Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Newcastle vs Arsenal

Newcastle host Arsenal in this Premier League fixture at St James' Park, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 28 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Strong Case for Magpies to Cover the Line

We’ll back Newcastle +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and split our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they clash with Arsenal. A victory delivers a nice payout at -100 although a draw would still mean a return.

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Arsenal Won Previous H2H Clash

Newcastle United played out a 0-0 draw in their last Premier League game. This was away from home at Vitality Stadium against Bournemouth. The Tyneside team had 44% possession and one shot on target.

On Wednesday night, Newcastle won 4-1 at home to Bradford City in the EFL Cup.

Arsenal played Manchester City at home in their previous Premier League game. It was a 1-1 draw at Emirates Stadium. The Gunners racked up three shots on goal and enjoyed 67% possession, while Gabriel Martinelli found the net.

Four days ago, Arsenal claimed a 2-0 victory when facing Port Vale away in the EFL Cup.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arsenal had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Emirates Stadium, they recorded a 1-0 home win over Newcastle. The previous 10 H2H meetings have seen Newcastle win five times, one draw and four Arsenal triumphs.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Arsenal	7	5	1	1	14	3	11	14:3	16
11	Newcastle	7	2	3	2	6	5	1	6:5	9

View Full Table

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 13.8 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal. Newcastle have had 54.5% possession, 438.9 passes and 6.5 corners per match. On average, the Magpies have conceded 0.6 goals from 8.0 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.2 corners.

Bruno Guimaraes, William Osula and Alexander Isak are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Jacob Murphy and Kieran Trippier have racked up the most assists with 2, while goalkeeper Nick Pope has 6 clean sheets.

Arsenal have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 4.5 shots on goal, 14.2 attempts and 1.8 goals. Mikel Arteta's team average 56.4% possession, 473.6 passes, 5.7 corners taken and 3.6 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 10.3 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

Viktor Gyoekeres has scored 3 goals, followed by Gabriel Martinelli, Martin Zubimendi, Jurrien Timber and Declan Rice on 2. Martin Oedegaard and Leandro Trossard have managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while David Raya has 4 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Valentino Livramento, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Daniel Burn, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon.

Arsenal confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): David Raya (GK), Jurrien Timber, Cristhian Mosquera, Gabriel, Riccardo Calafiori, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Eberechi Eze, Leandro Trossard, Viktor Gyoekeres.

Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Newcastle vs Arsenal betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

When Newcastle line up for this Premier League game, we will back them at -100 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Premier League form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Newcastle vs Arsenal league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Arsenal in 11 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 6 of their last 10 games against Arsenal.

Newcastle +0.25 Probability

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 50% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

The Winning Margin market allows you to bet on Newcastle to record victory by a certain number of goals. It’s a different wager and a viable alternative to Asian Handicap.

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Our Match Prediction

Newcastle Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -100 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 2 - 1 Arsenal

A 2-1 win in favor of Newcastle can be backed at odds of +1000. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jacob Murphy Over 0.5 Shots On Target +165

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle) has had a minimum of one shot on goal in three straight Premier League games. We recommend backing the +165 that he is able to cover the line, with this Shots on Target wager hopefully providing a return.

Latest Jacob Murphy Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1150

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-294

Shots

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

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Sandro Tonali to Score +650

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle) has netted three goals in his past ten Premier League games on home soil. There are odds of +650 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Sandro Tonali Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Shots

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners -100

There has been three straight Arsenal matches where 10.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been an average of 11.80 corners in the previous five Newcastle home games. The stats suggest that it’s worth backing Over for Total Corners, with -100 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Newcastle

Total

10.70 6.50 4.20

Home

10.90 6.70 4.20

Away

10.00 4.30 5.70

Arsenal

Total

9.30 5.70 3.60

Home

9.60 6.10 3.50

Away

9.90 7.30 2.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-143

Newcastle Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Arsenal Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Most Corners

1

+160

X

+650

2

-147

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Newcastle vs Arsenal Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Arsenal Have the Shortest Odds to Win

Some will want to go ahead and back Arsenal at +108 to win this Premier League encounter. After all, this betting price suggests a 48% chance that the favourites end up succeeding. Newcastle United are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +265.

There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Newcastle are +150 here. However, if you want to back favourites Arsenal, then -208 is on offer.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. If you’re wagering on Both Teams to Score, you can bet Yes at -114 and No at -116.

If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Premier League game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+265

X

+235

2

+108

Half-Time Result

1

+310

X

+115

2

+165

Double Chance

1X

-137

12

-313

X2

-357

Draw No Bet

1

+150

2

-208

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

+102

2 Hcp -0.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-114

No

-116

Viktor Gyökeres Top of First Goalscorer List

Those interested in Viktor Gyökeres to find the net anytime are able to get +185. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +380.

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+185

Anytime

+380

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+235

Anytime

+480

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

First

+255

Anytime

+550

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+290

Anytime

+600

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

William Osula (Newcastle)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+420

Anytime

+850

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Ethan Nwaneri (Arsenal)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Max Dowman (Arsenal)

First

+510

Anytime

+1050

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+525

Anytime

+1150

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

+105

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-100

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-105

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-114

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-147

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-159

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-182

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-189

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-200

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-222

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-222

Ethan Nwaneri (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-222

Max Dowman (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-278

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-294

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-345

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-385

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+285

Under 0.5

-588

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-769

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+390

Under 0.5

-1000

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Max Dowman (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Ethan Nwaneri (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Past Three H2H St James' Park Meetings Won by Newcastle

Newcastle have clocked up seven wins and three losses in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.40 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Arsenal have five wins, four draws and one loss in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 0.60.

When the sides last met at St James' Park, Newcastle beat Arsenal 2-0. There have been four Newcastle triumphs and three Arsenal wins in the previous 7 H2H meetings at St James' Park.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Newcastle Home Stats		7-0-3	3.30	2.40	0.90	7	3	5	5
Arsenal Away Stats		5-4-1	2.00	1.40	0.60	3	7	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Newcastle vs Arsenal Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Newcastle vs Arsenal team news before betting. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League together with updated injury news.

Newcastle United Team Page Arsenal Team Page