Jaguars vs Bengals Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2026

Jaguars vs Bengals Predictions

Best Bet

Under 51.5 Points @ -115

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When the Bengals meet the Jaguars, we’re not sure that the total points will go over the line. Based on this prediction, you can land odds of -115 for Under 51.5 and this looks worth taking.

We’ve locked in our top Jaguars vs Bengals picks, including our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Scroll down to see the full breakdown and reasoning behind each play.

Jaguars vs Bengals Preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars square off against the Cincinnati Bengals in a Week 4 game at Paycor Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, October 4.

Joe Burrow and Trevor Lawrence, the No. 1 overall picks in consecutive drafts, headline an intriguing AFC matchup between quarterbacks capable of turning this into a showcase. Both Cincinnati and Jacksonville harbor meaningful postseason ambitions, making this an early opportunity to establish conference credentials against another team expecting to be in the AFC playoff conversation.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are 2-1 after earning a convincing 35-6 home victory over the New England Patriots at EverBank Stadium. Jacksonville finished with 315 total yards, including 178 passing and 137 rushing, while recording 23 first downs and scoring five touchdowns.

Trevor Lawrence completed 19 of 29 passes for 182 yards, three touchdowns and one interception, while also rushing four times for 25 yards. His touchdown passes went to Josh Cameron, Jakobi Meyers and Parker Washington, while Chris Rodriguez and Bhayshul Tuten each added a rushing touchdown.

The Cincinnati Bengals are also 2-1 after suffering a 30-27 road loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium. Cincinnati finished with 352 total yards, including 269 passing and 83 rushing, while recording 19 first downs and scoring three touchdowns.

Joe Burrow completed 28 of 37 passes for 282 yards and three touchdowns. Ja'Marr Chase led the Bengals with nine catches for 98 yards and a touchdown, while Tee Higgins added six receptions for 90 yards and a touchdown.

H2H: Bengals Have Won the Last 4 Meetings

The Bengals came out on top when these teams last met in Week 2 last season, earning a 31-27 home victory over the Jags at Paycor Stadium. Cincinnati has won each of the last four meetings between the teams.

Quarterbacks

Trevor Lawrence

260.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Joe Burrow

269.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

Let’s shoot for a total bet for this NFL showdown, with Under 51.5 points available at -115. This value pick looks to have lots of juice in the price.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 51.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 Jaguars games.
• The 51.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Jaguars games.
• The 51.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Jaguars games on the road.
• The 51.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Bengals games at home.
• The 51.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Bengals games.

Injuries are always factored in by the NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Under 51.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

It’s all about getting the best odds and one way of maximising your Unders bet is by combining it with the winner on the Result & Total lines.

Give yourself a head start. Find betting offers that include generous free bets and welcome packages in our bonus guide.

Under 51.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 2, 19:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ja'Marr Chase Anytime TD -115

Ja'Marr Chase (Bengals) can be backed at -115 to record a TD. We believe this is the best of the player props, with attractive odds available when it comes to betting him to score a touchdown at any time.

Latest Ja'Marr Chase Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-120

First

+700

Receiving Yards

Over 81.5

-114

Under 81.5

-114

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Bhayshul Tuten Under 54.5 Rushing Yards -114

The odds for Bhayshul Tuten (Jags) to have less than 54.5 rushing yards stand at -114. There’s no reason to doubt our instinct, so we’ll bet on him falling short of the Player Rushing Yards line.

Latest Bhayshul Tuten Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-100

First

+650

Receiving Yards

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 55.5

-114

Under 55.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Jaguars 24 - 20 Bengals

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Jags to claim a 24-20 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

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Jaguars vs Bengals Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 57% probability of winning this game, Cincinnati Bengals might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -135 Moneyline betting odds. The Jaguars are the underdogs at +116 and Jacksonville is regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 2.5 and total points has a line of 51.5. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. Those expecting a low total can back Under 51.5 at -115.

If a National Football League wager is on your mind, visit the top sportsbooks and check out the huge selection of available game lines and team props. Find the betting odds and lines which are the most appealing.

Moneyline

Jaguars

+116

Bengals

-135

Point Spread

Jaguars +2.5

-108

Bengals -2.5

-112

Total Points

Under 51.5

-115

Over 51.5

-105

The First Touchdown Scorer favorite is Chase Brown at +550. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the final TD.

