Chargers vs Seahawks Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2026

Chargers vs Seahawks Predictions

Best Bet

Under 43.5 Points @ -120

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There’s every chance that the total won’t be as high as 43.5, so we’re prepared to take the -120 that the Seahawks and the Chargers go under the line.

Our expert Chargers vs Seahawks predictions include our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Pick. Check out the dedicated segments below for the complete breakdown of each play.

Chargers vs Seahawks Preview

The Los Angeles Chargers go up against the Seattle Seahawks in a Week 4 clash at Lumen Field, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, October 4.

Justin Herbert taking the Chargers into one of the NFL’s loudest road environments gives this West Coast matchup plenty of individual star appeal. Seattle carries substantial postseason expectations, while Los Angeles still has a roster featuring high-end talent, making the Herbert-versus-Seahawks-defense battle the clearest hook in a late-afternoon game between familiar former AFC West opponents.

The Los Angeles Chargers are 0-3 after suffering their third straight loss, falling 24-16 to the Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium. Los Angeles finished with 348 total yards, including 217 passing and 131 rushing, while recording 20 first downs and scoring one touchdown.

Justin Herbert completed 20-of-34 passes for 226 yards, one touchdown and one interception, while also rushing four times for 17 yards. Tre Harris led the Chargers with six catches for 76 yards, while Omarion Hampton paced the ground game with 15 carries for 56 yards.

The Seattle Seahawks are 2-1 after suffering their first loss of the season, falling 33-31 to the Washington Commanders at Northwest Stadium. Seattle piled up 437 total yards, including 393 passing and 44 rushing, while recording 28 first downs and scoring four touchdowns.

Sam Darnold threw for 379 yards and four touchdowns, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba delivered another huge performance with 128 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Smith-Njigba became only the second player in NFL history to record at least 120 receiving yards and a touchdown in each of his team's first three games of a season.

H2H: Hawks Won 37-23 in the Last Meeting

The most recent meeting between Seattle and Los Angeles ended in a 37-23 Hawks victory at SoFi Stadium in October 2022.

Quarterbacks

Justin Herbert

199.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Sam Darnold

233.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

The totals for this NFL battle provides plenty of value at -120. The betting line is set at 43.5 and we’d be surprised if the combined points total exceeds that amount.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 Chargers games.
• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Chargers games.
• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Chargers games.
• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in 2 of the last 3 Seahawks games this season.
• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Seahawks games.

The NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.

Under 43.5 Probability

The top NFL sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 54.6% chance of this pick winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.

There are different ways to maximise a potential profit on the Totals. Moving the line for your Under bet means the chance to secure bigger odds.

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Under 43.5 Points @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 2, 22:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime TD -125

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Hawks) can be backed at -125 to score in the red zone. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.

Latest Jaxon Smith-Njigba Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-141

First

+430

Receiving Yards

Over 93.5

-114

Under 93.5

-114

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AJ Barner Under 30.5 Receiving Yards -114

AJ Barner (Chargers) is available at -114 to end with fewer than 30.5 receiving yards. There’s a strong case for opting for him to fall short of the required total in the Player Receiving Yards market.

Latest AJ Barner Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+270

First

+1200

Receiving Yards

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Chargers 13 - 21 Seahawks

The Hawks might get the upper hand and it might be worth backing them to achieve a specific correct score. Try an outcome of 21-13 for a big possible return from your stake.

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Chargers vs Seahawks Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have the Seattle Seahawks at -370 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 79% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. The Los Angeles Chargers are the underdogs at +295 and the Bolts are regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 7 and total points has a line of 43.5. NFL fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. Those that want to back Under 43.5 can find odds of -120 available.

National Football League fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every game on the coupon. Visit the top betting apps and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Chargers

+295

Seahawks

-370

Point Spread

Chargers +7

-105

Seahawks -7

-115

Total Points

Under 43.5

-120

Over 43.5

-102

There is -141 available that Jaxon Smith-Njigba scores a TD at any stage. He is available at +430 to record the first touchdown which makes him favorite.

