Dolphins vs Vikings Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2026

Dolphins vs Vikings Predictions

Best Bet

Vikings -10.5 @ -110

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We’re predicting that the Vikings will get the better of the Dolphins by a significant margin. With this in mind, let’s go for Minnesota on the spread at -10.5 which is currently available at odds of -110.

Get our preferred Dolphins vs Vikings picks, highlighting our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Skip directly to the dedicated sections below for a comprehensive look at each play.

Dolphins vs Vikings Preview

The Miami Dolphins go up against the Minnesota Vikings in a Week 4 game at US Bank Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:05 on Sunday, October 4.

Minnesota’s defense takes center stage against a Miami offense dealing with major personnel disruption, including the season-ending loss of De’Von Achane. The Vikings’ aggressive Brian Flores defense creates a demanding assignment for Miami, while Minnesota’s own offense gives this interconference matchup enough playmaking talent to keep it relevant on Sunday’s afternoon slate.

The Miami Dolphins are 0-3 after suffering their third straight loss, falling 24-10 to the Kansas City Chiefs at Hard Rock Stadium. Miami finished with 329 total yards, including 210 passing and 119 rushing, while recording 19 first downs and scoring one touchdown.

Malik Willis completed 20-of-36 passes for 210 yards while adding 56 rushing yards. Rookie Chris Bell led Miami with seven catches for 105 yards, while Ollie Gordon II carried 17 times for 41 yards and scored the Dolphins' only touchdown on a three-yard run.

The Minnesota Vikings are 3-0 after earning their third straight win with a 23-16 road victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium. Minnesota finished with 230 total yards, including 152 passing and 78 rushing, while recording nine first downs and scoring two touchdowns.

Kyler Murray completed 15-of-29 passes for 168 yards, one touchdown and one interception, while adding 17 yards on the ground. Jordan Addison led Minnesota with five catches for 90 yards, including a 31-yard touchdown, while Aaron Jones Sr. paced the ground game with 17 carries for 58 yards.

H2H: Vikes Won 24-16 in the Last Meeting

Minnesota earned a 24-16 road victory over Miami at Hard Rock Stadium in October 2022, the most recent meeting between the teams.

Quarterbacks

Malik Willis

169.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Kyler Murray

207.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

Our pick is that the Vikings can enjoy a big win in this NFL battle, leading us to go against the spread at -10.5. The line makes plenty of appeal and there are odds of -110 that can be taken for the favorites.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The -10.5 line has been covered by Vikings in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Dolphins in 4 consecutive games.
• The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Dolphins in 6 of their last 10 games.

Our expert NFL predictions always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Vikes -10.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Bigger prices can be secured for bettors who are prepared to move the line. The odds increase according to how much risk you are prepared to have with your wager.

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Vikings -10.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Malik Willis Under 169.5 Passing Yards -114

Malik Willis (Dolphins) is priced at -114 to record fewer than 169.5 passing yards. We’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, as the total looks too high.

Latest Malik Willis Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+500

First

+2200

Passing Yards

Over 169.5

-114

Under 169.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

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T.J. Hockenson Under 38.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can place a bet on T.J. Hockenson (Dolphins) at -114 to end with fewer than 38.5 receiving yards. He may fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line, making this prop bet a strong pick.

Latest T.J. Hockenson Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+180

First

+700

Receiving Yards

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Dolphins 14 - 28 Vikings

There are many different ways to back the Vikes on the correct score betting and something like 28-14 in their favor might be along the right lines at huge odds.

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Dolphins vs Vikings Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -500 with the sportsbooks, Minnesota Vikings are regarded as 83% likely to win this game. The market suggests that Miami Dolphins are least likely to win at +390.

The spread is currently 9.5, with the total points line at 38.5. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. Those that want to back Under 38.5 can find odds of -110 available.

