jets)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+220

Rome Odunze (Bears)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+310

Kalif Raymond (Bears)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+330

Isaiah Davis (Jets)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+380

Isaiah Williams (Jets)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+420

Tyson Bagent (Bears)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+460

Cole Kmet (Bears)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+550

Jeremy Ruckert (Jets)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+900

Geno Smith (Jets)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+950

Malik McClain (Jets)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1300

Zavion Thomas (Bears)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1700

Roschon Johnson (Bears)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1600

Jahdae Walker (Bears)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1700

Sam Roush (Bears)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1900

Jamaal Pritchett (Jets)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Jelani Woods (Jets)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1900

Sterling Shepard (Jets)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Andrew Beck (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Kene Nwangwu (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Receiving Yards

Garrett Wilson (Jets)

Over 75.5

-114

Under 75.5

-114

Luther Burden III (Bears)

Over 46.5

-114

Under 46.5

-114

Kenyon Sadiq (Jets)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Colston Loveland (Bears)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Rome Odunze (Bears)

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-114

Kalif Raymond (Bears)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Isaiah Williams (Jets)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

Jeremy Ruckert (Jets)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Braelon Allen (Jets)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Cole Kmet (Bears)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Isaiah Davis (Jets)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Kyle Monangai (Bears)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-114

Rushing Yards

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

Over 63.5

-114

Under 63.5

-114

Braelon Allen (Jets)

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Kyle Monangai (Bears)

Over 39.5

-114

Under 39.5

-114

Isaiah Davis (Jets)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Tyson Bagent (Bears)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Geno Smith (Jets)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Passing Yards

Geno Smith (Jets)

Over 227.5

-114

Under 227.5

-114

Tyson Bagent (Bears)

Over 199.5

-114

Under 199.5

-114

There are always opportunities to enjoy NFL micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.

Bears Have Seven Wins in Their Last Ten Home Games

The Bears own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 22.80 points per contest and giving up 16.30.

The Jets own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 games away from home, putting up 19.20 points per contest and giving up 29.70.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O42.5	U42.5
Bears Home Stats		7-3	39.10	22.80	16.30	3	7
Jets Away Stats		2-8	48.90	19.20	29.70	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O42.5 = Games Over 42.5 Points
• U42.5 = Games Under 42.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Jets Stats

Chicago Bears Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 42.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 42.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 15.50 pts and allowed 29.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.20 pts and allowed 29.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 47.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 39.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 42.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 42.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.50 pts and allowed 20.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 22.80 pts and allowed 16.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 265.30 Yds. Allowed 352.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 95.70 Yds. Allowed 132.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 169.60 Yds. Allowed 219.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 3.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.90. Allowed 22.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 0.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.80. Committed by opponents 4.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 60.20 Yds. Gained 44.80 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 387.20 Yds. Allowed 357.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 141.10 Yds. Allowed 124.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 246.10 Yds. Allowed 233.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.80. Allowed 20.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.90. Committed by opponents 5.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 40.00 Yds. Gained 44.60 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 300.40 Yds. Allowed 351.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 124.20 Yds. Allowed 119.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 176.20 Yds. Allowed 232.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.00. Allowed 21.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 0.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 4.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.30 Yds. Gained 41.30 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 367.00 Yds. Allowed 329.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 136.40 Yds. Allowed 119.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 230.60 Yds. Allowed 209.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.00. Allowed 18.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.60. Committed by opponents 5.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.70 Yds. Gained 39.20 Yds

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