Touchdown

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks)

First TD

+430

Anytime TD

-141

Emanuel Wilson (Seahawks)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+140

Omarion Hampton (Chargers)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+130

Jadarian Price (Seahawks)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+145

George Holani (Seahawks)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+170

AJ Barner (Seahawks)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+270

Rashid Shaheed (Seahawks)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+270

Cooper Kupp (Seahawks)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+310

Ladd McConkey (Chargers)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+310

Quentin Johnston (Chargers)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+330

Oronde Gadsden II (Chargers)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+370

Tre Harris (Chargers)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+500

Elijah Arroyo (Seahawks)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+800

Keaton Mitchell (Chargers)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Tory Horton (Seahawks)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+850

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+700

Sam Darnold (Seahawks)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+1000

Eric Saubert (Seahawks)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1300

Brenen Thompson (Chargers)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1200

Derius Davis (Chargers)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1200

Velus Jones Jr. (Seahawks)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+2000

Kimani Vidal (Chargers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1800

Nick Kallerup (Seahawks)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2700

Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Chargers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Hayden Rucci (Chargers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Montorie Foster Jr. (Seahawks)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Alec Ingold (Chargers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Brady Russell (Seahawks)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Patrick Herbert (Chargers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Receiving Yards

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks)

Over 93.5

-114

Under 93.5

-114

Ladd McConkey (Chargers)

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

Tre Harris (Chargers)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Quentin Johnston (Chargers)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

AJ Barner (Seahawks)

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

Oronde Gadsden II (Chargers)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Cooper Kupp (Seahawks)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Rashid Shaheed (Seahawks)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Keaton Mitchell (Chargers)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Jadarian Price (Seahawks)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

George Holani (Seahawks)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Tory Horton (Seahawks)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Omarion Hampton (Chargers)

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-106

Rushing Yards

Omarion Hampton (Chargers)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Emanuel Wilson (Seahawks)

Over 43.5

-114

Under 43.5

-114

Jadarian Price (Seahawks)

Over 39.5

-114

Under 39.5

-114

George Holani (Seahawks)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Keaton Mitchell (Chargers)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Sam Darnold (Seahawks)

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-114

Passing Yards

Sam Darnold (Seahawks)

Over 233.5

-114

Under 233.5

-114

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

Over 199.5

-114

Under 199.5

-114

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for NFL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Scoring Play. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Hawks Rock Solid at Home

The Seahawks have reeled off eight straight victories at Lumen Field. Seattle has nine wins and one loss in the last 10 games at home, putting up 31.70 points on average and giving up 18.80.

Los Angeles has lost three consecutive road games. The Bolts have gone 5-5 across their last 10 games on the road, putting up 17.20 points per contest and giving up 20.10.

The Hawks defeated the Chargers 27-0 in their last meeting at Lumen Field.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O43.5	U43.5
Seahawks Home Stats		9-1	50.50	31.70	18.80	7	3
Chargers Away Stats		5-5	37.30	17.20	20.10	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O43.5 = Games Over 43.5 Points
• U43.5 = Games Under 43.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Los Angeles Chargers Stats

Seattle Seahawks Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +7 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -7 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 36.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 37.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 43.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 16.90 pts and allowed 19.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.20 pts and allowed 20.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 50.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 43.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.20 pts and allowed 16.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 31.70 pts and allowed 18.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 298.80 Yds. Allowed 313.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 122.00 Yds. Allowed 103.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 176.80 Yds. Allowed 209.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.00. Allowed 17.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 5.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 39.50 Yds. Gained 55.80 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 349.30 Yds. Allowed 284.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 125.80 Yds. Allowed 93.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 223.50 Yds. Allowed 190.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.60. Allowed 16.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.20. Committed by opponents 4.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 39.60 Yds. Gained 36.50 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 305.50 Yds. Allowed 291.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 112.30 Yds. Allowed 122.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 193.20 Yds. Allowed 168.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.30. Allowed 18.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 5.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 45.50 Yds. Gained 43.20 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 338.10 Yds. Allowed 324.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 121.80 Yds. Allowed 93.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 216.30 Yds. Allowed 231.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.50 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.00. Allowed 19.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.20. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 49.10 Yds. Gained 52.00 Yds

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