Nacional vs Rio Ave Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 May 2025
Back Nacional to Have the Edge
We believe that Nacional will get the better of Rio Ave and the favourites are excellent value at -105. The Full-Time Result odds look really attractive and we’re confident of landing a return here.
Rio Ave Came Out on Top in Previous H2H
Nacional were beaten 2-1 at Estadio da Madeira in their last game. This loss to Vitória de Guimarães was their third straight home defeat. Tiago Margarido's side had 46% possession and one shot on target, while Fuki Yamada bagged the goal.
Rio Ave claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-0 win occurred against Estrela Amadora at Estadio Capital do Movel. The Big River enjoyed 47% possession and had six shots on goal, with Clayton and Martim Neto both on target.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Rio Ave have claimed victories in the last two encounters against Nacional. On home soil at Estadio dos Arcos, the scoreline was 2-1 following a 2-1 away win at Estadio da Madeira. Aside from one draw, Rio Ave have dominated the previous 3 H2H meetings with two wins.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  Rio Ave |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1:3 | 1 |
3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.8 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts. Nacional have had 51.4% possession, 356.1 passes and 5.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.4 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts, while being awarded 4.3 corners.
Top scorers are Joel Tagueu and Daniel Penha on 2 goals, while Fuki Yamada has racked up 1. Leading assistors have been Paulinho Boia and Fuki Yamada with 2, while goalkeeper Lucas Franca has one clean sheet.
Rio Ave – Last 10 League GamesRio Ave have won 3, lost 6 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.1 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.2% possession, 361.5 passes, 3.7 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts.
Clayton is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Tiago Morais on 2, with Martim Neto and two others bagging 1. Karem Zoabi has clocked up 2 assists, with Cezary Miszta keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Nacional confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Franca (GK), Joao Aurelio, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Arvin Appiah, Chiheb Labidi, Djibril Soumare, Fuki Yamada, Daniel Penha, Paulinho Boia, Joel Tagueu.
Rio Ave confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Cezary Miszta (GK), Joao Tome, Konstantinos Kostoulas, Jonathan Panzo, Joao Pedro, Demir Tiknaz, Theofanis Bakoulas, Andre Luiz, Martim Neto, Kiko Bondoso, Clayton.
Nacional vs Rio Ave Prediction & Betting Tips
It’s great to get attractive odds of -105 for a home win in this Primeira Liga encounter. We think that Nacional will have the upper hand and this could be the best way of getting value.
We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.
Key Nacional vs Rio Ave league stats:
Nacional to Win Probability
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
If you think that Nacional are too skinny for the win but expect them to achieve a bloodless victory, then you can wager them on the Result + BTTS No market at bigger odds.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Rio Ave
Nacional can be backed to win 2-1 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +650 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.
Player Prop Picks
Tiago Morais (Rio Ave) has registered two goals in his past five Primeira Liga games on the road. We’ll take a chance at +480 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
In their past eight away matches, Rio Ave have not covered the 4.5 corners line, while the last three Nacional games have involved them conceding under 4.5 corners. The Rio Ave Team Corners line looks to be too big given the stats and -150 is available to wager.
Nacional
Rio Ave
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve compiled a same-game multi that includes Nacional to come out on top, at least three goals in total together with Rio Ave to record under 4.5 corners.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Nacional vs Rio Ave Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Nacional Full-Time Odds Suggest Victory
With a 54% chance of winning, Nacional are favourites to win this Primeira Liga match and they’re available at betting odds of -119 with the bookies. If you want to back the outsider for this match, Rio Ave are available at +275.
It’s hard to split the odds between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals for this match.
The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Primeira Liga match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Clayton Fernandes Silva Favourite to Find the Net First
Clayton Fernandes Silva is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +480. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +190.
Nacional League Stats
Rio Ave League Stats
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 5.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Nacional this season are Daniel Penha (4), Dudu Teodora (3), Isaac Aguiar (3)
- Top Assistors for Nacional this season are Gustavo Garcia (3), Luis Esteves (3), Dudu Teodora (2)
Nacional vs Rio Ave Lineups & Team News
It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Nacional vs Rio Ave team news.
Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Primeira Liga squads.
Nacional Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Rio Ave Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nacional Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Rio Ave Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nacional Substitutes
- 1Rui Encarnacao
- 7Ruben Macedo
- 10Luis Esteves
- 18Andre Sousa
- 20Jota
- 22Gustavo Garcia
- 23Isaac Aguiar
- 33Chico Goncalves
- 88Matheus Dias
Rio Ave Substitutes
- 6Joao Novais
- 14Karem Zoabi
- 21Joao Graca
- 23Francisco Petrasso
- 27Tobias Medina
- 75Dijar Ferati
- 80Ole Pohlmann
- 93Karse
- 95Matheus Teixeira
Previous Nacional Lineups
Previous Rio Ave Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Primeira Liga Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Famalicão | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitória | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 12 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 13 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 15 | AVS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 17 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Braga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Famalicão | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Vitória | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tondela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 16 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 | AVS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 | Alverca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
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