Packers vs Buccaneers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2026

Packers vs Buccaneers Predictions

Best Bet

Buccaneers +3.5 @ -110

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With the Buccaneers capable of remaining close to the Packers, backing Tampa Bay on the spread could be the way forward. Odds of -110 is available that the +3.5 is covered.

Our Packers vs Buccaneers betting coverage centers on our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Explore the complete analysis behind each pick further down the page.

Packers vs Buccaneers Preview

The Green Bay Packers face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a Week 4 matchup at Raymond James Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, October 4.

Green Bay’s national following always brings attention, but Tampa Bay’s quarterback situation supplies the more distinctive storyline here. With Baker Mayfield ruled out because of a dislocated thumb, undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels is set for a major opportunity against the Packers, placing an inexperienced quarterback under immediate pressure in an important early-season NFC matchup.

The Green Bay Packers are 1-2 after suffering a 35-14 home loss to the Atlanta Falcons at Lambeau Field. Green Bay finished with 328 total yards, including 311 passing and 17 rushing, while recording 18 first downs and scoring two touchdowns.

Jordan Love completed 28-of-53 passes for 312 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Matthew Golden led the Packers with five catches for 100 yards and a touchdown, while Christian Watson added seven receptions for 96 yards and a score.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 0-3 after suffering their third straight loss, falling 23-16 to the Minnesota Vikings at Raymond James Stadium. Tampa Bay finished with 243 total yards, including 186 passing and 57 rushing, while recording 11 first downs and scoring one touchdown.

Baker Mayfield completed 17-of-34 passes for 217 yards, one touchdown and one interception before leaving the game with a thumb injury. Bucky Irving led Tampa Bay on the ground with 15 carries for 46 yards, while Emeka Egbuka paced the receiving corps with five catches for 62 yards.

H2H: Bucs Have Won 3 of the Last 4 Meetings

Tampa Bay recorded a 34-20 road victory over Green Bay at Lambeau Field when the teams last met in December 2023. The Bucs have won three of the last four meetings between the teams.

Quarterbacks

Jordan Love

238.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Jalon Daniels

170.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

There’s an awesome opportunity to back the Buccaneers against the spread here. The underdogs should be able to produce a solid performance in this NFL battle, with +3.5 making appeal at -110.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Buccaneers in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Packers in 8 consecutive games.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Packers in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Buccaneers in 4 consecutive games against Packers.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible NFL picks. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key numbers that truly make a difference.

Bucs +3.5 Probability

According to the best NFL betting sites, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

There’s an opportunity to secure bigger odds and this can be achieved by moving the line. Squeeze more juice from your pick by taking an alternative wagering view.

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Buccaneers +3.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jordan Love Under 238.5 Passing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Jordan Love (Pack) at -114 to end with fewer than 238.5 passing yards. We're confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.

Latest Jordan Love Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+750

First

+2700

Passing Yards

Over 238.5

-114

Under 238.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-114

---

Matthew Golden Under 57.5 Receiving Yards -114

Matthew Golden (Bucs) is priced at -114 to record fewer than 57.5 receiving yards. He is likely to fall short of the line, making this Player Receiving Yards bet an appealing option.

Latest Matthew Golden Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+220

First

+950

Receiving Yards

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Packers 20 - 23 Buccaneers

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score prediction being a 23-20 win for the Bucs. There are enormous odds available when it comes to this pick.

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Packers vs Buccaneers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Green Bay Packers odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -156 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 61% chance of winning. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Tampa Bay Buccaneers are trading at +132.

The spread is 3 and the total points line is currently 38.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular NFL bets. The Over 38.5 selection is available to back at -114.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a National Football League matchup, visit the top sportsbooks and check out the hundreds of available game lines and team props. Find the betting lines and odds which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Packers

-156

Buccaneers

+132

Point Spread

Packers -3

-108

Buccaneers +3

-112

Total Points

Under 38.5

-106

Over 38.5

-114

Bucky Irving is available at +170 when it comes to Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The favorite is now priced at odds of +700 to score the first TD.

Touchdown

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+170

Christian Watson (Packers)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+165

Matthew Golden (Packers)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+220

Kaleb Johnson (Packers)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+250

Tucker Kraft (Packers)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+260

MarShawn Lloyd (Packers)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+290

Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+290

Jalon Daniels (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+350

Ted Hurst III (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+500

Skyy Moore (Packers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+600

Chris Godwin (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+550

Kenny Gainwell (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+500

Cade Otton (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+550

Jordan Love (Packers)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+750

Jonnu Smith (Packers)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+850

Tez Johnson (Buccaneers)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+750

Chris Brooks (Packers)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+800

Mark Redman (Packers)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1600

Sean Tucker (Buccaneers)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1200

Bo Melton (Packers)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1600

J. Michael Sturdivant (Packers)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1700

Kameron Johnson (Buccaneers)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+2000

Josh Whyle (Packers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+3000

Payne Durham (Buccaneers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+3000

Bauer Sharp (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4500

Ko Kieft (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Receiving Yards

Christian Watson (Packers)

Over 67.5

-114

Under 67.5

-114

Matthew Golden (Packers)

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Tucker Kraft (Packers)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Chris Godwin (Buccaneers)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Cade Otton (Buccaneers)

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

Ted Hurst III (Buccaneers)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Skyy Moore (Packers)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Tez Johnson (Buccaneers)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Kenny Gainwell (Buccaneers)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Jonnu Smith (Packers)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

MarShawn Lloyd (Packers)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

Over 55.5

-114

Under 55.5

-114

Kaleb Johnson (Packers)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Jalon Daniels (Buccaneers)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

MarShawn Lloyd (Packers)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Kenny Gainwell (Buccaneers)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Jordan Love (Packers)

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-114

Passing Yards

Jordan Love (Packers)

Over 238.5

-114

Under 238.5

-114

Jalon Daniels (Buccaneers)

Over 170.5

-114

Under 170.5

-114

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for NFL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Scoring Play. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Bucs Home Form Reads Six Defeats in Last Ten

The Bucs own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 22.60 points scored and 23.50 points allowed.

The Pack have five wins and five losses in the last 10 road games, scoring 23.40 points per matchup and conceding 25.10.

The Pack defeated the Bucs 14-12 the last time they played at Raymond James Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O39.5	U39.5
Buccaneers Home Stats		4-6	46.10	22.60	23.50	7	3
Packers Away Stats		5-5	48.50	23.40	25.10	7	3

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O39.5 = Games Over 39.5 Points
• U39.5 = Games Under 39.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Green Bay Packers Stats

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 39.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 39.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.10 pts and allowed 28.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.40 pts and allowed 25.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 46.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 39.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 39.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.00 pts and allowed 24.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 22.60 pts and allowed 23.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 329.30 Yds. Allowed 370.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 100.10 Yds. Allowed 144.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 229.20 Yds. Allowed 225.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 3.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.20. Allowed 22.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.10. Committed by opponents 5.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 61.30 Yds. Gained 52.80 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 296.30 Yds. Allowed 316.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 113.00 Yds. Allowed 90.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 183.30 Yds. Allowed 225.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.30. Allowed 18.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.90. Committed by opponents 7.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 45.20 Yds. Gained 61.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 327.70 Yds. Allowed 343.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 110.40 Yds. Allowed 109.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 217.30 Yds. Allowed 234.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.90. Allowed 20.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.40. Committed by opponents 5.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 66.40 Yds. Gained 58.00 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 325.80 Yds. Allowed 320.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 113.90 Yds. Allowed 94.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 211.90 Yds. Allowed 226.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.90. Allowed 17.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 8.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 53.70 Yds. Gained 70.90 Yds

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