Dolphins vs Vikings Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2026

Dolphins vs Vikings Predictions

Best Bet

Vikings -10.5 @ -110

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We’re predicting that the Vikings will get the better of the Dolphins by a significant margin. With this in mind, let’s go for them on the spread at -10.5 which is currently available at odds of -110.

Our betting picks for Dolphins vs Vikings cover our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Skip directly to the dedicated sections below for a comprehensive look at each play.

Dolphins vs Vikings Preview

The Miami Dolphins go up against the Minnesota Vikings at US Bank Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:05 on Sunday, October 4.

Miami Dolphins have suffered three straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by Kansas City Chiefs 24-10 at Hard Rock Stadium. The Dolphins recorded 329 yards, breaking down to 210 passing and 119 rushing yards. They picked up 19 first downs and scored one touchdown.

Minnesota Vikings won last time out by a 23-16 scoreline. On the road against Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium, they made it three wins on the spin. The Vikings moved the ball for 230 yards, with 152 through the air and 78 on the ground. They picked up 9 first downs and found the end zone twice.

H2H: Vikes Won 24-16 When Teams Last Met

The Vikes beat the Dolphins in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 24-16 scoreline at Hard Rock Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Malik Willis

169.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Kyler Murray

207.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

Our pick is that the Vikings can enjoy a big win in this NFL battle, leading us to go against the spread at -10.5. The line makes plenty of appeal and there are odds of -110 that can be taken for the favorites.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The -10.5 line has been covered by Vikings in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Dolphins in 4 consecutive games.
• The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Dolphins in 6 of their last 10 games.

Our expert NFL predictions always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Vikes -10.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Bigger prices can be secured for bettors who are prepared to move the line. The odds increase according to how much risk you are prepared to have with your wager.

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Vikings -10.5 @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 2, 22:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Malik Willis Under 169.5 Passing Yards -114

Malik Willis (Dolphins) is priced at -114 to record fewer than 169.5 passing yards. We’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, as the total looks too high.

Latest Malik Willis Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+410

First

+2000

Passing Yards

Over 169.5

-114

Under 169.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

---

T.J. Hockenson Under 38.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can place a bet on T.J. Hockenson (Dolphins) at -114 to end with fewer than 38.5 receiving yards. He may fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line, making this prop bet a strong pick.

Latest T.J. Hockenson Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+175

First

+700

Receiving Yards

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Dolphins 14 - 28 Vikings

There are many different ways to back the Vikes on the correct score betting and something like 28-14 in their favor might be along the right lines at huge odds.

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Dolphins vs Vikings Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -556 with the sportsbooks, Minnesota Vikings are regarded as 85% likely to win this game. The market suggests that Miami Dolphins are least likely to win at +420.

The spread is currently 10.5, with the total points line at 38.5. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. Those that want to back Under 38.5 can find odds of -110 available.

National Football League bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Dolphins

+420

Vikings

-556

Point Spread

Dolphins +10.5

-115

Vikings -10.5

-105

Total Points

Under 38.5

-110

Over 38.5

-110

Aaron Jones can be backed to score a touchdown at anytime at -161. He is the favorite to score the first TD at odds of +310.

Touchdown

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

First TD

+310

Anytime TD

-161

Justin Jefferson (Vikings)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

+125

Jordan Addison (Vikings)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

+130

T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+175

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+280

Kyler Murray (Vikings)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+330

Jauan Jennings (Vikings)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+410

Jaylen Wright (Dolphins)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+350

Malik Willis (Dolphins)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+410

Tai Felton (Vikings)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+650

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+440

DeeJay Dallas (Vikings)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+750

Greg Dulcich (Dolphins)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+650

Chris Bell (Dolphins)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+700

Myles Price (Vikings)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+900

Gavin Bartholomew (Vikings)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+1200

Max Bredeson (Vikings)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1400

Kevin Coleman Jr. (Dolphins)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Demond Claiborne (Vikings)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1400

Will Kacmarek (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1700

Ryan Miller (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

DJ Herman (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Jalen Tolbert (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Seydou Traore (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Justin Joly (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Receiving Yards

Jordan Addison (Vikings)

Over 62.5

-114

Under 62.5

-114

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Chris Bell (Dolphins)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Greg Dulcich (Dolphins)

Over 29.5

-114

Under 29.5

-114

Jauan Jennings (Vikings)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Kevin Coleman Jr. (Dolphins)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Tai Felton (Vikings)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Ryan Miller (Dolphins)

Over 6.5

+102

Under 6.5

-132

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-114

Jaylen Wright (Dolphins)

Over 5.5

-128

Under 5.5

-102

Rushing Yards

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

Over 65.5

-114

Under 65.5

-114

Malik Willis (Dolphins)

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

Jaylen Wright (Dolphins)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

Kyler Murray (Vikings)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

Over 4.5

+108

Under 4.5

-141

Passing Yards

Kyler Murray (Vikings)

Over 207.5

-114

Under 207.5

-114

Malik Willis (Dolphins)

Over 169.5

-114

Under 169.5

-114

Vikes Keep Delivering at Home

The Vikings have stacked up four straight victories at US Bank Stadium. They have six wins and four losses in the last 10 games at home, scoring 24.80 points per matchup and conceding 16.60.

The Dolphins have taken four consecutive losses away from home. They own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 games away from home, averaging 17.80 points on offense and surrendering 27.00 on defense.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O38.5	U38.5
Vikings Home Stats		6-4	41.40	24.80	16.60	5	5
Dolphins Away Stats		2-8	44.80	17.80	27.00	9	1

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O38.5 = Games Over 38.5 Points
• U38.5 = Games Under 38.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Dolphins Stats

Minnesota Vikings Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 42.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 38.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 38.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.30 pts and allowed 25.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.80 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 33.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 41.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 38.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 38.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.70 pts and allowed 14.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.80 pts and allowed 16.60 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 299.20 Yds. Allowed 346.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 126.70 Yds. Allowed 116.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 172.50 Yds. Allowed 229.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.40. Allowed 20.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.10. Committed by opponents 5.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.30 Yds. Gained 41.50 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 242.60 Yds. Allowed 258.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 111.10 Yds. Allowed 109.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 131.50 Yds. Allowed 149.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.70. Allowed 16.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.90. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 41.50 Yds. Gained 51.00 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 265.90 Yds. Allowed 328.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 100.80 Yds. Allowed 136.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 165.10 Yds. Allowed 191.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.00. Allowed 20.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 5.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.10 Yds. Gained 47.30 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 308.40 Yds. Allowed 274.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.40 Yds. Allowed 108.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 188.00 Yds. Allowed 166.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.00. Allowed 16.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 42.80 Yds. Gained 49.50 Yds

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