Falcons vs Saints Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Oct 2026

Falcons vs Saints Predictions

Best Bet

Under 47.5 Points @ -110

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We’re going for a modest total when the Saints clash with the Falcons. Under 47.5 could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at odds of -110.

Our preferred Falcons vs Saints wagers include our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Lock in the full card in the dedicated sections below.

Falcons vs Saints Preview

The Atlanta Falcons face the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome, with kickoff scheduled for 20:15 on Monday, October 5.

Atlanta Falcons won their previous game 35-14. This was a road victory at Lambeau Field against Green Bay Packers. The Falcons moved the ball for 498 yards, with 256 through the air and 242 on the ground. The offense scored 4 touchdowns and moved the chains 25 times.

New Orleans Saints lost their last game, being beaten at home to Las Vegas Raiders 35-27 at Caesars Superdome. The Saints moved the ball for 381 yards, with 233 through the air and 148 on the ground. They produced 27 first downs along with 4 touchdowns.

H2H: Falcons Claimed 19-17 Victory in Last H2H

The Falcons have beaten the Saints in the last two matchups. A 24-10 victory at Caesars Superdome was followed by a 19-17 win at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The past 10 games H2H record shows that both teams have five wins.

Quarterbacks

Michael Penix Jr.

224.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Tyler Shough

254.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Best Bet

Play the Unders at -110 when these NFL teams take to the field. The 47.5 points line looks plenty big enough and we’re not sure the pair will combine to get this total.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 2 of the last 3 Falcons games this season.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Falcons games.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Saints games at home.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Saints games at home.
• The 47.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

Our NFL picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Under 47.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you’re wanting bigger odds for your Under bet, then there’s a way of changing the line and shooting for a lower points total in the hope of a better return.

Before placing a wager, see what betting offers are on the table. Our in-depth guide lists the top welcome bonuses right now.

Under 47.5 Points @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Chris Olave Anytime TD +125

You can back Chris Olave (Saints) at +125 to break the plane of the end zone. We’re happy to take the odds that he’ll score at least one touchdown in the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest Chris Olave Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+125

First

+900

Receiving Yards

Over 85.5

-114

Under 85.5

-114

---

Michael Penix Jr. Under 224.5 Passing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons) at -114 to record fewer than 224.5 passing yards. We're confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.

Latest Michael Penix Jr. Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+900

First

+4000

Passing Yards

Over 224.5

-114

Under 224.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Falcons 21 - 17 Saints

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Falcons to claim a 21-17 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

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Falcons vs Saints Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The betting odds about New Orleans Saints winning is -132, with Atlanta Falcons priced up at +112 to achieve victory. This means the leading sportsbooks give the visiting team a 47% chance of success.

The current spread is 2.5 and the total points line is 47.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you fancy Under 47.5, then the odds are -110.

You can find a huge selection of game lines and team props for every National Football League showdown, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your wagers.

Moneyline

Falcons

+112

Saints

-132

Point Spread

Falcons +2.5

-115

Saints -2.5

-105

Total Points

Under 47.5

-110

Over 47.5

-110

There is -196 available that Bijan Robinson scores a touchdown anytime. If you’re interested in the favorite to score the first TD, then you are able to secure +390.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

First TD

+390

Anytime TD

-196

Alvin Kamara (Saints)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+115

Drake London (Falcons)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+120

Chris Olave (Saints)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+125

Tyler Shough (Saints)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+240

Devaughn Vele (Saints)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+230

Juwan Johnson (Saints)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+250

Kendre Miller (Saints)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+270

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+310

Brian Robinson Jr. (Falcons)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+330

Jahan Dotson (Falcons)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+440

Bryce Lance (Saints)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+500

Noah Fant (Saints)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+550

Austin Hooper (Falcons)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+650

CJ Donaldson (Saints)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+700

Olamide Zaccheaus (Falcons)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+700

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+900

Oscar Delp (Saints)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

Treyton Welch (Saints)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

Kevin Austin (Saints)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

Barion Brown (Saints)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

Zachariah Branch (Falcons)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Chris Blair (Falcons)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1400

Charlie Woerner (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Nick Muse (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Receiving Yards

Chris Olave (Saints)

Over 85.5

-114

Under 85.5

-114

Drake London (Falcons)

Over 78.5

-114

Under 78.5

-114

Devaughn Vele (Saints)

Over 44.5

-114

Under 44.5

-114

Juwan Johnson (Saints)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 39.5

-114

Under 39.5

-114

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Jahan Dotson (Falcons)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Noah Fant (Saints)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Alvin Kamara (Saints)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Austin Hooper (Falcons)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Olamide Zaccheaus (Falcons)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 85.5

-114

Under 85.5

-114

Alvin Kamara (Saints)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Brian Robinson Jr. (Falcons)

Over 29.5

-114

Under 29.5

-114

Kendre Miller (Saints)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Tyler Shough (Saints)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-114

Passing Yards

Tyler Shough (Saints)

Over 254.5

-114

Under 254.5

-114

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Over 224.5

-114

Under 224.5

-114

Last Ten Saints Home Games Include Seven Defeats

The Saints own a 3-7 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 17.80 points on average and giving up 21.50.

The Falcons have gone 4-6 across their last 10 road games, posting 20.90 points per contest while yielding 22.30.

The Falcons earned a 24-10 win against the Saints in the teams’ last meeting at Caesars Superdome. Across 7 head-to-head meetings at Caesars Superdome, the Saints have come away with four wins, while the Falcons have three.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O47.5	U47.5
Saints Home Stats		3-7	39.30	17.80	21.50	1	9
Falcons Away Stats		4-6	43.20	20.90	22.30	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
• U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Falcons Stats

New Orleans Saints Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 43.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 47.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.90 pts and allowed 23.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.90 pts and allowed 22.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 39.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 47.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.20 pts and allowed 21.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 17.80 pts and allowed 21.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 335.80 Yds. Allowed 322.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 145.80 Yds. Allowed 90.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 190.00 Yds. Allowed 231.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.10. Allowed 18.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.40. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 61.20 Yds. Gained 42.90 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 350.70 Yds. Allowed 294.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 97.90 Yds. Allowed 119.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 252.80 Yds. Allowed 174.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.40. Allowed 17.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 6.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 51.90 Yds. Gained 49.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 344.70 Yds. Allowed 321.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 131.70 Yds. Allowed 120.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 213.00 Yds. Allowed 200.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.50. Allowed 20.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.50. Committed by opponents 5.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.40 Yds. Gained 38.20 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 321.10 Yds. Allowed 300.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 91.10 Yds. Allowed 110.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 230.00 Yds. Allowed 190.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.50. Allowed 18.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.70. Committed by opponents 7.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.90 Yds. Gained 55.70 Yds

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