Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2026

Chiefs vs Raiders Predictions

Best Bet

Under 47.5 Points @ -110

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We’re not sure that the Raiders and the Chiefs will reach a certain points threshold. Our prediction is to take the -110 that there are Under 47.5 points.

Get the complete Chiefs vs Raiders betting breakdown, featuring our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Dig into each section for the full analysis behind each pick.

Chiefs vs Raiders Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs go up against the Las Vegas Raiders in this Week 4 showdown at Allegiant Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, October 4.

The headliner of Sunday’s slate is an AFC West battle between Patrick Mahomes’ Chiefs and a resurgent Raiders team led by Kirk Cousins and first-year head coach Klint Kubiak. With both teams carrying serious postseason expectations, this rivalry game offers an early measuring stick for the balance of power in one of football’s most compelling divisions.

The Kansas City Chiefs are 3-0 after winning their first three games of the season, most recently beating the Miami Dolphins 24-10 on the road at Hard Rock Stadium. The Chiefs finished with 334 total yards, including 246 passing and 88 rushing, while recording 18 first downs and scoring three touchdowns.

Patrick Mahomes completed 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards and two touchdowns, finishing with a 135.8 passer rating. Kenneth Walker III rushed 18 times for 70 yards and a touchdown while also catching a five-yard touchdown pass, while Travis Kelce had three receptions for 59 yards, including an 11-yard touchdown that helped put the game away. Las Vegas Raiders

The Las Vegas Raiders are also 3-0 after extending their winning run with a 35-27 road victory over the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome. The Raiders produced 340 total yards, with 227 through the air and 113 on the ground, while registering 24 first downs and scoring four touchdowns.

Kirk Cousins completed 22 of 33 passes for 248 yards and three touchdowns without an interception, finishing with a 119.3 passer rating. Brock Bowers starred in his season debut with 10 catches for 116 yards and a touchdown, a performance that earned the tight end AFC Offensive Player of the Week honors.

H2H: Chiefs Have Won 8 of the Last 10 Meetings

These teams last met at Allegiant Stadium, where the Raiders claimed a 14-12 victory over the Chiefs. Kansas City has dominated the matchup overall in recent years, winning eight of the past 10 meetings between the AFC West rivals.

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

238.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Kirk Cousins

223.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

The totals for this NFL battle provides plenty of value at -110. The betting line is set at 47.5 and we’d be surprised if the combined points total exceeds that amount.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Chiefs games.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Chiefs games.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Chiefs games on the road.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Raiders games at home.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Raiders games.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Raiders games.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 games between these teams.

Our NFL handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Under 47.5 Probability

According to the best NFL sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

There’s the chance to boost your odds about an Under pick. The Result & Total lines provides a prime opportunity to squeeze more juice by predicting the winner too.

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Under 47.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 2, 22:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brock Bowers Anytime TD +185

Brock Bowers (Raiders) is available at +185 to record a TD. We’ll take a chance with this Anytime Touchdown Scorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Brock Bowers Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+150

First

+1100

Receiving Yards

Over 69.5

-114

Under 69.5

-114

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Ashton Jeanty Under 57.5 Rushing Yards -114

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders) is available at -114 to have less than 57.5 rushing yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Rushing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Ashton Jeanty Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-130

First

+550

Receiving Yards

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 59.5

-114

Under 59.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Chiefs 21 - 23 Raiders

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close battle and we’ll have a play on the Silver and Black enjoying a 23-21 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

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Chiefs vs Raiders Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have Kansas City Chiefs at -227 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the market leaders are 69% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. The market suggests that Las Vegas Raiders are least likely to win at +188.

There is a spread of 4.5 and total points has a line of 47.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those expecting a low total can back Under 47.5 at -110.

National Football League fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every game on the coupon. Visit the top betting apps and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Chiefs

-227

Raiders

+188

Point Spread

Chiefs -4.5

-112

Raiders +4.5

-108

Total Points

Under 47.5

-110

Over 47.5

-110

Kenneth Walker III is the favorite to be First Touchdown Scorer at +440. If you’re interested in backing him to score a TD at anytime, then the price is -149.

Touchdown

Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs)

First TD

+440

Anytime TD

-149

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

-130

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+145

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+150

Brock Bowers (Raiders)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+150

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+220

Tre Tucker (Raiders)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+330

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+440

Emmett Johnson (Chiefs)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+450

Michael Mayer (Raiders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+370

Tyquan Thornton (Chiefs)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+460

Mike Washington Jr. (Raiders)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+500

Jalen Nailor (Raiders)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Brashard Smith (Chiefs)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+650

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+700

Cody White (Raiders)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+700

Jalen Royals (Chiefs)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+950

Malik Benson (Raiders)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Connor Heyward (Raiders)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1300

Kirk Cousins (Raiders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Jared Wiley (Chiefs)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Jake Briningstool (Chiefs)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Dareke Young (Raiders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Cyrus Allen (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Ian Thomas (Raiders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Dylan Laube (Raiders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Receiving Yards

Brock Bowers (Raiders)

Over 69.5

-114

Under 69.5

-114

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

Tre Tucker (Raiders)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Michael Mayer (Raiders)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Tyquan Thornton (Chiefs)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Jalen Nailor (Raiders)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Cody White (Raiders)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Emmett Johnson (Chiefs)

Over 7.5

-102

Under 7.5

-125

Rushing Yards

Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs)

Over 86.5

-114

Under 86.5

-114

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

Over 59.5

-114

Under 59.5

-114

Mike Washington Jr. (Raiders)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Emmett Johnson (Chiefs)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Kirk Cousins (Raiders)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-125

Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 238.5

-114

Under 238.5

-114

Kirk Cousins (Raiders)

Over 223.5

-114

Under 223.5

-114

There are always opportunities to enjoy NFL micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.

Raiders Record Shows Seven Home Defeats in Last Ten Matches

The Raiders are 3-7 in their last 10 home games, averaging 18.70 points scored and 23.90 points allowed.

The Chiefs have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 road games, averaging 20.60 points scored and 23.80 points allowed.

In their last matchup at Allegiant Stadium, the Raiders came out on top 14-12 against the Chiefs. Over the previous 6 head-to-head clashes at Allegiant Stadium, the Chiefs have collected five victories, while the Raiders have one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O47.5	U47.5
Raiders Home Stats		3-7	42.60	18.70	23.90	4	6
Chiefs Away Stats		2-8	44.40	20.60	23.80	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
• U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Las Vegas Raiders Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 39.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 47.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.60 pts and allowed 19.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.60 pts and allowed 23.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 40.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 40.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 47.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.40 pts and allowed 23.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 17.60 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 305.80 Yds. Allowed 299.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 111.90 Yds. Allowed 109.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 193.90 Yds. Allowed 189.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.90. Allowed 17.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.30. Committed by opponents 7.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.00 Yds. Gained 53.70 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 241.30 Yds. Allowed 308.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 80.30 Yds. Allowed 126.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 161.00 Yds. Allowed 182.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.10 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.10. Allowed 19.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.60. Committed by opponents 6.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.90 Yds. Gained 46.30 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 301.70 Yds. Allowed 345.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 89.30 Yds. Allowed 120.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 212.40 Yds. Allowed 224.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.90. Allowed 19.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.60. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 70.70 Yds. Gained 46.40 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 259.00 Yds. Allowed 295.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 87.10 Yds. Allowed 100.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 171.90 Yds. Allowed 194.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.30. Allowed 17.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.80. Committed by opponents 7.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 41.90 Yds. Gained 54.80 Yds

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