Touchdown

Chase Brown (Bengals)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

-145

Bhayshul Tuten (Jaguars)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

-100

Ja'Marr Chase (Bengals)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

-120

Tee Higgins (Bengals)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+130

Parker Washington (Jaguars)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+140

Jakobi Meyers (Jaguars)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+240

Brenton Strange (Jaguars)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+260

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Jaguars)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+310

Brian Thomas Jr (Jaguars)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+300

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+340

Mike Gesicki (Bengals)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+300

Dohnte Meyers (Bengals)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+440

Samaje Perine (Bengals)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+460

Josh Cameron (Jaguars)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+650

Drew Sample (Bengals)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+650

Ameer Abdullah (Jaguars)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+800

LeQuint Allen Jr. (Jaguars)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+800

Joe Burrow (Bengals)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1000

Nate Boerkircher (Jaguars)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+900

Erick All (Bengals)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Jack Endries (Bengals)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Mitchell Tinsley (Bengals)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1000

Quintin Morris (Jaguars)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1300

Tanner Koziol (Jaguars)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1300

Tanner Hudson (Bengals)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1300

Travis Hunter (Jaguars)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1300

CJ Williams (Jaguars)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1300

Tahj Brooks (Bengals)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Receiving Yards

Ja'Marr Chase (Bengals)

Over 81.5

-114

Under 81.5

-114

Parker Washington (Jaguars)

Over 75.5

-114

Under 75.5

-114

Tee Higgins (Bengals)

Over 62.5

-114

Under 62.5

-114

Jakobi Meyers (Jaguars)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Brenton Strange (Jaguars)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Mike Gesicki (Bengals)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Brian Thomas Jr (Jaguars)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Dohnte Meyers (Bengals)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Chase Brown (Bengals)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Bhayshul Tuten (Jaguars)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Josh Cameron (Jaguars)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Samaje Perine (Bengals)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Drew Sample (Bengals)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Travis Hunter (Jaguars)

Over 4.5

+136

Under 4.5

-175

Rushing Yards

Chase Brown (Bengals)

Over 58.5

-114

Under 58.5

-114

Bhayshul Tuten (Jaguars)

Over 55.5

-114

Under 55.5

-114

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Jaguars)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Samaje Perine (Bengals)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Joe Burrow (Bengals)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Passing Yards

Joe Burrow (Bengals)

Over 269.5

-114

Under 269.5

-114

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

Over 260.5

-114

Under 260.5

-114

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NFL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Play or Next Drive Result.

Bengals on Top in Recent Head-to-Heads at Paycor Stadium

The Bengals own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 27.60 points on offense and surrendering 29.20 on defense.

The Jags are 6-4 in their last 10 games on the road, putting up 25.70 points on average and giving up 22.70.

In their most recent matchup at Paycor Stadium, the Bengals got the better of the Jags 31-27. In the last 4 head-to-head games at Paycor Stadium, the Bengals have won three, while the Jags have one victory.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O51.5	U51.5
Bengals Home Stats		4-6	56.80	27.60	29.20	6	4
Jaguars Away Stats		6-4	48.40	25.70	22.70	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
• U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Jacksonville Jaguars Stats

Cincinnati Bengals Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 51.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.30 pts and allowed 14.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 25.70 pts and allowed 22.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 56.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 51.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.60 pts and allowed 22.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.60 pts and allowed 29.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 339.70 Yds. Allowed 292.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 105.90 Yds. Allowed 88.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 233.80 Yds. Allowed 203.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.70 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.60. Allowed 17.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 2.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 7.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.80 Yds. Gained 58.30 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 349.50 Yds. Allowed 336.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 105.10 Yds. Allowed 117.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 244.40 Yds. Allowed 218.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.80. Allowed 17.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.80. Committed by opponents 5.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 41.30 Yds. Gained 45.30 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 327.30 Yds. Allowed 346.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 117.20 Yds. Allowed 89.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 210.20 Yds. Allowed 257.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.50. Allowed 21.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.30. Committed by opponents 6.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 64.50 Yds. Gained 53.10 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 378.40 Yds. Allowed 368.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 109.00 Yds. Allowed 151.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 269.40 Yds. Allowed 217.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.30 TD. Allowed 3.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.90. Allowed 19.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.00. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 37.80 Yds. Gained 43.00 Yds

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