Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2026

Chiefs vs Raiders Predictions

Best Bet

Under 47.5 Points @ -110

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We’re not sure that the Raiders and the Chiefs will reach a certain points threshold. Our prediction is to take the -110 that there are Under 47.5 points.

Our expert Chiefs vs Raiders betting coverage includes our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Dig into each section for the full analysis behind each pick.

Chiefs vs Raiders Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs go up against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, October 4.

Kansas City Chiefs have won three on the spin, triumphing 24-10 in their previous game. This was on the road against Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. The Chiefs generated 334 total yards, made up of 246 passing and 88 rushing yards. The offense scored two touchdowns and managed 18 first downs.

Las Vegas Raiders got a third straight win in their last game. It was a 35-27 road triumph at Caesars Superdome when meeting New Orleans Saints. The Raiders recorded 340 yards, breaking down to 227 passing and 113 rushing yards. They produced 24 first downs and crossed the goal line 4 times.

H2H: 8 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Matchups for Chiefs

These two teams last met at Allegiant Stadium, with the Raiders claiming the win. Beating the Chiefs by a 14-12 scoreline. We’ve seen eight Chiefs wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

236.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Kirk Cousins

223.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

The totals for this NFL battle provides plenty of value at -110. The betting line is set at 47.5 and we’d be surprised if the combined points total exceeds that amount.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Chiefs games.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Chiefs games.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Chiefs games on the road.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Raiders games at home.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Raiders games.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Raiders games.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 games between these teams.

Our NFL handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Under 47.5 Probability

According to the best NFL sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

There’s the chance to boost your odds about an Under pick. The Result & Total lines provides a prime opportunity to squeeze more juice by predicting the winner too.

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Under 47.5 Points @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 2, 22:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brock Bowers Anytime TD +185

Brock Bowers (Raiders) is available at +185 to record a TD. We’ll take a chance with this Anytime Touchdown Scorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Brock Bowers Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+185

First

+1300

Receiving Yards

Over 72.5

-114

Under 72.5

-114

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Ashton Jeanty Under 57.5 Rushing Yards -114

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders) is available at -114 to have less than 57.5 rushing yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Rushing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Ashton Jeanty Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-135

First

+550

Receiving Yards

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Chiefs 21 - 23 Raiders

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close battle and we’ll have a play on the Silver and Black enjoying a 23-21 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

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Chiefs vs Raiders Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have Kansas City Chiefs at -227 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the market leaders are 69% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. The market suggests that Las Vegas Raiders are least likely to win at +188.

There is a spread of 4.5 and total points has a line of 47.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those expecting a low total can back Under 47.5 at -110.

National Football League fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every game on the coupon. Visit the top betting apps and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Chiefs

-227

Raiders

+188

Point Spread

Chiefs -4.5

-112

Raiders +4.5

-108

Total Points

Under 47.5

-110

Over 47.5

-110

Kenneth Walker III is the favorite to be First Touchdown Scorer at +400. If you’re interested in backing him to score a TD at anytime, then the price is -169.

Touchdown

Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs)

First TD

+400

Anytime TD

-169

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

-135

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+150

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+155

Brock Bowers (Raiders)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+185

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+220

Tre Tucker (Raiders)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+300

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+380

Emmett Johnson (Chiefs)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+410

Jalen Nailor (Raiders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+410

Mike Washington Jr. (Raiders)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+480

Michael Mayer (Raiders)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+430

Tyquan Thornton (Chiefs)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+470

Brashard Smith (Chiefs)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+600

Cody White (Raiders)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+600

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+700

Jalen Royals (Chiefs)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1000

Dareke Young (Raiders)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1200

Malik Benson (Raiders)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1100

Kirk Cousins (Raiders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1900

Connor Heyward (Raiders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1800

Jared Wiley (Chiefs)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Jake Briningstool (Chiefs)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Cyrus Allen (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Ian Thomas (Raiders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Dylan Laube (Raiders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Receiving Yards

Brock Bowers (Raiders)

Over 72.5

-114

Under 72.5

-114

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

Over 55.5

-114

Under 55.5

-114

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

Tre Tucker (Raiders)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Tyquan Thornton (Chiefs)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

Michael Mayer (Raiders)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Jalen Nailor (Raiders)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Cody White (Raiders)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Emmett Johnson (Chiefs)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs)

Over 86.5

-114

Under 86.5

-114

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Emmett Johnson (Chiefs)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Mike Washington Jr. (Raiders)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Kirk Cousins (Raiders)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-128

Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 236.5

-114

Under 236.5

-114

Kirk Cousins (Raiders)

Over 223.5

-114

Under 223.5

-114

Raiders Record Shows Seven Home Defeats in Last Ten Matches

The Raiders are 3-7 in their last 10 home games, averaging 18.70 points scored and 23.90 points allowed.

The Chiefs have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 road games, averaging 20.60 points scored and 23.80 points allowed.

In their last matchup at Allegiant Stadium, the Raiders came out on top 14-12 against the Chiefs. Over the previous 6 head-to-head clashes at Allegiant Stadium, the Chiefs have collected five victories, while the Raiders have one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O47.5	U47.5
Raiders Home Stats		3-7	42.60	18.70	23.90	4	6
Chiefs Away Stats		2-8	44.40	20.60	23.80	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
• U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Las Vegas Raiders Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 39.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 47.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.60 pts and allowed 19.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.60 pts and allowed 23.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 40.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 40.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 47.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.40 pts and allowed 23.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 17.60 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 305.80 Yds. Allowed 299.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 111.90 Yds. Allowed 109.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 193.90 Yds. Allowed 189.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.90. Allowed 17.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.30. Committed by opponents 7.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.00 Yds. Gained 53.70 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 241.30 Yds. Allowed 308.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 80.30 Yds. Allowed 126.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 161.00 Yds. Allowed 182.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.10 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.10. Allowed 19.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.60. Committed by opponents 6.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.90 Yds. Gained 46.30 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 301.70 Yds. Allowed 345.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 89.30 Yds. Allowed 120.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 212.40 Yds. Allowed 224.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.90. Allowed 19.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.60. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 70.70 Yds. Gained 46.40 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 259.00 Yds. Allowed 295.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 87.10 Yds. Allowed 100.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 171.90 Yds. Allowed 194.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.30. Allowed 17.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.80. Committed by opponents 7.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 41.90 Yds. Gained 54.80 Yds

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