Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 May 2025

We Can’t Resist Betting Barca to Win

Get ready for the El Clásico as arch-rivals Barcelona and Real Madrid clash at Estadio Olimpico Lluis Companys.

There’s a strong chance that we’ll see league leaders Barca record a victory and they are priced at -111 to beat Real. We think that the Full-Time Result market offers bettors plenty of value.

Barca Extra Time Victory in Last H2H

Barcelona have got the win in their last four La Liga games. Recently, a 2-1 victory occurred when playing Real Valladolid away at Estadio Jose Zorrilla. Hansi Flick's side recorded an incredible 81% of possession and had eight shots on target, while Raphinha and Fermin Lopez scored one goal apiece.

On Tuesday night, Barca were eliminated from the Champions League after losing 4-3 in extra time (3-3 after 90 mins) when visiting Inter Milan in the second leg of the semi-final tie.

Real Madrid made it four consecutive league wins after a 3-2 home success over Celta Vigo at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. Los Merengues enjoyed 54% possession and recorded six shots on goal, with Kylian Mbappe scoring twice and Arda Guler also finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Barca have landed wins in their last two clashes against Real. A 3-2 in extra time win at Estadio de La Cartuja came after a 4-0 victory at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. The past 10 H2H meetings have seen both sides land five wins.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Barca have 9 wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.6 goals from 6.9 shots on goal and 20.4 attempts. The Catalan club have averaged 72.1% possession, 690.3 passes and 8.1 corners per match, conceding 0.8 goals and 3.1 corners from 2.1 shots on goal and 5.2 attempts.

Ferran Torres is the top scorer with 6 goals, while Robert Lewandowski has 5 and Dani Olmo 4. Raphinha has the most assists with 4, while goalie Wojciech Szczesny has recorded 5 clean sheets.

Real have won 8 and lost 2, with an average of 1.7 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 15.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 59.4% possession, 572.6 passes, 6.4 corners taken and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts.

Kylian Mbappe has top scored with 7 goals, while Vinicius Junior and Arda Guler are next on 3 and 2. Lucas Vazquez has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Thibaut Courtois has 4 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Barcelona confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Wojciech Szczesny (GK), Eric Garcia, Pau Cubarsi, Inigo Martinez, Gerard Martin, Frenkie de Jong, Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, Raphinha, Ferran Torres.

Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Lucas Vazquez, Aurelien Tchouameni, Raul Asencio, Francisco Garcia, Federico Valverde, Daniel Ceballos, Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior, Kylian Mbappe.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Barcelona have the capability of securing a victory when they line up in this La Liga game. For this reason, we are going to take betting odds of -111 with a large degree of confidence.

The football betting tips are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable stats.

Key Barcelona vs Real Madrid league stats:

• Barca have won 9 of their last 10 games.
• Barca have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Barca have won 4 consecutive games.
• Real have lost their last 2 games against Barca.

Barca to Win Probability

The bookies make it a 52.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you think that Barca can make a relatively fast start, then we recommend considering the Double Result market. You can back them to lead at half-time and full-time.

Our Match Prediction

Barcelona To Win @ -111 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid

Barcelona are available at +750 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Lamine Yamal Over 3.5 Shots +107

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) has totalled over 3.5 shots in seven of his past ten La Liga matches. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Player Shots line which is available at odds of +107.

Latest Lamine Yamal Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+410

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-112

Shots

Over 4.5

+116

Under 4.5

-

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Ferran Torres to Score +165

Ferran Torres (Barcelona) has racked up six goals in his past nine La Liga games. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +165.

Latest Ferran Torres Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+150

First

+480

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+117

Shots

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Real Madrid Under 4.5 Corners -150

Real Madrid have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in five straight away games, with Barcelona conceding under 4.5 corners in the past seven matches. If you agree with our verdict that the Real Team Corners line is too big, go for odds of -150 that they go under.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Barcelona

Total

11.20 8.10 3.10

Home

11.60 9.00 2.60

Away

10.30 5.70 4.60

Real Madrid

Total

11.70 6.40 5.30

Home

11.20 7.50 3.70

Away

9.00 4.20 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-138

Barcelona Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Real Madrid Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-185

X

+600

2

+165

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Barcelona vs Real Madrid Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think Barcelona Most Likely to Win

The Barcelona betting odds have been priced up by the bookies and they are -120 favourites to land victory in this La Liga encounter which means a 55% chance of winning. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Real Madrid are trading at +260.

The Over 2.5 Goals option is currently favourite on the Total Goals market.

Should you want to back Barcelona to win this La Liga match, then there is -225 available on the Draw No Bet market, with Real Madrid chalked at +162.5.

Full-Time Result

1

-120

X

+333.3

2

+260

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+175

2

+260

Double Chance

1X

-350

12

-500

X2

-110

Draw No Bet

1

-225

2

+162.5

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-118

2 Hcp +0.5

+105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+275

Over 2.5

-350

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-333

No

+240

Robert Lewandowski Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Robert Lewandowski is priced at +360 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of -100 to find the net anytime.

Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona)

First

-100

Anytime

+360

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

+117

Anytime

+410

Frenkie de Jong (Barcelona)

First

+135

Anytime

+440

Ferran Torres (Barcelona)

First

+150

Anytime

+480

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+185

Anytime

+575

Dani Olmo (Barcelona)

First

+235

Anytime

+600

Endrick Moreira de Sousa (Real Madrid)

First

+245

Anytime

+700

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

First

+245

Anytime

+800

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

First

+310

Anytime

+950

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+350

Anytime

+1050

Fermín López (Barcelona)

First

+360

Anytime

+1150

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)

First

+410

Anytime

+1300

Ronald Araujo (Barcelona)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Héctor Fort (Barcelona)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Eric García (Barcelona)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+125

Ferran Torres (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+117

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-112

Endrick Moreira de Sousa (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-127

Dani Olmo (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-133

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-141

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-172

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-189

Fermín López (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-204

Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-222

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-370

Ronald Araujo (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-625

Héctor Fort (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)

Over 4.5

+116

Under 4.5

-

Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 3.5

-106

Under 3.5

-

Ferran Torres (Barcelona)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Dani Olmo (Barcelona)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Endrick Moreira de Sousa (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Fermín López (Barcelona)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Ronald Araujo (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Barca vs Real team news.

The La Liga squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.

Barcelona Team Page Real Madrid Team Page