National Football League bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Dolphins

+390

Vikings

-500

Point Spread

Dolphins +9.5

-106

Vikings -9.5

-114

Total Points

Under 38.5

-110

Over 38.5

-110

Aaron Jones can be backed to score a touchdown at anytime at -141. He is the favorite to score the first TD at odds of +330.

Touchdown

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

First TD

+330

Anytime TD

-141

Justin Jefferson (Vikings)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

+125

Jordan Addison (Vikings)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

+135

T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+180

Kyler Murray (Vikings)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+370

Jauan Jennings (Vikings)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+400

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+350

Jaylen Wright (Dolphins)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+390

Tai Felton (Vikings)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+550

Malik Willis (Dolphins)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+500

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+410

Chris Bell (Dolphins)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+600

Demond Claiborne (Vikings)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+950

DeeJay Dallas (Vikings)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+750

Greg Dulcich (Dolphins)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+550

Gavin Bartholomew (Vikings)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+1200

Myles Price (Vikings)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+950

Kevin Coleman Jr. (Dolphins)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1000

Max Bredeson (Vikings)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1700

Will Kacmarek (Dolphins)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1600

Ryan Miller (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1800

DJ Herman (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Jalen Tolbert (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Seydou Traore (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Justin Joly (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Jeshaun Jones (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Receiving Yards

Jordan Addison (Vikings)

Over 61.5

-114

Under 61.5

-114

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Chris Bell (Dolphins)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Greg Dulcich (Dolphins)

Over 29.5

-114

Under 29.5

-114

Jauan Jennings (Vikings)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Tai Felton (Vikings)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Kevin Coleman Jr. (Dolphins)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Jaylen Wright (Dolphins)

Over 5.5

-128

Under 5.5

-100

Ryan Miller (Dolphins)

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-125

Rushing Yards

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

Over 65.5

-114

Under 65.5

-114

Malik Willis (Dolphins)

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

Jaylen Wright (Dolphins)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Kyler Murray (Vikings)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-114

Passing Yards

Kyler Murray (Vikings)

Over 207.5

-114

Under 207.5

-114

Malik Willis (Dolphins)

Over 169.5

-114

Under 169.5

-114

There are lots of exciting NFL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are whether a field goal will be scored and you simply bet whether the player will make it or miss.

Vikes Keep Delivering at Home

The Vikings have stacked up four straight victories at US Bank Stadium. Minnesota has six wins and four losses in the last 10 games at home, scoring 24.80 points per matchup and conceding 16.60.

Miami has taken four consecutive losses away from home. The Fins own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 games away from home, averaging 17.80 points on offense and surrendering 27.00 on defense.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O38.5	U38.5
Vikings Home Stats		6-4	41.40	24.80	16.60	5	5
Dolphins Away Stats		2-8	44.80	17.80	27.00	9	1

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O38.5 = Games Over 38.5 Points
• U38.5 = Games Under 38.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Dolphins Stats

Minnesota Vikings Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 42.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 38.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 38.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.30 pts and allowed 25.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.80 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 33.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 41.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 38.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 38.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.70 pts and allowed 14.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.80 pts and allowed 16.60 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 299.20 Yds. Allowed 346.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 126.70 Yds. Allowed 116.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 172.50 Yds. Allowed 229.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.40. Allowed 20.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.10. Committed by opponents 5.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.30 Yds. Gained 41.50 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 242.60 Yds. Allowed 258.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 111.10 Yds. Allowed 109.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 131.50 Yds. Allowed 149.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.70. Allowed 16.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.90. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 41.50 Yds. Gained 51.00 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 265.90 Yds. Allowed 328.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 100.80 Yds. Allowed 136.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 165.10 Yds. Allowed 191.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.00. Allowed 20.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 5.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.10 Yds. Gained 47.30 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 308.40 Yds. Allowed 274.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.40 Yds. Allowed 108.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 188.00 Yds. Allowed 166.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.00. Allowed 16.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 42.80 Yds. Gained 49.50 Yds

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