Broncos vs Chargers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2026

Broncos vs Chargers Predictions

Best Bet

Under 42.5 Points @ -115

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Play the Unders at -115 when the Chargers and the Broncos take to the field. The 42.5 points line looks plenty big enough and we’re not sure the pair will combine to get this total.

Get our top Broncos vs Chargers betting recommendations, featuring our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Dig into each section for the full analysis behind each pick.

Broncos vs Chargers Preview

The Denver Broncos square off against the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:05 on Sunday, October 11.

Denver Broncos have been defeated in back-to-back road games. They recently suffered a 24-14 loss against San Francisco 49ers at Levi's Stadium. The Broncos recorded 296 yards, breaking down to 214 passing and 82 rushing yards. Their output included 16 first downs and a touchdown.

Los Angeles Chargers lost on the road in their last game, making it four straight defeats. Seattle Seahawks won 30-23 at Lumen Field. The Chargers finished with 301 total yards, breaking down to 154 passing and 147 rushing yards. They scored two touchdowns and picked up 20 first downs.

H2H: 19-3 Win for Broncos in Pair’s Previous Matchup

The last head-to-head saw the Broncos claim a 19-3 win over the Chargers at Empower Field at Mile High. In the previous 10 games between the teams, they have won five apiece.

Quarterbacks

Bo Nix

223.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Justin Herbert

200.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

Don’t expect fireworks in this NFL matchup. The two teams might not score a huge combined total and our best pick is to back Under 42.5 points at odds of -115.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 42.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Broncos games on the road.
• The 42.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Broncos games on the road.
• The 42.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Broncos games.
• The 42.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Chargers games at home.
• The 42.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Chargers games.
• The 42.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Chargers games.

Our NFL picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Under 42.5 Probability

If you go by the top betting sites, there’s a 53.5% likelihood of our pick landing a return. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

There are different ways to maximise a potential profit on the Totals. Moving the line for your Under bet means the chance to secure bigger odds.

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Under 42.5 Points @ -115 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Justin Herbert Under 200.5 Passing Yards -114

Justin Herbert (Chargers) is priced at -114 to have less than 200.5 passing yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the QB Passing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Justin Herbert Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 200.5

-114

Under 200.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

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Courtland Sutton Under 36.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can place a bet on Courtland Sutton (Chargers) at -114 to record fewer than 36.5 receiving yards. Considering all factors, we’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line.

Latest Courtland Sutton Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Broncos 21 - 13 Chargers

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Broncos to record a 21-13 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

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Broncos vs Chargers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have Denver Broncos at -185 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the market leaders are 65% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Los Angeles Chargers are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +156.

3.5 is the spread and 42.5 is the total points line. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest NFL data to good effect. Those expecting a low total can back Under 42.5 at -115.

There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to the National Football League and we recommend heading to the top betting apps to find the bet that matches your view on the matchup.

Moneyline

Broncos

-185

Chargers

+156

Point Spread

Broncos -3.5

-108

Chargers +3.5

-112

Total Points

Under 42.5

-115

Over 42.5

-105

Receiving Yards

Jaylen Waddle (Broncos)

Over 55.5

-114

Under 55.5

-114

Courtland Sutton (Broncos)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

RJ Harvey (Broncos)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Troy Franklin (Broncos)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Evan Engram (Broncos)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Rushing Yards

J.K. Dobbins (Broncos)

Over 50.5

-114

Under 50.5

-114

Omarion Hampton (Chargers)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Keaton Mitchell (Chargers)

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-114

RJ Harvey (Broncos)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

Bo Nix (Broncos)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Passing Yards

Bo Nix (Broncos)

Over 223.5

-114

Under 223.5

-114

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

Over 200.5

-114

Under 200.5

-114

Chargers Home Form Shows Three Straight Defeats

The Chargers have been beaten three times in a row at SoFi Stadium. They are 5-5 in their last 10 home games, posting 21.60 points per contest while yielding 21.00.

The Broncos have six wins and four losses in the last 10 games away from home, posting 19.50 points per contest while yielding 20.60.

The Chargers beat the Broncos 23-20 in their most recent meeting at SoFi Stadium. Across the past 6 head-to-head meetings at SoFi Stadium, the Chargers have recorded five wins, with the Broncos winning once.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O42.5	U42.5
Chargers Home Stats		5-5	42.60	21.60	21.00	4	6
Broncos Away Stats		6-4	40.10	19.50	20.60	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O42.5 = Games Over 42.5 Points
• U42.5 = Games Under 42.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Broncos Stats

Los Angeles Chargers Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 41.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 40.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 42.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 42.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.70 pts and allowed 21.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.50 pts and allowed 20.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 37.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 42.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 42.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 16.10 pts and allowed 21.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 21.60 pts and allowed 21.00 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 303.00 Yds. Allowed 321.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 90.80 Yds. Allowed 128.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 212.20 Yds. Allowed 193.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.70. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.20. Committed by opponents 5.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 39.50 Yds. Gained 39.60 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 294.80 Yds. Allowed 326.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 117.50 Yds. Allowed 114.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 177.30 Yds. Allowed 212.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.80. Allowed 18.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.80. Committed by opponents 1.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 6.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 49.80 Yds. Gained 65.80 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 299.70 Yds. Allowed 303.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 105.40 Yds. Allowed 111.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 194.30 Yds. Allowed 192.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.90. Allowed 18.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 0.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.20. Committed by opponents 4.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 60.80 Yds. Gained 32.70 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 335.90 Yds. Allowed 302.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 128.00 Yds. Allowed 96.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 207.90 Yds. Allowed 205.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.70. Allowed 16.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.40. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.20 Yds. Gained 60.10 Yds

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